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  • #416,881
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:49am Apr 1, 2011 9:49am
Quoting Tenshi28
I can't make neither heads nor tails of this PA, think I am gonna call it a week.
We have been posting with Paul the last few days these levels.

IMO, 1.415x and 1.405x are the only levels in play, all in the middle is noise. The detailed explanation on those number are somewhere in the prev posts. The first is FA sellers (on FED comments last friday, monday and today + NFP) and the very strong buyers at support 1.405x that have avoided at least 5 major bear push and reversed in less than 10 minutes for a 60 or more ticks (and in my opinion it won't hold the next one)...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #416,882
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:51am Apr 1, 2011 9:51am
Quoting Piters
LOL, not 'that' blindly" anyway..

however,

yes, - weekly close is important..
if close around 1.43 or higher, im shifting the gear..

have a good night mate.

green pips to everyone..
lol, sure I didn't want to mean that you were blindly trading ...lol sorry for the misunderstanding....

I don't think it will close above 1.43 today. but the level is the one I want to see for next week.... in any case, enjoy the weekend and we'll see next week.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #416,883
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:52am Apr 1, 2011 9:52am
Quoting sisse
We have been posting with Paul the last few days these levels.

IMO, 1.415x and 1.405x are the only levels in play, all in the middle is noise. The detailed explanation on those number are somewhere in the prev posts. The first is FA sellers (on FED comments lasr friday, monday and today + NFP) and the very strong buyers at support 1.405x that have avoided at least 5 major bear push and reversed in less than 10 minutes for a 60 or more ticks (and in my opinion it won't hold the next one)...

sisse
I see, that 80 pip rebound just got me by surprise, before that PA had been more or less what I thought, is all.

Btw, our call of better than expected NFP was correct after all.
  • #416,884
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:53am Apr 1, 2011 9:53am
Quoting sisse
We have been posting with Paul the last few days these levels.

IMO, 1.415x and 1.405x are the only levels in play, all in the middle is noise. The detailed explanation on those number are somewhere in the prev posts. The first is FA sellers (on FED comments lasr friday, monday and today + NFP) and the very strong buyers at support 1.405x that have avoided at least 5 major bear push and reversed in less than 10 minutes for a 60 or more ticks (and in my opinion it won't hold the next one)...

sisse

you mean it won't penetrate 14150
rat
  • #416,885
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:54am Apr 1, 2011 9:54am
What level do you see for next week SIsse?

Quoting sisse
lol, sure I didn't want to mean that you were blindly trading ...lol sorry for the misunderstanding....

I don't think it will close above 1.43 today. but the level is the one I want to see for next week.... in any case, enjoy the weekend and we'll see next week.

sisse
  • #416,886
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:57am Apr 1, 2011 9:57am
Quoting wannaberich
Gator says that no pip is left behind...
Where the heck is that handsome devil?
  • #416,887
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:58am Apr 1, 2011 9:58am
can someone please explain me why NFP numbers made euro go down so much only to go back exactly where it was......
  • #416,888
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:59am Apr 1, 2011 9:59am
if we could jump up 15pips in the next 2 mins we will have a bullish engulfing candle on H1 (too good to be true)
1.415 may resist and USDX around R1 now
  • #416,889
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:59am Apr 1, 2011 9:59am
Quoting A-lonetrader
.........
What? You sold into support? If you didn't at least pocket some at the obvious support on the 1H, I don't know what to tell you.
  • #416,890
  • Apr 1, 2011 9:59am Apr 1, 2011 9:59am
Quoting rattyo
you mean it won't penetrate 14150
there's also a trendline there. we'll see....
  • #416,891
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:00am Apr 1, 2011 10:00am
Quoting rattyo
you mean it won't penetrate 14150
It should hold today. London close will confirm that.

Quoting BrunargarFx
What level do you see for next week SIsse?
Not yet. I will wait for the weekly close to put monthly/weekly and daily in perspective. I don't want to jump the gun in my levels when NFP is just settling down. In general 2 options for today, if London close and price end the week chopping around these levels, or London goes and raise the bid and we will see a deep move down to broken daily R (that can be completed overnight during weekend)

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #416,892
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:00am Apr 1, 2011 10:00am
Quoting sisse
lol, sure I didn't want to mean that you were blindly trading ...lol sorry for the misunderstanding....

I don't think it will close above 1.43 today. but the level is the one I want to see for next week.... in any case, enjoy the weekend and we'll see next week.

sisse
np mate,

yes,, actually.. im looking that too.. If happens, we are opening the north gate for higher levels. Targets can go easy to 1.5

ECB is the key..
  • #416,893
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:03am Apr 1, 2011 10:03am
same chart and same shitt no break no shake still friday crazy

enjoy the range while it last good luck
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #416,894
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:04am Apr 1, 2011 10:04am
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The rate of growth in manufacturing jobs is "encouraging," according to New York Fed President William Dudley in a speech in Puerto Rico, and the firming of economic activity "is welcome and not a reason to reverse course." Dudley, who is vice chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee, stuck to his dovish positioning against some of the more hawkish comments by other regional Fed presidents in recent days. He said that even were jobs growth to accelerate to 300,000 per month from March's "notable" 216,000, there would still be considerable labor market slack at the end of 2012. Dudley said the recovery is still tenuous and repeated Chairman Ben Bernanke's view that the effect of rising commodity prices on inflation "should be transitory." He did add that the Fed needs to ensure commodity price pressures do not cause inflation expectations to become unmoored.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ny-...rse-2011-04-01

He spoke an hour ago.
Nothing worth having is easy.
  • #416,895
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:04am Apr 1, 2011 10:04am
I think we should get over with this, all agree on one target, put some billions in and just rip the profits next week.

Come to think of it, that's probably a typical conversation between Buffet and his buddies while drinking a cold one haha.
  • #416,896
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:05am Apr 1, 2011 10:05am
thanks for Sharing Sisse, your posts are always appreciated
Quoting sisse
It should hold today. London close will confirm that.



Not yet. I will wait for the weekly close to put monthly/weekly and daily in perspective. I don't want to jump the gun in my levels when NFP is just settling down. In general 2 options for today, if London close and price end the week chopping around these levels, or London goes and raise the bid and we will see a deep move down to broken daily R (that can be completed overnight during weekend)

sisse
  • #416,897
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:05am Apr 1, 2011 10:05am
The price hit the monthly pivot I see earlier on the down move.
rat
  • #416,898
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:06am Apr 1, 2011 10:06am
he he
Quoting Tenshi28
I think we should get over with this, all agree on one target, put some billions in and just rip the profits next week.

Come to think of it, that's probably a typical conversation between Buffet and his buddies while drinking a cold one haha.
  • #416,899
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:06am Apr 1, 2011 10:06am
Quoting Myrza
fully loaded on this..hope it goes to 4170..sl+1

Hourly refuse to close above nfp bar..closing all trades for the day. nice
  • #416,900
  • Apr 1, 2011 10:07am Apr 1, 2011 10:07am
Quoting Patience
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The rate of growth in manufacturing jobs is "encouraging," according to New York Fed President William Dudley in a speech in Puerto Rico, and the firming of economic activity "is welcome and not a reason to reverse course." Dudley, who is vice chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee, stuck to his dovish positioning against some of the more hawkish comments by other regional Fed presidents in recent days. He said that even were jobs growth to accelerate to 300,000 per month from March's "notable" 216,000,...
Funny he would say that when 300,000 jobs a month for a couple of years would amount to approx. the 7 million job gap we have now compared to pre-recession levels. Maybe I am missing something in the math here.
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