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EURUSD

  • #442,121
  • May 15, 2011 1:13pm May 15, 2011 1:13pm
OldReigatian why actually buy dips in a downtrend momentum acceleration instead of just selling rallies?

IEURX downside to expand further, resulting in weaker euro, IEURX to reach at least 105, so that translates to some 600-800 pips downside on euro.

http://img202.imageshack.us/img202/9485/ieurxd1.png
  • #442,122
  • May 15, 2011 1:22pm May 15, 2011 1:22pm
Quoting OldReigatian
Hi Guys

Just a quick question. We saw a drop of 270 pips Friday and I have a small long entered at 1.4075. Do you think it will hit my target of 1.4175? Obviously, EUR is very weak at moment and I believe along with most that we will get to 1.35 over time (probably 1.38 this week).

Just wondering whether you feel I am on the safe side if I leave it open for a small spike up before we start seeing some selling again
No quick answer can be given . it depends up as your own analysis & why you long & why set tp at that time . and if works then you should get it if not may not without a good drawdown or loss .
as per my smaller tf analysis in td sequential counts , it may move this way, logically though , move to 1.4075-69 at top trading range in murey math indicator as this chart open now , means still bullish M5 price , range 4114-4069 before back to again 4008,14,20 to even 45 to even 52 & 60 at 8/8 ultimate resistance M5tf mm . No breaks expecting first chance , next back towards the low & break as another leg down expecting to 4/8 majour sr , very hard to break at 1.4038 to lower trading range 1.4008 , try breaks but fail possible at 1.4000/1.3992. If want a bull lower trading range is best suite .now to wait if done bear or any extension to down . not down expecting though & hence possible retracement to your level , ok or UP enough.

Decide yourself next if not sl .

weekend may change lots of this smaller moves .

thanks ,
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu3.gif Size: 12 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #442,123
  • May 15, 2011 1:29pm May 15, 2011 1:29pm
I see two possible scenarios. Fibo 50 and Fibo 61 faling before next over the top move.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 11-05-15 - Sun - 22.22 - D - Week or Two prediction.png Size: 57 KB
  • #442,124
  • May 15, 2011 1:40pm May 15, 2011 1:40pm
Quote
I see two possible scenarios. Fibo 50 and Fibo 61 faling before next over the top move.

very cluttered chart.
  • #442,125
  • May 15, 2011 1:40pm May 15, 2011 1:40pm
EUR unusually quiet given the recent developements with IMF director.
  • #442,126
  • Edited 2:05pm May 15, 2011 1:46pm | Edited 2:05pm
Hi all,

I need some clarity on the daily calendar that Forexfactory publish daily please. I have had a look at some of the history on a couple of these indicators but found them to be inconsistant in that the value of the "Previous" field is not always the same as the last release's value. It seems like the last "Actual" value and the current "Previous" differ.

Example 1 (copy from home page)
----------------------------------------------Actual-- Forcast-- Previous
14-Jan | 3:30pm | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.50% | 0.70% | 1.00%
15-Feb | 3:30pm | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.30% | 0.60% | 0.30%
11-Mar | 3:30pm | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.70% | 0.70% | 0.60%
13-Apr | 2:30pm | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.80% | 0.70% | 1.10%
12-May | 2:30pm | USD | Core Retail Sales m/m | 0.60% | 0.70% | 1.20%

Should 15 Feb 2011's "Previous" value not be the same as 14 Jan's "Actual" value?


Example 2
---------------------------------------------------------- Actual-Forcast- Previous
05-Jan | 3:15pm | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 297 | 101 | 92
02-Feb | 3:15pm | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 187 | 148K | 247
02-Mar | 3:15pm | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 217 | 178K | 189
30-Mar | 2:15pm | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 201 | 205K | 208
04-May | 2:15pm | USD | ADP Non-Farm Employment Change | 179 | 200K | 207


Just a bit cunfusing, I would think the last "Actual" reading should be carried over and become the current "Previous" value not so?


