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  • #499,281
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:05pm Jul 25, 2011 10:05pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
gotta run some errands, bbl, gl, PTL...
Lol. Have a good one mate.
  • #499,282
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:08pm Jul 25, 2011 10:08pm
4495 4575 next level of resistance
  • #499,283
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:10pm Jul 25, 2011 10:10pm
s 87
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #499,284
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:11pm Jul 25, 2011 10:11pm
hmm so am I alone here thinking that major move( broad USD selloff) was due to the earlier CME press release that up until today, the collateral haircut on a t-Bill was 0.0%, beginning Thursday it will be 0.5%. Every other type of Bond, Note and Strip will see their haircuts raised by 1% across the board. Same with Agency debt. and Only foreign debt will see an increase of 2% in the Bill space, and 0.5% in Notes and Bonds.

Couple that with hatzius's croney sven stehn insinuating that hatizus's december prediction of a "golden age" was beyond stupid this afternoon and instead pointing out the possible need for a 3rd round of QE due to extremely sluggish economic growth and you have the perfect storm for the USD getting pounded on like never before...


but then again it could of been Obamarama and Boehner..

but what the hell do i know?
  • #499,285
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:12pm Jul 25, 2011 10:12pm
seems like it keeps heading north, bad trade today
  • #499,286
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:14pm Jul 25, 2011 10:14pm
Quoting bguguen
fellas, please please don't take any action because of a feeling that this move up will meet price action and come back down on retracement or something like that...
It works in fall but definitely not summer periods...
As far as i'm concerned... We're in the summer fundy-driven market and heres the reason why eurusd flown up today on asia...
Us is having problem in agreeing a debt ceiling...
Obama and republican rep. Boehner having disagreement... Along as they don't settle this disagreement, the usd will continue to tank...
Another reason...
interesting comments. Worth to count when decide shorting eur/usd
  • #499,287
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:14pm Jul 25, 2011 10:14pm
Sell Euro USD at all levels for a gain at 1.42 levels within a months time..US debt ceiling issue would die out even if there is a brief deafult. They had faced it 16 years back and came out easily..
  • #499,288
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:15pm Jul 25, 2011 10:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
s 87
4493.3 4500 4504/05.. could be bumps..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #499,289
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:18pm Jul 25, 2011 10:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
4493.3 4500 4504/05.. could be bumps..
I got 4500-29 as a pretty huge zone...
  • #499,290
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:18pm Jul 25, 2011 10:18pm
if 87 cap it trigger 83
  • #499,291
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:19pm Jul 25, 2011 10:19pm
1.4280 soon possible... Joke anlysis ...
  • #499,292
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:19pm Jul 25, 2011 10:19pm
Quoting Pipwanderer
if 87 cap it trigger 83
I wonder what kind of trader care about 4pip.
It must be so important numbers..
  • #499,293
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:22pm Jul 25, 2011 10:22pm
Quoting Wulfgar
hmm so am I alone here thinking that major move( broad USD selloff) was due to the earlier CME press release that up until today, the collateral haircut on a t-Bill was 0.0%, beginning Thursday it will be 0.5%. Every other type of Bond, Note and Strip will see their haircuts raised by 1% across the board. Same with Agency debt. and Only foreign debt will see an increase of 2% in the Bill space, and 0.5% in Notes and Bonds.

but what the hell do i know?
A he11 of a lot, evidently. That CME haircut release plumb evaded me. I don't think that's the a big deal in and of itself, but, yeah, it's a big deal.
  • #499,294
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:22pm Jul 25, 2011 10:22pm
Quoting kolz
I wonder what kind of trader care about 4pip.
It must be so important numbers..
scalpers do bro

people trade all time frames....
  • #499,295
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:28pm Jul 25, 2011 10:28pm
Quoting OldQuant
A he11 of a lot, evidently. That CME haircut release plumb evaded me. I don't think that's the a big deal in and of itself, but, yeah, it's a big deal.
the reason it is such a big deal is because historically govt bonds evade haircuts because they are widely viewed as being immune to default risk....

this move from the CME was very ballsy in saying what the rating agencies wont..
  • #499,296
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:33pm Jul 25, 2011 10:33pm
Quoting Wulfgar
the reason it is such a big deal is because historically govt bonds evade haircuts because they are widely viewed as being immune to default risk....

this move from the CME was very ballsy in saying what the rating agencies wont..
Exactly. And that reinforces what I was saying above about the markets beginning to bake it in.

I'm going to bed. See if you guys can put a 46 handle on this thing by morning, will ya? Tomorrow, I need to close out some options and get ready for the interventions.
  • #499,297
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:34pm Jul 25, 2011 10:34pm
Quoting kolz
Long position 4476 target 4520 stop 4460
4476 →　4494 done
It should go further but..
  • #499,298
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:38pm Jul 25, 2011 10:38pm
Quoting Wulfgar
this move from the CME was very ballsy in saying what the rating agencies wont..
Oh, and one other thing: I'm going to give you a vouch. Except I don't have any clue how to do that. I'll figure it out tomorrow.
  • #499,299
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:42pm Jul 25, 2011 10:42pm
morning all, i just woke up to see my positions not onyl under water, practically drowning...what the heck happened over night?
  • #499,300
  • Jul 25, 2011 10:42pm Jul 25, 2011 10:42pm
Quoting Pipwanderer
if 87 cap it trigger 83
well those are my level i watch 4495 45
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