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  • #509,881
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:41am Aug 4, 2011 6:41am
Quoting Mr Hatch
so, you think the rate decision will be a non-event? interesting...
Depends what timeframe you're in your positions for?
  • #509,882
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:43am Aug 4, 2011 6:43am
Quoting ukdaytrader
H1 holds sway for me I think, especially when you look at the huge bearish divergence on UY.
There are early signs that the BoJ are stepping back from the bid imo.

Might rethink EU if we get to the 15m 618.
The inverse on the m5 projects a target of the m15 78.6. By then, there should be bear HD. But..we will have to look at it when/if it gets there.
  • #509,883
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:44am Aug 4, 2011 6:44am
flat..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #509,884
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:44am Aug 4, 2011 6:44am
Quoting beyond
There are some amazing 'experts' in this forum we have range predictions between 1.4210 and 1.4375 well I guess someone will be correct and claim the 'I predicted this hours ago' prize
Seems a reasonable range to me, (except my lower limit would be 4170). It's only 165 pips. What don't you like about it?
  • #509,885
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:45am Aug 4, 2011 6:45am
Quoting PipChick
The inverse on the m5 projects a target of the m15 78.6. By then, there should be bear HD. But..we will have to look at it when/if it gets there.
Fantastic. thanks. (43 ish?)
  • #509,886
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:45am Aug 4, 2011 6:45am
Quoting cloggie
The MBR should be a non event, they are not going to raise rates..

Yup.
  • #509,887
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:47am Aug 4, 2011 6:47am
Quoting PayTheLimit
flat..
Reason?!
  • #509,888
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:48am Aug 4, 2011 6:48am
Quoting cloggie
Yup.
press conference at 14.30 might have high impact on market ..let see
  • #509,889
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:49am Aug 4, 2011 6:49am
Quoting fesi11
press conference at 14.30 might have high impact on market ..let see
the hell you say..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #509,890
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:49am Aug 4, 2011 6:49am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Fantastic. thanks. (43 ish?)
Thats what I am thinking. Depends how close we are to the news releases and what it looks like when/if it reaches there.
  • #509,891
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:51am Aug 4, 2011 6:51am
Quoting PayTheLimit
the hell you say..
your such the riot...chris rock almost. shoulda told him that it already was priced in
I got maths..
  • #509,892
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:51am Aug 4, 2011 6:51am
Quoting FX-Ray
Reason?!
to risky for me brother, needs to close above 70.5/76 to give it back to the bulls..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #509,893
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:51am Aug 4, 2011 6:51am
Quoting ukdaytrader
Seems a reasonable range to me, (except my lower limit would be 4170). It's only 165 pips. What don't you like about it?
er in case you had not noticed, one is up, the other is down but predicted at the same time, how can both be right? may as well flip a coin.

Now if you were to say we are going down to 1.4210 and then up to 1.4375 I would be very impressed
  • #509,894
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:52am Aug 4, 2011 6:52am
Quoting fesi11
press conference at 14.30 might have high impact on market ..let see
I think you are giving more importance to news.
Dont be fooled by news and concentrate on technical levels.
If you have the correct technical levels, the fundamentals will follow them.
totutu
  • #509,895
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:53am Aug 4, 2011 6:53am
Quoting PayTheLimit
to risky for me brother, needs to close above 70.5/76 to give it back to the bulls..
PTL, you think above 76 that the bulls are back?
  • #509,896
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:53am Aug 4, 2011 6:53am
Hi CLoggie, just reading your post now. What do you mean by "will the ECB provide a stop gap"?

Quoting cloggie
The MBR should be a non event, they are not going to raise rates. The fun will be the PC, Tricky T has some serious issues at hand. ECB has not entered the bond market in a while and the EFSF is just not ready yet, will the ECB provide a stop gap? What will his comment be regarding size of EFSF, and will he use the "V" word.
  • #509,897
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:54am Aug 4, 2011 6:54am
Quoting beyond
er in case you had not noticed, one is up, the other is down but predicted at the same time, how can both be right? may as well flip a coin
I thought you were misunderstanding this, so i'll explain.

4375 is the upper end of the range, 4210 is the lower end. There is a 165 pip range in between. The general premise is that traders will look to short at the top end and go long at the bottom. This is called, you guessed it; ......rangebound trading. They are not predictive targets.

  • #509,898
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:54am Aug 4, 2011 6:54am
Quoting forexclover
I think you are giving more importance to news.
Dont be fooled by news and concentrate on technical levels.
If you have the correct technical levels, the fundamentals will follow them.
Press conference "can" (not always)shake the hell out of your Technicals I think. At the lease, if it goes against you, it can leave you in a huge DD.
  • #509,899
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:55am Aug 4, 2011 6:55am
Quoting PayTheLimit
to risky for me brother, needs to close above 70.5/76 to give it back to the bulls..
I see. If 4250 holds it wont be long.
  • #509,900
  • Aug 4, 2011 6:56am Aug 4, 2011 6:56am
Just got back from the barber. Seems my shorts also got cut a bit. Forgot about rate shizzle today.

Not sure if I could just sit out the rate decision...

m1 looks very tradeable for the scalpers
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