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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #27,141
  • Sep 14, 2011 5:53am Sep 14, 2011 5:53am
Iīm still not convinced. Feels like a shakeout to me. The next few minutes will tell the story. I am holding for now. If Iīm wrong I will eat some crow.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #27,142
  • Sep 14, 2011 5:54am Sep 14, 2011 5:54am
Quoting Alorente
By the way, every minute that passes at around 76.80 without a break, makes the bullish outcome more and more probable. Especially considering that there is no Pivot Point impeding the break. S1 is at 76.83. If it was going down, it would have done it decisively already imho.
Did you sell your position based on recent action ?
  • #27,143
  • Sep 14, 2011 5:55am Sep 14, 2011 5:55am
Quoting jabbawest
Volume WAY up, price dropping big time!!
Big time!!!
maybe you are right!!!
usd/jpy is not moving a lot these days 15 pips it is considered a lot!
next stop 76.50 - 40
  • #27,144
  • Sep 14, 2011 5:57am Sep 14, 2011 5:57am
this drop is because bad news from US retail sales less then expected.
  • #27,145
  • Sep 14, 2011 5:57am Sep 14, 2011 5:57am
Quoting SIgurs
Did you sell your position based on recent action ?
No Iīm still holding my long. The bar hasnīt closed yet.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #27,146
  • Sep 14, 2011 5:59am Sep 14, 2011 5:59am
Quoting Alorente
Iīm still not convinced. Feels like a shakeout to me. The next few minutes will tell the story. I am holding for now. If Iīm wrong I will eat some crow.
seeing the same, high volume positive if it closes above 76.70 within 2 mins.
based on M15 TF
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #27,147
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:02am Sep 14, 2011 6:02am
Quoting Alorente
Iīm still not convinced. Feels like a shakeout to me. The next few minutes will tell the story. I am holding for now. If Iīm wrong I will eat some crow.
What a Spirit!Keep it up Man,I am stay away
But as you said,We should going down faster and what am see is not at all,no long no short,Stay Netral
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ 4H.png Size: 33 KB
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #27,148
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:03am Sep 14, 2011 6:03am
The 4H bar just closed. The RSI trendline is still intact. The Trix is still green. I will continue to hold until my indicators tell me itīs time to jump ship.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #27,149
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:04am Sep 14, 2011 6:04am
Trying a long @ 76.73
with tight stop @ 76.66
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #27,150
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:05am Sep 14, 2011 6:05am
Quoting Alorente
The 4H bar just closed. The RSI trendline is still intact. The Trix is still green. I will continue to hold until my indicators tell me itīs time to jump ship.
Well,Here Please kindly tell us where is your last Stoploss
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #27,151
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:07am Sep 14, 2011 6:07am
Euro and S&P starting to drop now. Dollar Index rising a bit. This still feels OK for the bulls.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #27,152
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:12am Sep 14, 2011 6:12am
Quoting FXMindset
Well,Here Please kindly tell us where is your last Stoploss
I have alarms set on my indicators. I only use stop losses when I am away from my computer which is not often I must say.
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #27,153
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:22am Sep 14, 2011 6:22am
Here is the current picture:

The RSI trendline (Bottom) is still holding. The Fast Trix and Slow Trix on the THV are green and the Fast is above the Slow which is very bullist. The 60 EMA is above the 200 SMA and still green and rising. The Euro still looks like sh-- and the S&P about the same. Those move opposite to the dollar recently. I could go on and on. According to my system which has given me a 93% long term rate of wins, it is not time to close the trade yet.

If you donīt believe in your system completely itīs better to try golf or bowling instead of trading.

You gotta dance with who brung you ...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy.jpg Size: 115 KB
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #27,154
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:24am Sep 14, 2011 6:24am
Anybody miss falling knife?here lets make some Possible "Scenario"
Actually my only concern is EurJpy pairs,If there is a huge/massive sells comes from Eurjpy then of course UsdJpy will got the effect also
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ Weekly.png Size: 30 KB
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #27,155
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:25am Sep 14, 2011 6:25am
Quoting Alorente
Here is the current picture:

The RSI trendline (Bottom) is still holding. The Fast Trix and Slow Trix on the THV are green and the Fast is above the Slow which is very bullist. The 60 EMA is above the 200 SMA and still green and rising. The Euro still looks like sh-- and the S&P about the same. Those move opposite to the dollar recently. I could go on and on. According to my system which has given me a 93% long term rate of wins, it is not time to close the trade yet.

If you donīt believe in your system completely itīs better to try golf or...
Thats why you have my respect to stick your poin of view mate
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #27,156
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:26am Sep 14, 2011 6:26am
Quoting Alorente
Here is the current picture:

The RSI trendline (Bottom) is still holding. The Fast Trix and Slow Trix on the THV are green and the Fast is above the Slow which is very bullist. The 60 EMA is above the 200 SMA and still green and rising. The Euro still looks like sh-- and the S&P about the same. Those move opposite to the dollar recently. I could go on and on. According to my system which has given me a 93% long term rate of wins, it is not time to close the trade yet.

If you donīt believe in your system completely itīs better to try golf or bowling...
Have a feeling that you'll be forced to close your trade very soon. That is, if you're truly following your strategy ;-)
  • #27,157
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:27am Sep 14, 2011 6:27am
Quoting USD-Bear
Trying a long @ 76.73
with tight stop @ 76.66
stopped, waiting for 76.50
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #27,158
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:31am Sep 14, 2011 6:31am
Quoting USD-Bear
stopped, waiting for 76.50
A close below 76.50 would be extremely bearish as it would be the lowest close ever !
  • #27,159
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:32am Sep 14, 2011 6:32am
waiting mode activated,
and to put it in a better way, I am watching the price very closely
  • #27,160
  • Sep 14, 2011 6:39am Sep 14, 2011 6:39am
Here,Lets make it simple so some newbies here would be understand more better,

The UJ need to break the white trendlines In order to going upside but with one condition "Depending how many % this pairs drops" as long the prices still stay inside the white lines then we are still in the selling pressure

I will give a kiss to "Mrs.2+2 = 4" if this pairs going up In this current zone
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ Daily.png Size: 27 KB
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
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