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  • #534,261
  • Edited 11:14am Sep 3, 2011 10:51am | Edited 11:14am
Quoting Robertk
Just one more thing Fontu just to be sure I´m getting this right. A few weeks ago I posted a few pictures of my charts :


That area the 2nd CPB took place ( with 3 bull tries ) and where in the end the reversal trigger took place. I assume one can call the PA bouncing inbetween these 2 pivots a MoFu area ? Thanks in regards.

Pivot usually not using or seeing but it a mofu as I generally used for while describing wave patterns & there may be gators 50% fibs in play also .see how I describe & use commonly. 5th may ended at 1 wave but extended in expanding triangle .In this case the 5th wave failed but may not always & may extend beyound the triangle to have more & more 5th extensions like eu down now last 2 days 3 mofus or 3 5th extensions/extra lives taken place , may ended at the first mofu taken place but no, it continues & even this present mofu at bottom may not extend with whatever prospects there , break 4237 up can be suffice , uncertain persists in mofu.
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #534,262
  • Sep 3, 2011 10:53am Sep 3, 2011 10:53am
so I know you all think that the movement for Theatre of Greece will go down? Interestingly, when the data will be won back?
  • #534,263
  • Sep 3, 2011 11:16am Sep 3, 2011 11:16am
Quoting fontu
Pivot usually not using or seeing but it a mofu as I generally used for while describing wave patterns & there may be gators 50% fibs in play also .see how I describe & use commonly. 5th may ended at 1 wave but extended in expanding triangle .In this case the 5th wave failed but may not always & may extend beyound the triangle to have more & more 5th extensions like eu down now last 2 days 3 mofus or 3 5th extensions/extra lives taken place , may ended at the first mofu taken place but no, it continues & even this present mofu at bottom may not...
Ah, that makes sense. Thanks once again, I've read this before but haven't really been getting myself into Elliot Wave yet. Only been working a bit with a program called mtpredictor for a good wave overview & predictions. However thinking to put some focus in this again.
  • #534,264
  • Edited 1:54pm Sep 3, 2011 11:57am | Edited 1:54pm
Quoting Robertk
Ah, that makes sense. Thanks once again, I've read this before but haven't really been getting myself into Elliot Wave yet. Only been working a bit with a program called mtpredictor for a good wave overview & predictions. However thinking to put some focus in this again.
mtpredictor, not know . may an indicator or ea . don't rely upon anybody or anything else , what you not know or see or understand is alien to your brain or your trading at the same time . may tends to loose you in the long run beyond the knows.
do your own.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #534,265
  • Sep 3, 2011 12:10pm Sep 3, 2011 12:10pm
hello ,fontu .i think EU will pull back to 4250 at least .because of the daily trend line ,and the h4 oversell .
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A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #534,266
  • Edited 11:57pm Sep 3, 2011 1:32pm | Edited 11:57pm
Quoting geniusztc
hello ,fontu .i think EU will pull back to 4250 at least .because of the daily trend line ,and the h4 oversell .
May be but once start 4237 breaks the mofu at present likely break the chain of getting the extra lives , should next target up 4287 , over 72 get the support but may back to bottom from any level ok .

so perhaps once up will start may not look to the back before 4565 transit level, better it decide continue bear with new daily bear or give up altogether soon, breakout further down towards 4053 likely , 4090, 4100 ok .lets see what actually . anyway thinking against this present daily /weekly tf candles seems a mad activity & hence with care only.longed in 3 mofu s & safely killed with profits.

fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #534,267
  • Sep 3, 2011 1:58pm Sep 3, 2011 1:58pm
Quoting fontu
May be but once start 4237 breaks the mofu at present likely break the chain of getting the extra lives , should next target up 4287 , over 72 get the support but may back to bottom from any level ok .

so perhaps once up will start much before a look to the back before 4565 transit level, better it decide continue bear with new daily bear or give up altogether soon, breakout further down towards 4053 likely , 4090, 4100 ok .lets see what actually . anyway thinking against this present daily /weekly tf candles seems a mad activity & hence with...
90% agree with you, for me break point 40953 or 41028
  • #534,268
  • Edited 5:19pm Sep 3, 2011 2:18pm | Edited 5:19pm
Maybe this is a good reference point back to the 4rth of July. Similar things going on technically. I think its hard to bet on capitulation below 4139 without a retrace to supply, but all is possible. And 4161 should intervene first. I'm just keeping an eye on the big MA's on the H4 and for bullish action off these lower lines. US holiday may affect the picture and possibly nothing but some very slow bearishness for the first day of the week.
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  • #534,269
  • Sep 3, 2011 2:39pm Sep 3, 2011 2:39pm
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When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #534,270
  • Sep 3, 2011 8:35pm Sep 3, 2011 8:35pm
Their wont be any crash unless there is some fundamental news about it. Technicals along don't drive big time crashes.. we will consolidate and stay in a range till Thursday maybe when Trichet speaks, unless their is some news of someone going bust in EU, I dont think we will see any 2008 year like crash and just a consolidation before developing a trend in whichever direction it decides to take.. If their is no more news of any new development from EU, than the trend for EUR/USD will most likely be up because ECB wants it that way.
  • #534,271
  • Sep 4, 2011 12:03am Sep 4, 2011 12:03am
Quoting navigatorlt
90% agree with you, for me break point 40953 or 41028
Ok , any percentage . wherever it may tank target will keep 4565 not or 4845 then . let bear continue.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #534,272
  • Sep 4, 2011 12:21am Sep 4, 2011 12:21am
Morning , TD sequencial count dialogue for next some new on the old ,if not continue & bounce as per then towards 4332 first. daily still looking for cd 13 for the hope of sell signal while rally down now ,only 3rd candle having daily support 4125 strong . not any great hope here . to complete the setup .

