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  • #463,041
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:01am Jun 15, 2011 11:01am
I think we get a bounce here, if not the up trend is dead once this trendline gets broken, retested and fails. All IMHO of course. lol
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Yay! Pips for everyone!
  • #463,042
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:01am Jun 15, 2011 11:01am
Quoting PhAnTi'
D close below 4228/4232 and dive to 4000 area is likely imho.

see circled areas and importance of next lvl (dotted lines)

Attachment

anyway still watiting for a recent retrace to at least 4320.
We are looking at the same chart Phanti. I agree with your view. My levels differ a bit from yours because the way your daily chart is plotted (a technicality because at the end is the same bars we are looking at).

I am "ignoring" your 2nd circle from the right as it was made on Holidays and in my experience they never work for any TA analysis.

From a strictly TA point of view IMO the daily support made on May 6 (May 8/9) (In your chart this a little bit blured as you are plotting Sunday bars as a one daily candle I think) the only one 100% valid and strong (1,431x) and clearly confirmed last week as daily support but with intraday overshoot area on H4 at 1.428x (the one that was breached early today and swept out right now).

Agree 100% with your second horizontal line as target area as like the above support is also a weekly level.

Sadly the meat and easy part of the move is gone and just crumbs left for the next few hours (or week probably)

Nothing to do here, in my case, fools gold ....10/10 analysis but worthless for trading as I was late for the move and trigger and I just see the move go without an entry today ...don't you hate when that happens? well we'll check a new opportunity somewhere else I guess....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #463,043
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:01am Jun 15, 2011 11:01am
Quoting mercy seat
Meinetwegen sollen die doch ruhig versuchen das bis 1.4280 oder sogar unter 1.4260 zu drücken ...

Aber dann kriegen die sowas von einen echten BERLINER-EINS-A-SPIKE um die Schnautze gehauen ... dass denen aber hören und sehen vergeht ...

Dann wird wieder rumgepöbelt und geheult was das Zeug hält ...

Und Holland ist in Not ... und haste nich jeseh'n ...



;-|


Quoting mercy seat
Na ... da bin ich aber mal gespannt ...

Well explained there ...

An additional LINK to the reply to ramses would have been nice ...

As I do not scroll here much around ...

And of course upside dampened ... therefore we did play a little with fresh re-entries from 1.4270/66 zone ...

Next leg might bring us lower ...

Re-test of 1.426xx / 61 ...

1.4216 would be ok as well ...

I am prepaired ... kann mich kaum kratzen ...

At least ... further major upleg then ...



;-|...


Nicht die Dinge aus dem Kontext herausnehmen bitte ...

1.4216 would be ok as well ...

I am prepaired ... kann mich kaum kratzen ...

All very fine here ... more than fine ...



;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #463,044
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:02am Jun 15, 2011 11:02am
Quoting stevefx
6 consecutive 4hr bearish candles. Statistically, only 1.3 percent of all bearish 4hr streaks make it to 7 or more. So retrace time?
Where did You get the statistical info mate?


Seb
  • #463,045
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:02am Jun 15, 2011 11:02am
Quoting Venice
I could care less where the big boys are aiming at, just following price as it present themselves.
233 is not the biggest day yet this year. Fully risk of now, DOW and es falling and Greece and Moody giving us a helping hand.
  • #463,046
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:02am Jun 15, 2011 11:02am
Quoting cloggie
Thank you Greece, thank you Moody's.
Sup Clogs, I'm still rockin that short from 4477. Man I love the daily charts sometimes... lol
  • #463,047
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:03am Jun 15, 2011 11:03am
Quoting cloggie
233 is not the biggest day yet this year. Fully risk of now, DOW and es falling and Greece and Moody giving us a helping hand.
Nope, that ride in the beginning of May was a hell of one as well.
  • #463,048
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:04am Jun 15, 2011 11:04am
Quoting Flynchenberg
Where did You get the statistical info mate?


Seb
Here you go.
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  • #463,049
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:04am Jun 15, 2011 11:04am
Been waiting for this all day
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  • #463,050
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:04am Jun 15, 2011 11:04am
Quoting sisse
We are looking at the same chart Phanti. I agree with your view. My levels differ a bit from yours because the way your daily chart is plotted (a technicality because at the end is the same bars we are looking at).

