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  • #418,781
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:13am Apr 7, 2011 5:13am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #418,782
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:16am Apr 7, 2011 5:16am
Quoting gatorinla
4312.3 M 4 4275.5 #2 bear
normal S slip and bounce N expected.. but after if we come back... below 4275.5.... be careful with longs..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #418,783
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:19am Apr 7, 2011 5:19am
Quoting gatorinla
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7nqcL0mjMjw
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  • #418,784
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:19am Apr 7, 2011 5:19am
Quoting gatorinla
normal S slip and bounce N expected.. but after if we come back... below 4275.5.... be careful with longs..
in for long term or u will wait for Ecb
  • #418,785
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:19am Apr 7, 2011 5:19am
Quoting sisse
IMO, no man land until reports.

Without the actual rate announcement, FA short term is bearish. TA on major timeframes is obviously pointing up in a fresh break of 14 months highs. However in the last few hours H4 confirmed a rejection of swing high on weekly resistance level (an important bearish signal) and daily rejection is also in play on today close below 1.426x.

Obviously these short term TA signals have to be taken with caution given the key FA announcements that can change everything upside down in 5 minutes on a Trichet sneeze today....
Good morning sisse ,
Could you point me in the direction of the bear fundies .
Currently I have :-
1) the major US indices closed up.

2) oil again popped through $109

3) the highly anticipated rate hike in euro.

4) US government closure

5) US policy seems to be staying same low interest tone at least till june.

6) portugal bailout was already accounted for whether now or june seemed to be the question ,germany had a package waiting for them.the only question now is how much can they screw them for.

7) I feel germany will raise the rates to totally screw the smaller struggling economies now and play them like puppets .Germany is booming on the news of the bailouts of minor countries .
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #418,786
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:20am Apr 7, 2011 5:20am
Long 1.4272 Should bounce from this level.
  • #418,787
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:23am Apr 7, 2011 5:23am
Quoting gatorinla
normal S slip and bounce N expected.. but after if we come back... below 4275.5.... be careful with longs..
then again... 68 is is there. it could be worse.. it could be 69...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #418,788
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:24am Apr 7, 2011 5:24am
Quoting suirad
buy limit at previous resistance, now support @ 1.4253
Hoping fall before rate hike
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-WMCS5n7PG9.../eurusd_d9.png
Regards

look if its big candle then down to 4220
--------------------
  • #418,789
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:26am Apr 7, 2011 5:26am
entered.. expecting short term for at least a half..

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  • #418,790
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:26am Apr 7, 2011 5:26am
Quoting kill56
in for long term or u will wait for Ecb
it may not matter. they keep lying and the sheep are starting to notice.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #418,791
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:32am Apr 7, 2011 5:32am
Much stronger than median forecast of +0.5%.
  • #418,792
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:37am Apr 7, 2011 5:37am
crunchtime is coming. stop hunting galore.

on a side note, nice time to long. bad time to short.

nothing is real until ecb annouceemnt
  • #418,793
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:38am Apr 7, 2011 5:38am
selling still goes on despite good numbers someone pull the plug
  • #418,794
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:41am Apr 7, 2011 5:41am
Quoting Pipwanderer
selling still goes on despite good numbers someone pull the plug
I agree. I'm not sure which is it:
1)Somebody knows something and is desperately unloading his longs.
2)Somebody knows something and is desperately selling as much as he can.

3)(i hope)This is all pre market hype or the retrace to test support.
  • #418,795
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:43am Apr 7, 2011 5:43am
if no rate rise, how down it can go ?

how about stop sell at 75 - 100 pip away
Mohan
  • #418,796
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:47am Apr 7, 2011 5:47am
Quoting mohan76
if no rate rise, how down it can go ?

how about stop sell at 75 - 100 pip away
it was at 28xx 29 when they talked about raise. it was just above 2000 when they started the bank stress test lie.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #418,797
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:50am Apr 7, 2011 5:50am
  •  gdaym8
  • | Joined Jan 2011 | Status: You Never go broke making a profit | 71 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
it may not matter. they keep lying and the sheep are starting to notice.

Well said
Always remember "Logic" has NO place in the Forex markets
  • #418,798
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:50am Apr 7, 2011 5:50am
Just wondered what lies you were talking about. I just can't see anything than a sell off after the rate statement. At least Trichet will have a very hard time explaining...

Quoting gatorinla
it was at 28xx 29 when they talked about raise. it was just above 2000 when they started the bank stress test lie.
  • #418,799
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:51am Apr 7, 2011 5:51am
Quoting gatorinla
it was at 28xx 29 when they talked about raise. it was just above 2000 when they started the bank stress test lie.
i feel triche will disappoint market today, but i am not ready to blow my account
Mohan
  • #418,800
  • Apr 7, 2011 5:51am Apr 7, 2011 5:51am
Quoting mohan76
if no rate rise, how down it can go ?

how about stop sell at 75 - 100 pip away
.25% is expected use this as a pivot less and dovish meeting, my charts show we can move 400 pips .the same applies to above expected with hawkish comments at the meeting afterwards.

So depending on outcome we have between 120 pips atr to a strong/unexpected result ,with 400 pips involved.
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
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