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NZD/USD

  • #621
  • Jul 29, 2011 11:23am Jul 29, 2011 11:23am
Quoting jayjb
Hmm.. retracement off the bollinger bands on the daily, interesting, exited too early with only + 55pips, bullish sequence still intact. can we see .90 next week?
At this rate we could see .90 TODAY............wouldn't be surprised.
FXsniper Pips This Month: -997
  • #622
  • Jul 29, 2011 11:24am Jul 29, 2011 11:24am
Quoting jayjb
Hmm.. retracement off the bollinger bands on the daily, interesting, exited too early with only + 55pips, bullish sequence still intact. can we see .90 next week?
Hi, IMHO we can
  • #623
  • Jul 29, 2011 11:44am Jul 29, 2011 11:44am
id say we hit .89 then maybe touch .90....dont know about today...maybe in a couple of days...or week.
Don't be fooled by randomness
  • #624
  • Jul 29, 2011 11:47am Jul 29, 2011 11:47am
A lot depends on what Obama has to say later today.I'm still hopeful a solution can be found in time although seems more and more unlikely with each passing minute.
FXsniper Pips This Month: -997
  • #625
  • Jul 29, 2011 12:28pm Jul 29, 2011 12:28pm
sorry for the fundy 101 noob question guys. if the us debt ceiling does not get raised, then the supply of $us will be lowered, right? this should lead to increased interest rates which in turn increases market demand and increases the price level. this situation will lead to carry profit taking and increased usd bull speculation. is that right or is it the opposite?
I fought the SNB and the SNB won.
  • #626
  • Jul 29, 2011 9:58pm Jul 29, 2011 9:58pm
Quoting TerraceFX
sorry for the fundy 101 noob question guys. if the us debt ceiling does not get raised, then the supply of $us will be lowered, right? this should lead to increased interest rates which in turn increases market demand and increases the price level. this situation will lead to carry profit taking and increased usd bull speculation. is that right or is it the opposite?
It means US will default, their credit rating will drop to AA and people will brace for that.

In layman's term, people will start dumping USD
  • #627
  • Jul 29, 2011 11:55pm Jul 29, 2011 11:55pm
http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=877&h=398

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=877&h=397
  • #628
  • Jul 30, 2011 3:30am Jul 30, 2011 3:30am
Hi all,
did somebody of you traded this yesterday?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #629
  • Jul 30, 2011 3:41am Jul 30, 2011 3:41am
my monthly chart......
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #630
  • Jul 30, 2011 5:08am Jul 30, 2011 5:08am
Quoting jayjb
It means US will default, their credit rating will drop to AA and people will brace for that.

In layman's term, people will start dumping USD
its all speculation but im assuming debt payments would get priority and us would not default. they are crying default for political games. it seems that if they need more debt to pay off the debt then they are already in a death spiral. so if the debt ceiling is not raised and still no default, moodys will not downgrade and dollar gets a boost?
I fought the SNB and the SNB won.
  • #631
  • Jul 31, 2011 4:04pm Jul 31, 2011 4:04pm
Quoting TerraceFX
it seems that if they need more debt to pay off the debt then they are already in a death spiral.
So what? According to rating agencies current strong position of TSYS is supported by strong economy and good reputation (not exact words but the article was published on thursday afair).
Quote
so if the debt ceiling is not raised and still no default, moodys will not downgrade and dollar gets a boost?
I think if politicians don't succeed to get an agreement Moody's and Co will definately downgrade US and USD will be smashed for some time.
  • #632
  • Aug 1, 2011 2:12am Aug 1, 2011 2:12am
let's make a double down gamble on this pair. price is at upward wedge line and i'll short here with the resistence. still bearish until the debt limit debate is over
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzdusd-4h-wedge-break-1.gif Size: 24 KB
  • #633
  • Aug 1, 2011 4:12am Aug 1, 2011 4:12am
1 mini lot entered at 0.8800 targeting 60
  • #634
  • Aug 2, 2011 4:41am Aug 2, 2011 4:41am
60min kiwi fork:

http://www.screencast.com/t/TIUjBvBIECw

beeb
  • #635
  • Aug 3, 2011 12:50am Aug 3, 2011 12:50am
1 mini lot entered at 0.8611 targeting 10
  • #636
  • Aug 3, 2011 11:10am Aug 3, 2011 11:10am
any guesses on the employment numbers? My take on this pair, is that it is overbought by about 600 pips.....so that being said, I am going to long here before the numbers...because doing the opposite works well!! buying this dip here.
Don't be fooled by randomness
  • #637
  • Aug 3, 2011 1:00pm Aug 3, 2011 1:00pm
Why are you buying the pair when the news forecast is not good for the KIWI?


Quote: Keep it simple and avoid confusion in the market
  • #638
  • Aug 3, 2011 1:35pm Aug 3, 2011 1:35pm
Quoting magbrr
Why are you buying the pair when the news forecast is not good for the KIWI?


Quote: Keep it simple and avoid confusion in the market

Making money so far.....why you ask? because quite simply doing the opposite works well...especially when its on a dip. Thats why I beat wall street everytime. They are cave men..when comes to the ways of the forex.
Don't be fooled by randomness
  • #639
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:11am Aug 4, 2011 6:11am
Quoting Rom-pom-pom
let's make a double down gamble on this pair. price is at upward wedge line and i'll short here with the resistence. still bearish until the debt limit debate is over
hello, closed shorts in the pair, because price is at RSI support and a multiple bullish may build up here (it's just one at the moment, but a new low in the RSI will convert it to a multiple). will wait and see for further trades.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #640
  • Aug 4, 2011 4:56pm Aug 4, 2011 4:56pm
kiwi 240min chart

will be watching at the LP to see if support kicks in....

beeb
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