I am "ignoring" your 2nd circle from the right as it was made on Holidays and in my experience they never work for any TA analysis.

From a strictly TA point of view IMO the daily support made on May 6 (May 8/9) (In your chart this a little bit blured as you are plotting Sunday bars as a one daily candle I think) the only one...
absolutely, i do ^^
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #463,051
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:05am Jun 15, 2011 11:05am
no doubt, euro is going to test 4060 level this week.
  • #463,052
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:05am Jun 15, 2011 11:05am
Quoting sisse
We are looking at the same chart Phanti. I agree with your view. My levels differ a bit from yours because the way your daily chart is plotted (a technicality because at the end is the same bars we are looking at).

I am "ignoring" your 2nd circle from the right as it was made on Holidays and in my experience they never work for any TA analysis.

From a strictly TA point of view IMO the daily support made on May 6 (May 8/9) (In your chart this a little bit blured as you are plotting Sunday bars as a one daily candle I think) the only one 100%...

Little Phant is maturing nicely in his trading, he will always be ugly as feck though.
  • #463,053
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:06am Jun 15, 2011 11:06am
Man...just checking the wires...all hell breaking loose....lovin the shorts!


Quoting cloggie
Little Phant is maturing nicely in his trading.
  • #463,054
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:08am Jun 15, 2011 11:08am
Quoting stevefx
Here you go.
Thx for that mate
Seb
  • #463,055
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:08am Jun 15, 2011 11:08am
Quoting Venice
I could care less where the big boys are aiming at, just following price as it present themselves. Chart itself tells what the 'big boys' are doing.
actually big banks dont really look at charts often when trading in shorter terms...
they just look, decide where they want it to be mostly their big clients would want perhaps a lower exchange rate on a certain pair, then they just key in that stop, and the rest is automatic.

not that im saying charts are useless, but big banks have so much money they wouldnt keep their eyes on the charts very often...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #463,056
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:09am Jun 15, 2011 11:09am
I seeing could get a big bounce 4150/75 re test 4215/48 resistance Doubt is she'll have the strength though. I just hit sell again 4228 project says this bounce is done.
Founder of Sutherland Wave Principle
  • #463,057
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:09am Jun 15, 2011 11:09am
Quoting Venice
I could care less where the big boys are aiming at, just following price as it present themselves. Chart itself tells what the 'big boys' are doing.
why would "big boy" collectevely play stop hunt during this time? maybe some one can do it in this market but it's irrelevant to me
"Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication" leonardo da vinci
  • #463,058
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:10am Jun 15, 2011 11:10am
Quoting 10piptrade
The market is still into a downward move however the 4month Ma came into play at 1.4489 which mean a 4hr need to close and open below for further down down movement which will target 1.4141 and if broken then 1.4028. this is a critical point so be patient. A move only come into play right now with a hour open close above 1.4352. Which mean no no buying until then just stop run and re entry. Will make update as i go
Ok guys trade update the 4hr as close which put 1.4141 into play, i reload on a short at 1.4302 with target at 1.4202 there was a quick break out but TP have not been hit as yet, however i have lock in another 60pips at (4.8%) of my account @ 1.4242 will being trailing from here on
Following the current trend
  • #463,059
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:13am Jun 15, 2011 11:13am
Quoting bguguen
actually big banks dont really look at charts often when trading in shorter terms...
they just look, decide where they want it to be mostly their big clients would want perhaps a lower exchange rate on a certain pair, then they just key in that stop, and the rest is automatic.

not that im saying charts are useless, but big banks have so much money they wouldnt keep their eyes on the charts very often...
I'm not sure what sh@t your trying to hawk here... but all I use is charts... and it's been working wonderfully so far.
  • #463,060
  • Jun 15, 2011 11:15am Jun 15, 2011 11:15am
Quoting cloggie
Little Phant is maturing nicely in his trading, he will always be ugly as feck though.
guess the 2nd part of ya statement is s.th pretty negative ... dont know how to construe it in the right way.....

anyway might be better if i dont know exactly if you mean with it... :- P

.. thanks for part one ...

always trying to improve my trading and especially to help others ( primary the very newbs here )

Jonas.
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
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