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  • #453,761
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:28am Jun 2, 2011 3:28am
Good morning,

quick analysis:

the move-down from yesterday looks at nearly all TF's corrective. I have a hard time to make it impulsive.

So we go with corrective.

Two possibilities:

a) we will see a new high

We may have seen an ABC down, now up to a new high

or

we make a new ABC down after this retracement (up) has finished

or

the move down was wave A, now in wave B up, wave C down should make an impulse (for an ABC flat 3-3-5). For a flat, wave B should retrace min. 90% of wave B (around 4440)

b) we are down in a leading diagonal. In a leading diagonal all the moves are ABC's. If it is a leading diagonal, we may be in wave 4 up. This wave 4 is now in territory of wave 1. Limit for this move is 4401. If breached, this count is invalidated
  • #453,762
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:30am Jun 2, 2011 3:30am
Quoting gatorinla
usdx has a valid N cross on the day closed.
Which, if I recall your chart correctly came after a test/rejection of the lower lip(74.28). In my view that is an even stronger cross, do you agree?
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #453,763
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:31am Jun 2, 2011 3:31am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Was it 10.15 GMT?
.
Exactly. On FF's calendar its 11:15 CET

Quoting Z3iz3i
If they actually break upside, then i consider this rangeing at the top.
It is pretty hard environment now for intraday trader, always need to question every potential EMA turns, R/S points etc.

Then there are those PAID politicians and institutions who squawk always at extreme points.
Yes. Purely incidentally markets move to sweet spots before our leaders speak their words of wisdom.
"Put your shoulder to the wheel!"
  • #453,764
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:32am Jun 2, 2011 3:32am
Quoting infinitus
Good morning,

quick analysis:

the move-down from yesterday looks at nearly all TF's corrective. I have a hard time to make it impulsive.

So we go with corrective.

Two possibilities:

a) we will see a new high

We may have seen an ABC down, now up to a new high

or

we make a new ABC down after this retracement (up) has finished

or

the move down was wave A, now in wave B up, wave C down should make an impulse (for an ABC flat 3-3-5). For a flat, wave B should retrace min. 90% of wave B (around 4440)

b) we are down in a leading diagonal....
Moin Fini!

Jawohl ... ich denke das war's schon bereits ...

1.4399 war hier das Verlaufshoch inzwischen ...



;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #453,765
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:32am Jun 2, 2011 3:32am
Quoting dxchen
will be above 4400. not more than 4420.how about you?
4405 is my stop loss....
1m chart we have a LL~~
I will see how next high plays..if above 97...I may just closed my position earli..save few pips..
if not...maybe add some more shorts??

hmmmm struggling...
we have falling stock, gold and oil......
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #453,766
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:34am Jun 2, 2011 3:34am
Quoting rattyo
Gold is not budging. as long as it never drops of a cliff the euro won´t.
Euro is not particually that strong going up but it is gradually going up each week now.
Crude is at a good level if there is any positive signs in the next 48hrs Ill be going long again to hold.
you may want to discount gold. its also going up verses the euro..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdx.PNG Size: 45 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #453,767
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:38am Jun 2, 2011 3:38am
Quoting johncen
4405 is my stop loss....
1m chart we have a LL~~
I will see how next high plays..if above 97...I may just closed my position earli..save few pips..
if not...maybe add some more shorts??

hmmmm struggling...
we have falling stock, gold and oil......
for me i will hold cause it still have the potential to fall back once it reach R1
  • #453,768
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:39am Jun 2, 2011 3:39am
Quoting mercy seat
Moin Fini!

Jawohl ... ich denke das war's schon bereits ...

1.4399 war hier das Verlaufshoch inzwischen ...



