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EURUSD

  • #476,461
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:09am Jun 30, 2011 2:09am
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4272; (P) 1.4334 (R1) 1.4432
  • #476,462
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:10am Jun 30, 2011 2:10am
Quoting sintelion
We are currently testing a major trendline on daily charts which has been determining the direction of the market in past 3 months. Furthermore we are on a strong resistance @ 4500. More than serious reasons to keep an eye for possible shorting.

No, I myself am not going to jump on the shorts and try to hunt tops, I'm still riding the uptrend, but I will be paying attention for possible reversal signals given by PA.

just my 2 cents
ok. reversal signals operative words.

even better - confirmation.
  • #476,463
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:10am Jun 30, 2011 2:10am
closed for 8 pips on the remainder. looking at 4522 descending if we get there before i fall asleep.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #476,464
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:15am Jun 30, 2011 2:15am
Quoting Julian_Ass
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4272; (P) 1.4334 (R1) 1.4432
I don't use pivots but what it struck me is your mid point. How can the mid point of a bar (or the P in pivots) can be below yesterday low? are you sure you are talking about daily levels ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #476,465
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:17am Jun 30, 2011 2:17am
Quoting gatorinla
when counter trending.. i always take some to pay the staff. if you don't take profit, there will be no profit. 20 is usually a good place.

agree 100% was accused of small fish catcher, pip tally over time disprove, banked pips is banked pips, normally 1st or 2nd fence for me whatever pip count is
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #476,466
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:22am Jun 30, 2011 2:22am
Does anyone know at what time the Greek Gov votes again on today ?
We all know what the E/U did yesterday on the vote!
Lorenzo
  • #476,467
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:23am Jun 30, 2011 2:23am
its not a time to sell..IMO/

nzd/usd previous chart ...

So euro can go higher ... I need to se a break of 1.4527 first
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nzd usd#1.jpg Size: 159 KB
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #476,468
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:25am Jun 30, 2011 2:25am
Quoting sisse
Agree 100%.

Let see if any hawkish ECB comment for next month will push this to 1.460x with thin air in between.....

sisse
most don't have a grasp on what pulling money out of the system will do. as in the stress test.. now Greece. money put aside for greece and the other piigs comes out the system. since they are not adding liquidity.. they are making it tighter. the only ones who will be able to borrow. are the ones who dont need to borrow. a currency only works if the middle class. can afford to use it. the Germans had problems with currency in the past. this time it may be a different problem. but the affect can be just as bad.
i bit at 4522 again
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #476,469
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:26am Jun 30, 2011 2:26am
Quoting Raza
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...21#post4727621

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...60#post4735360

Possible..
dont you think if text books are followed then the banks wil be the biggest losers what if it goes through the triangle do you have any other text book scenarios if that happens. just my thoughts?
  • #476,470
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:26am Jun 30, 2011 2:26am
Sentiment this morning and in assia is defintilly risk on last night some good housing data in the kiwi what added some extra feul.

But i have something fishy on the charts i don't like in the usd fut made overnight gap don't like that.
Also if the vote gets passed there might be a lot been priced in already China 1s again is the savior for people who intrested find some news about merkels meeting with the chinise minster Wen Jiaboa. Also there is a article that the Hildebrand want to link the franc to the eur. Find those articles they might gice you some ideas.

If the euro might go to the 14550,60 area i might fade it.
For atleast a correction also the weekly range is getting stretched.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur_usd11.jpg Size: 119 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: usdfut11.jpg Size: 126 KB
  • #476,471
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:28am Jun 30, 2011 2:28am
Quoting gatorinla
closed for 8 pips on the remainder. looking at 4522 descending if we get there before i fall asleep.
in again
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #476,472
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:31am Jun 30, 2011 2:31am
Quoting gatorinla
in again
And you have a nice Doji on H4 - Good Luck
What we obtain too cheap, we esteem too lightly.
  • #476,473
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:32am Jun 30, 2011 2:32am
Quoting KiwiTrada
agree 100% was accused of small fish catcher, pip tally over time disprove, banked pips is banked pips, normally 1st or 2nd fence for me whatever pip count is
hell i only risk 1/4 % most of the time.. im looking for 40 pips then 40 more on this one. 4 pips = 1/4% and im at be already
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #476,474
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:35am Jun 30, 2011 2:35am
Morning gentlemen!

I studied cloggy's statistics and try to learn something from it now.

EUR$ has rejected at 1.4517 but RSI is not reached to 70%.
So there is more possibility to go higher.

I have 1.4489 now and will sell half @1.4455 and rest @1.462.
But if it goes under1.4476 I sell all.
Attached Image
  • #476,475
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:36am Jun 30, 2011 2:36am
Quoting gatorinla
. since they are not adding liquidity.. they are making it tighter. the only ones who will be able to borrow. are the ones who dont need to borrow.
i bit at 4522 again
Very true, more or less what happened with the credit crunch and housing market in the US/UK after the financial recession. The only one who could borrow were the one who didn't need, pushing prices even lower and making the system weaker.

In any case, we are in trending mode. Week completed +400 ticks up and even the most sluggish trader is recognizing that is going up...meaning the meat of the move is gone and profit taking is around the corner. So small intraday top catchers time, stops run, back, and so for until they gave up and we take a breather on profit taking....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #476,476
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:36am Jun 30, 2011 2:36am
Quoting gatorinla
hell i only risk 1/4 % most of the time.. im looking for 40 pips then 40 more on this one. 4 pips = 1/4% and im at be already
indeed, could you put that post up in lights, or bold, or something....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #476,477
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:36am Jun 30, 2011 2:36am
Quoting Capn79
And you have a nice Doji on H4 - Good Luck
4480 then 4440 min
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #476,478
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:36am Jun 30, 2011 2:36am
maybe we get a close below 1.45 on the h.... lets c
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #476,479
  • Edited 2:47am Jun 30, 2011 2:37am | Edited 2:47am
Quoting swing 123
dont you think if text books are followed then the banks wil be the biggest losers what if it goes through the triangle do you have any other text book scenarios if that happens. just my thoughts?
Another POSSIBILITY...

Its not all in the textbook.....

Elliot allows you to imagine within limits, rules , patterns.

Fibs and waves help.

They say Charts never lie...

I am following ..they are within the rules..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DOUBLE IRREGULAR.jpg Size: 88 KB
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #476,480
  • Jun 30, 2011 2:38am Jun 30, 2011 2:38am
Quoting Raza
its not a time to sell..IMO/

nzd/usd previous chart ...

So euro can go higher ... I need to se a break of 1.4527 first
Interesting view!
Lorenzo
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