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EURUSD

  • #408,101
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:43pm Mar 16, 2011 3:43pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
It doesn't really surprise me at all. Atm, I'm trying to figure out for myself, how strong the dollar really is.
In November, when we touched to big weekly tl, EU was trading at 428x, now we're back down here at around 3900... help me out. My naive opinion tells me, that the dollar is stronger, or am I wrong?
IMO, you can't find a valid relation DX / Euro like that because they are not one to one correlated. Moreover, after last year fear moves, euro was in fear/over-exhausted mode dislocated (in range) from correlated markets and obviously with QE1 and 2 the distortions were even bigger between DX/Euro.

For me we are watching, the "last ticks" before the euro / dollar relation and moves comes back to "normal" times. On the more macro FA side and despite current short term externalities (M. East, Oil, Japan) as long as the hikes are first on Sterling, Euro and others, dollar will stay on the sidelines until the summer...after that we'll see what the dollar doomer say ....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #408,102
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:46pm Mar 16, 2011 3:46pm
a few snap shots of 30min PA with MM today....
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  • #408,103
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:50pm Mar 16, 2011 3:50pm
hatch gator


first of all is the eur strong to be at this level heck no , moody greece portogal and who know whos next, watch eur when yen start gos up


dixy not strong at all and the feds want a weak dollar, mind if they force the no fly zone dixy will get stronger safe heaven


yen japan in deep shitt when it ends god knows, unless japan start buying dollar we might see 70.00, with nuke in mind , its a matter of time may be tonight who knows , i will buy it even from here but tight SL
  • #408,104
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:54pm Mar 16, 2011 3:54pm
Quoting kill56
hatch gator

first of all is the eur strong to be at this level heck no , moody greece portogal and who know whos next, watch eur when yen start gos up
Well depend on your valuation and perspective. Playing devils advocate, you can argue that with all these problems and Euro is valuated by markets 40% stronger than the dollar ...imagine if they solve the problems 2? 2.5? ...lol

have a good night mate and good luck tomorrow.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #408,105
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:56pm Mar 16, 2011 3:56pm
Quoting sisse
Well depend on your valuation and perspective. Playing devils advocate, you can argue that with all these problems and Euro is valuated by markets 40% stronger than the dollar ...imagine if they solve the problems 2? 2.5? ...lol

have a good night mate and good luck tomorrow.

sisse

agree and green dreams
  • #408,106
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:57pm Mar 16, 2011 3:57pm
lol yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeennnnnn chffffffffffff
  • #408,107
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:58pm Mar 16, 2011 3:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
78.70 was the post war low.. we got within 4 pips today.. but we already broke out the monthly closes from 1995 @ 82.93.. many consider that a breakout. im tempted to long the db
i agree there may be a bottom out there, around 80, but things are not settled yet. I got some input from some partners in China saying prices of Japanese products(hi-tech components/parts mostly) are going ballistic, higher day by day and there's uncertainty @ every corner.

Heck, one supplier even said they'll only update prices only middle next week, till then no quotes, no deal.
  • #408,108
  • Mar 16, 2011 3:59pm Mar 16, 2011 3:59pm
will we close below 3888.4
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #408,109
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:01pm Mar 16, 2011 4:01pm
Quoting prezd
i agree there may be a bottom out there, around 80, but things are not settled yet. I got some input from some partners in China saying prices of Japanese products(hi-tech components/parts mostly) are going ballistic, higher day by day and there's uncertainty @ every corner.

Heck, one supplier even said they'll only update prices only middle next week, till then no quotes, no deal.
high prices mean less sales. the yen may cripple japan
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #408,110
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:01pm Mar 16, 2011 4:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
will we close below 3888.4

yen is gon foooked
  • #408,111
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:05pm Mar 16, 2011 4:05pm
little thin there...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #408,112
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:08pm Mar 16, 2011 4:08pm
Quoting kill56
yen is gon foooked

It is going to be a bloodbath at the open.
  • #408,113
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:11pm Mar 16, 2011 4:11pm
yen
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  • #408,114
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:12pm Mar 16, 2011 4:12pm
Quoting cloggie
It is going to be a bloodbath at the open.
yap SL is a must even if we see a clear path
  • #408,115
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:14pm Mar 16, 2011 4:14pm
good greif, usdjpy is 5/10 wide...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #408,116
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:15pm Mar 16, 2011 4:15pm
lol lol dammmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

yen is doomed


risky stop loss is a must
  • #408,117
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:16pm Mar 16, 2011 4:16pm
looks like there is little market for anything right now...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #408,118
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:16pm Mar 16, 2011 4:16pm
nice freefall
  • #408,119
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:17pm Mar 16, 2011 4:17pm
Quoting kill56
lol lol dammmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

yen is doomed

We are witnessing the collapse of a major currency. There is nothing anyone can do. This is why I love Fx so much, nobody can afford to outbid the market. Fx is the last true bastion of capitalism.

78 is a huge line in the sand. Right now there are no traders interested in defending it.
  • #408,120
  • Mar 16, 2011 4:17pm Mar 16, 2011 4:17pm
10 wide in eur now...lol
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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