;-|

Verlaufshoch = simply high?

or does the word "Verlauf" bring an additional meaning to the phrase?
"Put your shoulder to the wheel!"
  • #453,769
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:40am Jun 2, 2011 3:40am
Quoting dxchen
for me i will hold cause it still have the potential to fall back once it reach R1
R1 is 4421 right?
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #453,770
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:43am Jun 2, 2011 3:43am
Quoting infinitus
Good morning,

quick analysis:

the move-down from yesterday looks at nearly all TF's corrective. I have a hard time to make it impulsive.

So we go with corrective.

Two possibilities:

a) we will see a new high

We may have seen an ABC down, now up to a new high

or

we make a new ABC down after this retracement (up) has finished

or

the move down was wave A, now in wave B up, wave C down should make an impulse (for an ABC flat 3-3-5). For a flat, wave B should retrace min. 90% of wave B (around 4440)

b) we are down in a leading diagonal. In...
Hi Markus and thanks for You analysiss. It is always apprieciated.

Anyway, can You post a chart with that counting?

Learning from You is a pleasure.

Seb
  • #453,771
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:43am Jun 2, 2011 3:43am
Quoting johncen
R1 is 4421 right?
mine show is 4416.. around that area. if break it then i will close the trade. Wait for the US news.
  • #453,772
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:44am Jun 2, 2011 3:44am
Quoting PayTheLimit
Which, if I recall your chart correctly came after a test/rejection of the lower lip(74.28). In my view that is an even stronger cross, do you agree?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #453,773
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:44am Jun 2, 2011 3:44am
s 4398
looking for investors . pm me
  • #453,774
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:44am Jun 2, 2011 3:44am
Quoting proletary
Verlaufshoch = simply high?

or does the word "Verlauf" bring an additional meaning to the phrase?
Yes it does in our language ... that's the reason why I prefer our a little bit more differenciated one ...

Es lebe der kleine aber nicht ganz unbedeutsame Unterschied !


2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #453,775
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:45am Jun 2, 2011 3:45am
Quoting infinitus
Good morning,

quick analysis:

the move-down from yesterday looks at nearly all TF's corrective. I have a hard time to make it impulsive.

So we go with corrective.

Two possibilities:

a) we will see a new high

We may have seen an ABC down, now up to a new high

or

we make a new ABC down after this retracement (up) has finished

or

the move down was wave A, now in wave B up, wave C down should make an impulse (for an ABC flat 3-3-5). For a flat, wave B should retrace min. 90% of wave B (around 4440)

b) we are down in...


OK, the leading diagonal is history now

That leaves us with the options out of a)

BUT:

If we see a new move down (without making a new high), and this move again is only ABC's, then we can consider too, that we are in a bigger leading diagonal. In this case the move down yesterday was wave 1, now in wave 2 up. In leading diagonals you normally see deep retracing wave 2 and 4's
  • #453,776
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:46am Jun 2, 2011 3:46am
Quoting rattyo
long this am 14350
not be trading this
much in the last few weeks

I´ve taken 3/4 of the trade for 50 pips profit now leave the rest you never know it may soar doubt it.
Not a particually good pair to trade at the moment with all sorts of dodgy news affecting it.
rat
  • #453,777
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:47am Jun 2, 2011 3:47am
closed manual.. 4401.. bed time -21 ca on these.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #453,778
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:48am Jun 2, 2011 3:48am
Broken the point with low volume compared to regular days, thin markets.
Anything can happen, be careful.


PS. Spanish bond auction seemed to be the main driver, nice front runner then...
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #453,779
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:51am Jun 2, 2011 3:51am
Quoting Flynchenberg
Hi Markus and thanks for You analysiss. It is always apprieciated.

Anyway, can You post a chart with that counting?

Learning from You is a pleasure.

Seb
Hi Seb,

thank you very much. Sorry, no chart the next hours. I am attending a congress and have only access to Internet via my smartphone. Sorry.....
  • #453,780
  • Jun 2, 2011 3:52am Jun 2, 2011 3:52am
Nice to wake up to some pips


Quoting pipper
Test of 8Hr trendline.. Going to take a big move to take out this support level. I favour a bounce.. Longs set from 4310 level @ BE
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
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