welcome back Gatorinla, Hope enjoyed most the vacation time .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #534,273
  • Sep 4, 2011 1:35am Sep 4, 2011 1:35am
Whatever the prospect in eu ,not rely upon, but great turmoils likely happen as seeing audusd & gold .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #534,274
  • Sep 4, 2011 2:12am Sep 4, 2011 2:12am
Quoting fontu
Whatever the prospect in eu ,not rely upon, but great turmoils likely happen as seeing audusd & gold .
fontu
Wow..you have the same exact view with the line I drawn last nite.
This is a very intersting level to watch ie the breakdown zone. Expecting this to drop to 182x level. If 182x holds it will be the final push towards 2000 but if it breaks on h4 I wouldnt be surprised if gold drop violently towards 16xx area again. I prefer the second scenario.
As for AU 0564 daily breakup level is critical for bullish continuation.

I am watching crude closely too. We are now retesting the daily breakup area and daily did not close below 85. Will start looking for a buy setup in the zone for a push towards weekly supply at 9845.


As for EU,the PA is a bit of a mess . Bear needs 4275/4375 to hold
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  • #534,275
  • Edited 3:24am Sep 4, 2011 2:46am | Edited 3:24am
Quoting Myrza
Wow..you have the same exact view with the line I drawn last nite.
This is a very intersting level to watch ie the breakdown zone. Expecting this to drop to 182x level. If 182x holds it will be the final push towards 2000 but if it breaks on h4 I wouldnt be surprised if gold drop violently towards 16xx area again. I prefer the second scenario.
As for AU 0564 daily breakup level is critical for bullish continuation.

I am watching crude closely too. We are now retesting the daily breakup area and daily did not close below 85. Will start looking...
Anything can happen , real turmoil month in many aspects perhaps , just seeing tv > Obama will veto in UN for palestine bid , Arabs may find unite ultimately & war may be widespread if further infiltrate in middleeast,. greece may find more involvements to middeast for own interest rather used in pure slavery , terrorism may find new name & make up etc . anyway difficult situation or at least one step ahead .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #534,276
  • Sep 4, 2011 3:21am Sep 4, 2011 3:21am
There is a divergence in MACD, can we rather sure that the trend start to go UP again.

http://i1103.photobucket.com/albums/...PTEMBER/h1.gif
deep RoT is essential for everlasting happyness
  • #534,277
  • Sep 4, 2011 3:53am Sep 4, 2011 3:53am
Quoting Mario Inc.
Should a noob stay away from commodities? I mean I tried once with oil but a spike and a gap totaling 250 pips nearly wiped out my account. Should I use technical analisys or market sentiment or what?
Currently expecting eur/usd 4200 target.
hello,

i dont trade oil, i trade forex and gold... never looked at the oil charts too. maybe i would some day...

i only use technical analysis and dont care about sentiments or funds
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #534,278
  • Sep 4, 2011 3:55am Sep 4, 2011 3:55am
Quoting multi888
Why your Gold target keeps changing?
because the market is not fixed, its dynamic so are the targets
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #534,279
  • Sep 4, 2011 3:57am Sep 4, 2011 3:57am
Quoting hindustani
i trade gold a bit differently

compare this

gold moves from 0 to 100

i buy gold at 10 and place stop loss at 0 , my risk is 10

gold moves to 20, i buy at 20 and place new stop loss at 10 for both trades, my risk is again 10

gold moves to 30, i place another trade and move stop loss for all to 20, my risk is 10 and floating profit is 0

i carry on this way till gold reaches 100, and has a sharp correction

my risk is still 10 and profit is err 80 + 70 + 60 + 50 + 40 + 30 + 20 + 10 = ...

in physical gold i would have bought at 10 and held and...
if your reward to risk ratio is 90 to 10 or something like that, then what matters is your success rate...
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #534,280
  • Sep 4, 2011 8:19am Sep 4, 2011 8:19am
Quoting micho
if your reward to risk ratio is 90 to 10 or something like that, then what matters is your success rate...
on a chart like this with only buy orders, what do you feel it can be, lol
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