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  • #510,261
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:18am Aug 4, 2011 10:18am
Quoting IMARICH1

if 2 yr note is down (bond) 30 bps....that is correlated to dollar how? I would think that would be $ negative
let me test my knowledge ,

bond/bill rates show money inflow/outflow, if low mean people bring money into USA so Dollar Strong
Mohan
  • #510,262
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:18am Aug 4, 2011 10:18am
Quoting needpips
41725, 4195
It hit 1,415 again now and bounced up.

Could it hit this trend line?
Attached Image
  • #510,263
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:20am Aug 4, 2011 10:20am
Quoting IMARICH1
cloggie....please teach....

if 2 yr note is down (bond) 30 bps....that is correlated to dollar how? I would think that would be $ negative
If by that you mean yields, then it correlates inversely. If the yield is higher, the value of the currency decreases. So if dollar yields rises, the dollar softens. Conversely if the dollar yield drops, then the dollar strengthens. Correct me if I am wrong.
  • #510,264
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:21am Aug 4, 2011 10:21am
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  • #510,265
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:22am Aug 4, 2011 10:22am
Quoting PhAnTi'
lol ^^
compare to Forex tuition fee its nothing,
Mohan
  • #510,266
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:22am Aug 4, 2011 10:22am
Quoting cloggie
Does your wife know you are here?
I am on the iPhone, but we need to pack and I just got an earload... cya laters!
  • #510,267
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:23am Aug 4, 2011 10:23am
Please understand, the levels alone are useless. Find something that will give you possible ranges for EACH Time Frame. Nothing is in stone. PA is also important. If you see a pin into one of these levels, correlated with your range indi (or whatever that is) you have to start paying attention.
I know people here frown upon indicators. I am an indicator freak, but I know very well how they work, how they correlated and what story they tell me.
I have indicators for tops/bottoms, trend, retraces, etc... They are not exact, and may times I mess up of course. The calls I make are a different story. I make mistakes over mistakes, but I know when they are fatal and when not....


edit: I don't know fundies. that's cloggie's domain.

Quoting IMARICH1
cloggie....please teach....

if 2 yr note is down (bond) 30 bps....that is correlated to dollar how? I would think that would be $ negative

attila and cloggie....

I studied the monthly....my level was 4090...how did you tweak it to 4050....this is where I struggle...I try to go with candle bodies as oppossed to just wicks....but some have dodies and other areas are wicks....

Another area on Monthly is 3870....but man that is so far away.....so how do you do it intra-day....how do you find it and how do you know if it will break it...
  • #510,268
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:24am Aug 4, 2011 10:24am
1st time posting here for a while, I see the thread is still comical as ever! shorting here at 1.4171, just under 50% of last big down candle (1.4175) and looks like a fairly strong level support turned to resistance
  • #510,269
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:25am Aug 4, 2011 10:25am
Bundesbank's Weidmann said to oppose ECB bond purchases

broker feed
Mohan
  • #510,270
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:28am Aug 4, 2011 10:28am
Quoting Unknownpips
If by that you mean yields, then it correlates inversely. If the yield is higher, the value of the currency decreases. So if dollar yields rises, the dollar softens. Conversely if the dollar yield drops, then the dollar strengthens. Correct me if I am wrong.
bond price up > higher demand > lower yields > higher dollar

http://www.learningmarkets.com/under...g-bond-yields/
big numbers are our friends...
  • #510,271
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:30am Aug 4, 2011 10:30am
Quoting deeZG
bond price up > higher demand > lower yields > higher dollar

http://www.learningmarkets.com/under...g-bond-yields/
Thank you for elaborating it further.
  • #510,272
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:32am Aug 4, 2011 10:32am
At the close here; FTSE down 180, CAC down 140, DAX down 235.

At this rate the ECB wil be begging for money from the FED sooner rather then later.
  • #510,273
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:33am Aug 4, 2011 10:33am
Quoting uksnowman
1st time posting here for a while, I see the thread is still comical as ever! shorting here at 1.4171, just under 50% of last big down candle (1.4175) and looks like a fairly strong level support turned to resistance
out for +17, not bad for 6 minutes work!
  • #510,274
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:33am Aug 4, 2011 10:33am
Quoting cloggie
At the close here; FTSE down 180, CAC down 140, DAX down 235.

At this rate the ECB wil be begging for money from the FED sooner rather then later.
What in your wisdom would you say caused this?
  • #510,275
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:35am Aug 4, 2011 10:35am
closed my longs......50 pipper...120 today....im outteeee
  • #510,276
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:35am Aug 4, 2011 10:35am
trichet does not exclude further hikes and says could see very buoyant grow q4 seemed to do the trick
  • #510,277
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:35am Aug 4, 2011 10:35am
Quoting Unknownpips
What in your wisdom would you say caused this?
  • #510,278
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:36am Aug 4, 2011 10:36am
Can someone with strong fundamental knowledge give a guess on what is likely to happen in the next few weeks?
  • #510,279
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:37am Aug 4, 2011 10:37am
+60

now what? LOLOL



Quoting wannaberich
long.

will had with a 5m close above 54.

hapipipin
dreams do come true.
  • #510,280
  • Aug 4, 2011 10:37am Aug 4, 2011 10:37am
see what I mean? why do you think I called a bottom a little while ago? Do we have a pin on M15? Yes. My h1 indis were all flat on their back at the bottom of the panel waiting for a sign to start moving up. Now, we are still in retrace mode on H1, that's until 4270 is taken which I don't think will be (at least the way things look now, we had very high momentum down.)
Quoting IMARICH1
cloggie....please teach....

if 2 yr note is down (bond) 30 bps....that is correlated to dollar how? I would think that would be $ negative

attila and cloggie....

I studied the monthly....my level was 4090...how did you tweak it to 4050....this is where I struggle...I try to go with candle bodies as oppossed to just wicks....but some have dodies and other areas are wicks....

Another area on Monthly is 3870....but man that is so far away.....so how do you do it intra-day....how do you find it and how do you know if it will break it...
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