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  • #408,441
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:04pm Mar 16, 2011 10:04pm
Quoting infinitus
Closed my first long from 3870 @ 3927 for +57 pips.

Wow, that one covered my red pips from yesterday mornings short :-)
Moin Fini!

In this case we did it very similar ... I had a rest runner (long) from 1.3871 and covered it with a limit-order at 1.3925 ...

Did not even watch the screens ...

Still dark here in Germany ... erst recht dann wohl im Aosta-Tal ...

See you later ...


2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #408,442
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:05pm Mar 16, 2011 10:05pm
Quoting OldQuant

A legend, an icon, dead at the Merc.

the end on an era...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #408,443
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:12pm Mar 16, 2011 10:12pm
should get to 3949 before the chf news in an hour or so and then drop sharply from there, will love to short from 3952 to get higher than pot
  • #408,444
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:16pm Mar 16, 2011 10:16pm
Attached Image
  • #408,445
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:19pm Mar 16, 2011 10:19pm
Quoting mercy seat
2011-03-16 _ 23h15 CET _ EUR-USD : CLOSING (Wednesday)





EUR-USD : 1.39319 (rollover close / rollover open)





(+04) Trend + Potential (bullish risk) but reduced from +07 to +04 ...

0.0134...


Moin Mercy,

schon so früh auf den Beinen? Jaja, only the early bird catches the worm :-)


Since the move down can be counted as an impulse (leading diagonale) and the moves up since yesterday evening as a clear 3-3-5 flat correction, chances a very high that we saw the high at 401x and are now down in the first subwaves of a wave 3 down.

Corrective move up looks kind of exhausted so I cover "Stück für Stück" my long positions. Would have liked to see it going more up, since in a flat wave C is normally between 100-162% of A, but we are now at 62% (and it looks exhausted). Since the spike yesterday evening was special, maybe we have to take the 62% length.

Scaling out of longs and into shorts at this point.

Closing my second long 2/3 from 3870 @ 3926 for + 56 pips

Taking first small short position @ 3926
  • #408,446
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:23pm Mar 16, 2011 10:23pm
Quoting hindustani
should get to 3949 before the chf news in an hour or so and then drop sharply from there, will love to short from 3952 to get higher than pot
I fear you need luck since the upmove looks terribly exhausted. Would have loved to see it too, but to be realistic.......
  • #408,447
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:33pm Mar 16, 2011 10:33pm
Closed my rest longs from 3870 @ 3924

Took a second short @ 3926
  • #408,448
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:38pm Mar 16, 2011 10:38pm
Quoting infinitus
I fear you need luck since the upmove looks terribly exhausted. Would have loved to see it too, but to be realistic.......
yay !!!!!!!!
long live martingale theory
this spike was expected, typical fake out before the drop, i will get that 3949
  • #408,449
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:38pm Mar 16, 2011 10:38pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
the end on an era...
To help with your grief. And good luck today; event risk everywhere in everything.
Attached Image
  • #408,450
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:39pm Mar 16, 2011 10:39pm
blue level just above...49ish/65ish
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart1.gif Size: 14 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #408,451
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:42pm Mar 16, 2011 10:42pm
Quoting OldQuant
event risk everywhere in everything.
true that brother, keep it small, keep it tight...I'd like one nice look at them somewheres and then flatski...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #408,452
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:42pm Mar 16, 2011 10:42pm
Quoting infinitus
Closed my rest longs from 3870 @ 3924

Took a second short @ 3926

I did pretty much the same thing...
Attached Image
Australians wouldn't give a 'Forex' for anything else...
  • #408,453
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:45pm Mar 16, 2011 10:45pm
OQ, what you make of this eurotrash, thing still trades bid...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #408,454
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:46pm Mar 16, 2011 10:46pm
SECO Economic Forecasts is what will cause usdchf to drop later and is the current driving force behind euro spike.
  • #408,455
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:48pm Mar 16, 2011 10:48pm
SL @ BE , nothing to loose except time.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #408,456
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:48pm Mar 16, 2011 10:48pm
Quoting hindustani
SECO Economic Forecasts is what will cause usdchf to drop later and is the current driving force behind euro spike.

by spike do you mean the 13pip pop there?
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #408,457
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:48pm Mar 16, 2011 10:48pm
I am short..........
  • #408,458
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:49pm Mar 16, 2011 10:49pm
Quoting infinitus
Steve Hochberg from EW-International thinks, that we have seen the top @401x and are now down in a wave 3.

under this aspect I try to analyze the movement down from this top. The waves do not appear to be impulsiv, at least not at the lower TF's.

Especially strange the high spike this evening. When I asume that this spike up is the wave two of this wave 3, than the only solution for wave 1 I can offer is a leading diagonal.

Wave 2th after a leading diagonal retrace normally high. Since the wave A of this wave 2 is clearly a zigzag and no impulse...
I guess you are talking about the red scenario /which I am following since yesterday/. But how about the blue one?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd_15m_17-03-11.gif Size: 49 KB
  • #408,459
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:49pm Mar 16, 2011 10:49pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
blue level just above...49ish/65ish

no sxey
Attached Image
  • #408,460
  • Mar 16, 2011 10:50pm Mar 16, 2011 10:50pm
Third small short @ 3935
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