Dean
Longs: buy low close high. Shorts: Sell high close low.
  • #442,127
  • May 15, 2011 1:57pm May 15, 2011 1:57pm
scenario similar to nov 2010

http://i56.tinypic.com/25ewy13.jpg
  • #442,128
  • May 15, 2011 2:05pm May 15, 2011 2:05pm
Quoting FxEpic
EUR unusually quiet given the recent developements with IMF director.
The markets already knew that he´s a horny bastard.
  • #442,129
  • May 15, 2011 2:08pm May 15, 2011 2:08pm
oanda opening down 40 pips, still short but would like to see a pullback to the 1.416 area to reload
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #442,130
  • May 15, 2011 2:09pm May 15, 2011 2:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
same chart from 2008. i have a shorter term target for 1.4009x so slippage can easily bring 40057 (yellow line on the chart) .. its a mid of a 2008 #.
close below 405xx as stated last week in a new b/o on a daily tf. but that dont mean we cant bounce after. i may even long in the 1.4 area with a candle. at the least i will protect most profit here and look to reload the short with confirmation in the st. all looks bearish, but its never a straight line.

Good evening fellow traders!

Market re-opened up at 1.4115 in the time between ...



Inserted Video





Daily Trend ... still in a overall neutralized situation (yes you have read right) ... 24-H-Potenzial (-02) ... which means Neutral with mild bearish structures ...

Weekly Trend ... turned into a bearish one from Elliott basis ... but as you can see it is in a prior to an "end of bearish move" structure ...

And yes ... look out for possible divercences in H4 and higher time frames ...




;-|
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2011-05-15_19h55 - Pivots + ZigZag A-B-C _ EURUSD _ Sunday Re-open _ W-20.PNG Size: 121 KB
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #442,131
  • May 15, 2011 2:11pm May 15, 2011 2:11pm
Quoting OldReigatian
Hi Guys

Just a quick question. We saw a drop of 270 pips Friday and I have a small long entered at 1.4075. Do you think it will hit my target of 1.4175? Obviously, EUR is very weak at moment and I believe along with most that we will get to 1.35 over time (probably 1.38 this week).

Just wondering whether you feel I am on the safe side if I leave it open for a small spike up before we start seeing some selling again
hmmm well its at 4080 atm.. so it aint looking good 4u
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #442,132
  • May 15, 2011 2:12pm May 15, 2011 2:12pm
Quote
Good evening fellow traders!

Wow man that's a cool looking excel spreadsheet you got there. I thought I was the only one who had fetish for the excel, though what I don is slightly less complicated.
  • #442,133
  • May 15, 2011 2:15pm May 15, 2011 2:15pm
Quoting ruffryders
Wow man that's a cool looking excel spreadsheet you got there. I thought I was the only one who had fetish for the excel, though what I don is slightly less complicated.



Fetish is a nice metaphore in that case ...
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #442,134
  • May 15, 2011 2:28pm May 15, 2011 2:28pm
Anyone have an early AUD quote, thanks in advance, PTL
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #442,135
  • May 15, 2011 2:28pm May 15, 2011 2:28pm
Quoting FxEpic
EUR unusually quiet given the recent developements with IMF director.
What the hell has Euro to do with Strauss-Kahn ... we should send him to the cellars of "Spandau Citadel" and do with him some nice classic "Sonderbehandlungen" ... that's all ...

Another one has to do his job then ...



;-|
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #442,136
  • May 15, 2011 2:30pm May 15, 2011 2:30pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
Anyone have an early AUD quote, thanks in advance, PTL
1.0551
  • #442,137
  • May 15, 2011 2:32pm May 15, 2011 2:32pm
Quoting darimik
1.0551
and dropping a bit
  • #442,138
  • May 15, 2011 2:32pm May 15, 2011 2:32pm
Quoting darimik
1.0551
THANKS d...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #442,139
  • May 15, 2011 2:33pm May 15, 2011 2:33pm
Quoting pipper
Nigel Farage : The TRUTH About The Disastrous EURO Currency!

Excellent viewing

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Q1R35WXZLc
so..umm... buy euro??
  • #442,140
  • May 15, 2011 2:33pm May 15, 2011 2:33pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
THANKS d...
shorts looking good ? good weekend ?
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