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  • #488,601
  • Jul 13, 2011 12:59pm Jul 13, 2011 12:59pm
Quoting IMARICH1
Thanks sissie.....yes it does!
sisse is one of the very few here I pay attention to. he gave you very good advice.
  • #488,602
  • Edited 1:12pm Jul 13, 2011 1:00pm | Edited 1:12pm
Quoting IMARICH1
Raza and egkid....you guys sold at 4187...didn't ya?


I'm looking for another retest to maybe 4205 or cloggies number 4218 possibly for the end of this session and then may SHORT.....4229 is another good area...IMO
Rules of the chart are saying 1.4187 should be the max retrace...retest....

I obey rules...so if it goes +11 pips and definately 39 pips above that level..then it is something else....otherwise...look out below....

So seeing 1.4003 first from here is feesable... other wise SL..
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #488,603
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:01pm Jul 13, 2011 1:01pm
Quoting OldQuant
Yeah, I heard speculation of that yesterday afternoon. That's why I posted that ISDA link re the CDS (non) fallout from a technical default yesterday eve.
it didn't take fitch for me. when you spend more then you make. even after reorganization. the rest is just bs.. Europe and japan have an aging population.. the age average is rising. so you have less workers to pay for the retirees. less workers to pay high social cost. this is above and beyond today's crises. so it just don't get any better then this.
Japan has a high savings ratio. but at 0% it don't mean much. add into china and s Korea taken market share from both Europe and Japan.. it just takes time.. give it a few years.. or less.... it may be quick
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #488,604
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:02pm Jul 13, 2011 1:02pm
Looking for the EU to go all the way up to possible the 4300 area. 38.2 fib level with the 144 ema on the 4H, 21 EMA on the daily, and the 5 ema on the weekly is just under (3290). What your thoughts?
  • #488,605
  • Edited 1:20pm Jul 13, 2011 1:03pm | Edited 1:20pm
So far ok . short still there ,just at be . lets see .Note important lower 2 limits . Possible move to working channel bottom 4077to continue up again towards 4255-4284/71 daily tl close prices .
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu2.gif Size: 11 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #488,606
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:04pm Jul 13, 2011 1:04pm
Quoting sisse
My 2 cents.

The 1st thing I would recommend is choosing a TF. You can't trade every single S/R area (or in "forex and FF" terms, supply and demand) in the markets. Aim for a decent timeframe. The longer the TF the stronger and more valid the area.

Second, don't make the technical tool the only reason in your trading plan (like a lot of FF poster that think S/R is the holy grail") but incorporate in you analysis for direction and use it as filter to WHEN to look for a trigger.

Third, Not to trade but for your visual perspective...
Very helpful and well explained post. Makes me think a bit better about my own tradingstyle, as I am starting out to much on the lower TF's.
But I do include the higher timeframes for the visual, but still trading off the lower ones for just a few pips...
Still got a long way for trading the big 50+,100+,500+ moves!
Thx!
  • #488,607
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:08pm Jul 13, 2011 1:08pm
Quoting Fitness09
Looking for the EU to go all the way up to possible the 4300 area. 38.2 fib level with the 144 ema on the 4H, 21 EMA on the daily, and the 5 ema on the weekly is just under (3290). What your thoughts?
i count the corn and look for shapes
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #488,608
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:09pm Jul 13, 2011 1:09pm
still around 1.4145 plz whats urs idea about ure way tonight ?
is it possible to touch 1.4200 ?
i know we eventually will be together
  • #488,609
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:11pm Jul 13, 2011 1:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
i count the corn
Shush! You'll wake up PTL.
  • #488,610
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:15pm Jul 13, 2011 1:15pm
u r very nice all ... ty so much for ur advises ..
i know we eventually will be together
  • #488,611
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:19pm Jul 13, 2011 1:19pm
just got the first close on the 15 in the mofu.( below 4137.6). if you look closely you will c no closes above that last gold level since we got below.. we were closing to the pip at both levels.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #488,612
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:21pm Jul 13, 2011 1:21pm
EU retracement is done.

Possible trade
Short: 1.4150
SL: 1.4200
1st TP: 1.4000
2nd TP 1.3800
Do not follow my trades. Trade what you see on your own charts.
  • #488,613
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:22pm Jul 13, 2011 1:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
if you look closely you will c no closes above that last gold level since we got below
how do you interpret that?
  • #488,614
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:23pm Jul 13, 2011 1:23pm
Quoting igmak
EU retracement is done.

Possible trade
Short: 1.4150
SL: 1.4200
1st TP: 1.4000
2nd TP 1.3800
How did you come to this conclusion?
  • #488,615
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:25pm Jul 13, 2011 1:25pm
Quoting igmak
EU retracement is done.

Possible trade
Short: 1.4150
SL: 1.4200
1st TP: 1.4000
2nd TP 1.3800
is it possible tonight ?
or we can c 1.4200 ?
i know we eventually will be together
  • #488,616
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:27pm Jul 13, 2011 1:27pm
Attached Image


This keeps moving back and forth on these two levels....if it breaks above 4153..might open the road to 4193 ...if it goes below 4135...might go down to 4009 and probably lower....Gator, am i right?
  • #488,617
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:27pm Jul 13, 2011 1:27pm
Asia is a major holder of U.S. debt, what is the direction you think the USD go?
My european thought is will take refuge in the euro, that it is EUR moving up

as I still have a short losing position...
  • #488,618
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:30pm Jul 13, 2011 1:30pm
Quoting igmak
EU retracement is done.

Possible trade
Short: 1.4150
SL: 1.4200
1st TP: 1.4000
2nd TP 1.3800
May be & anything possible but just can't take risk or suggest take this with own money . do care if in need . if no sl or tp then ok .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #488,619
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:30pm Jul 13, 2011 1:30pm
PA just pulled back to broken TL and touched daily 5 SMA. MACD is pointing down too. Just look at the charts.

Quoting Fitness09
How did you come to this conclusion?
Attached Image
Do not follow my trades. Trade what you see on your own charts.
  • #488,620
  • Jul 13, 2011 1:37pm Jul 13, 2011 1:37pm
took a muppet long MATSL.
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