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  • #504,401
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:04pm Jul 31, 2011 6:04pm
Looking for a bit of up first before down
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #504,402
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:08pm Jul 31, 2011 6:08pm
Quoting Larseg
There is almost a 79% chance of hitting 4320...


Hi Lars,

hope you had a nice weekend :-)

the 79% Chance: based on what and in which time?


Thanks in advance :-)
  • #504,403
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:18pm Jul 31, 2011 6:18pm
Quoting pipper
Looking for a bit of up first before down
around 4444 before down if any....

4500 possible....
  • #504,404
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:18pm Jul 31, 2011 6:18pm
"Hi Lars,

hope you had a nice weekend :-)

the 79% Chance: based on what and in which time?"

Now thats a sensible question, I will look for the answer early London morning...off now

GL/GT
  • #504,405
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:19pm Jul 31, 2011 6:19pm
Was thinking only about 4415 at most

Quoting attila
around 4444 before down if any....
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #504,406
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:20pm Jul 31, 2011 6:20pm
Quoting pipper
Was thinking only about 4415 at most
see edit 4500 is not out of the question. of course not in one go...
  • #504,407
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:20pm Jul 31, 2011 6:20pm
Yes, if it gets above and holds above 1.438xx, could reverse north to 4500 & more

Quoting attila
around 4444 before down if any....

4500 possible....
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #504,408
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:21pm Jul 31, 2011 6:21pm
Quoting pipper
Yes, if it gets above and holds above 1.438xx, could reverse north to 4500 & more
rite
  • #504,409
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:23pm Jul 31, 2011 6:23pm
If the details of the senate debt bill being leaked are correct, I wonder if Obama will ever recover enough to win back the support of his base? The bill is quite astonishing, it seems as if the goal posts have been moved in the last 48-72 hours.

- More cuts than what the Republicans were asking for even 4 days ago.
- No tax increases
- No tax loophole closures, no tax reforms
- No new revenues *period*
- Debt ceiling to be raised in stages (effectively this would likely become an issue again before next year's election)
- Cuts to entitlements

It's like the Obama and the Democrats have just bent over and said 'forget the cunt, take me up the arse please Master'

I don't think it is possible for Obama to win 2012 after this. I reckon if someone like Hillary were to throw in the ring again, she might get the Democrat nomination.
We're all stories in the end. Just try to make it a good one.
  • #504,410
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:25pm Jul 31, 2011 6:25pm
We had a clear reversal pattern off 4260 (h4). Until we have something similar the opposite way, the direction is UP.
  • #504,411
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:25pm Jul 31, 2011 6:25pm
Guys

can you comment on this Dollar Index chart
Attached Image
  • #504,412
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:26pm Jul 31, 2011 6:26pm
Quoting Traderji
I don't think it is possible for Obama to win 2012 after this
Good.
  • #504,413
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:32pm Jul 31, 2011 6:32pm
My possible bullish scenario on the 8Hr.. Possible 3 Bearish 8Hr Inside Bars in the making and then up



Quoting attila
rite
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 180 KB
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #504,414
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:35pm Jul 31, 2011 6:35pm
Quoting attila
Good.

I second this response. We have sunk below Jimmy Carter and are heading very rapidly to Grover Cleveland and U. Grant territory for ineptitude.
  • #504,415
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:35pm Jul 31, 2011 6:35pm
Quoting pipper
My possible bullish scenario on the 8Hr.. Possible 3 Bearish 8Hr Inside Bars in the making and then up
your rsi bounced off 40. that's bullish.
  • #504,416
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:43pm Jul 31, 2011 6:43pm
Still flat though.. Not going to jump the gun until clear sign

Quoting attila
your rsi bounced off 40. that's bullish.
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #504,417
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:46pm Jul 31, 2011 6:46pm
Quoting pipper
Still flat though.. Not going to jump the gun until clear sign
i agree.
  • #504,418
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:48pm Jul 31, 2011 6:48pm
Don't like the way Dow Futures jumped to 12300 level. I still see this heading to 118xx

Quoting attila
i agree.
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #504,419
  • Jul 31, 2011 6:56pm Jul 31, 2011 6:56pm
Quoting Traderji
If the details of the senate debt bill being leaked are correct, I wonder if Obama will ever recover enough to win back the support of his base? The bill is quite astonishing, it seems as if the goal posts have been moved in the last 48-72 hours.

- More cuts than what the Republicans were asking for even 4 days ago.
- No tax increases
- No tax loophole closures, no tax reforms
- No new revenues *period*
- Debt ceiling to be raised in stages (effectively this would likely become an issue again before next year's election)
- Cuts to entitlements...
Yeah, this republicans don't want to let their masters down here. Never mind the crushing of the US economy.

Tax payers bailed out the companies who couldn't run themselves efficiently and here they stand... but when it's their turn to be called up and take care of this country, they are as silent as one gets.
  • #504,420
  • Jul 31, 2011 7:15pm Jul 31, 2011 7:15pm
WSJ just reported this:

"An aide to Rep. Boehner said this scheduling of this call doesn’t mean there’s a debt ceiling deal with Democrats. He cited Rep. Boehner’s concerns about defense spending levels in the fiscal year 2012; Boehner has balked at proposals that could lead to sharp cuts in military spending."

I'm still not sure this isn't a Trojan horse that is designed to be unacceptable to enough on both the left and right to stalemate it. Read the way the "trigger" is designed in the proposal, and what's in the cross hairs, and what gets the bullet proof vest, if the trigger has to be pulled.

Be very careful if you're in the market; it looks like it's behaving like a flock of sheep who aren't sure there aren't wolves lurking in the tall grass. Technical levels don't mean a thing if that flock spooks one way or the other.
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