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  • #416,701
  • Apr 1, 2011 5:17am Apr 1, 2011 5:17am
let's see what lies ahead
my forex homies, we are expecting an additional 190,000 jobs in March, about the same growth as the 192,000 increase in February.

This is probably because the ADP employement change report released yesterday already revealed its estimate of an additional 201,000 jobs in March, which is also almost the same as February's 208,000 figure.


As good as these figures are though, you should still keep your eyes peeled for any surprises.

Last February, the U.S. unemployment rate declined to 8.9% instead of rising to 9.1%, while the non-farm payrolls beat consensus by 1,000.
After the report, EUR / USD pips popped up 50th

If the NFP comes in better than forecast, then I suspect it will be risk appetite that takes over, and not fundamentals
This means we might see both EUR / USD and GBP / USD gain

But - all presumed to be
  • #416,702
  • Apr 1, 2011 5:26am Apr 1, 2011 5:26am
read with me its NFP day
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  • #416,703
  • Apr 1, 2011 5:48am Apr 1, 2011 5:48am
hi all

guys i need help at the grave yard
any interesting indicator plz post it @ the grave yard
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=246111
  • #416,704
  • Apr 1, 2011 5:50am Apr 1, 2011 5:50am
Quoting sclpzmalay
We see some different among us:-

Pro - BUY (and other) Pro trader - SELL
Intermediate - BUY (and other) Intermediate - SELL
Beginner - BUY (and other) Beginner - SELL
Robot(EA) - BUY (and other) Robot(EA) - SELL

We do analysis, technique, trading system and etc... do you think you are LUCKY or UNLUCKY ?
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This is funny. And it what group are you?
  • #416,705
  • Apr 1, 2011 5:51am Apr 1, 2011 5:51am
Another Day, Another Non-Farms


http://www.tradingacademy.com/lesson...ex_article.htm
  • #416,706
  • Apr 1, 2011 5:53am Apr 1, 2011 5:53am
i am unplugging my mouse from the computer.
Just to keep the screens on to keep me entertained while NFP's rolling his ass out.
More than a hobby. Never a game. US Client at 1:50.
  • #416,707
  • Apr 1, 2011 5:58am Apr 1, 2011 5:58am
Quoting Pretorian
I believe this is FULL LONG at EUR/USD 1.4160
FULL LONG EUR/JPY 1.1850
same here @ 1.4155
  • #416,708
  • Apr 1, 2011 6:20am Apr 1, 2011 6:20am
Quoting Chi
i am unplugging my mouse from the computer.
Just to keep the screens on to keep me entertained while NFP's rolling his ass out.
hahhahahahahaaha
  • #416,709
  • Apr 1, 2011 6:24am Apr 1, 2011 6:24am
Quoting Pyramus
same here @ 1.4155

Remember... the overall sentiment is still bearish....
  • #416,710
  • Apr 1, 2011 6:41am Apr 1, 2011 6:41am
From FXStreet:

US non-farm Payrolls, due at 12:30 GMT are expected to have increased by about 190,000 in the month of March, after having risen by 190,000 in February.

Good luck, I'm just watching...
Quoting macsi
I was looking around to get some prediction of NFP, but couldn't find any. So I figured to try to calculate it. Yesterday's data shows:
-Initial Jobless claims 388.00k versus 394.00k previous
-Continuing jobless claims 3714.00k versus 3765.00k previous
-Previous unemployment rate 8.90%

If I suspects that salaries remain the same I get the following:
- 4101.00k jobless people versus 4159.00k previous
and if...
  • #416,711
  • Apr 1, 2011 6:43am Apr 1, 2011 6:43am
Quoting kill56
read with me its NFP day
Thanks for theese. Very helpful for me. I never understand harami or evening star

vjkk
  • #416,712
  • Apr 1, 2011 6:44am Apr 1, 2011 6:44am
Big news on April Fool's.... I think I'll sit this one out. I have a feeling I'll lose no matter what I do.
  • #416,713
  • Apr 1, 2011 6:53am Apr 1, 2011 6:53am
it's a confused trend day
  • #416,714
  • Apr 1, 2011 6:54am Apr 1, 2011 6:54am
Anyone else been scalping since 4AM? In this slightly short term bearish pattern I see it really behaving well within 2 trend lines.

I guess something to aid boredom till NFP

I was thinking about going long at 1.4150 but I was timid because of news.
  • #416,715
  • Apr 1, 2011 6:57am Apr 1, 2011 6:57am
price action all the way no indicators....NFP....a little shake out.. post charts later see ya after news stocks open
  • #416,716
  • Apr 1, 2011 7:00am Apr 1, 2011 7:00am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UploadImage.png Size: 70 KB


Purely technical .we have hit 4200, 4 times ,the next attempt will be the fifth .
If we push up from 4150 ,just using average true rage of 120 pips ,gives us 4270.
If it does push up i dont see 4270 being the top ,I feel the stops that would be triggered I'd expect above 4300 at least.
The market seems to be eating away at the bears at 4200 area .4150 would be a strong place to push from, aided by nfp .
The 50% fib at 4050 seems to be were most have loaded up though.

The bears cant hold 4200 with repeated attacks .
we got lots of mess to push through south and some nice bear stops above to aid the bulls.
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #416,717
  • Apr 1, 2011 7:02am Apr 1, 2011 7:02am
Quoting lanremail
it's a confused trend day
That is because it is NFP day

Here is the whipsaw range that will probably occur during the news announcement -

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NFP Range.png Size: 54 KB


It will probably whipsaw between roughly 1.41 and 1.42. Have fun while I stand on the sidelines!

T-30mins
  • #416,718
  • Apr 1, 2011 7:04am Apr 1, 2011 7:04am
Quoting FishHead
Big news on April Fool's.... I think I'll sit this one out. I have a feeling I'll lose no matter what I do.
Sensible
  • #416,719
  • Apr 1, 2011 7:05am Apr 1, 2011 7:05am
It appears the the upper TL that passed on top of the highs of the 22/03 and 24/03 now acts as support...
  • #416,720
  • Apr 1, 2011 7:08am Apr 1, 2011 7:08am
Quoting BrunargarFx
It appears the the upper TL that passed on top of the highs of the 22/03 and 24/03 now acts as support...
and daily highs 29th and 30th, confluence increases significance, but nfp volatility rules...
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