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  • Post #28,661
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 12:42pm Mar 12, 2011 12:42pm
  •  rjlacha
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Mar 2010 | 52 Posts
Nice plan!! looking for the 1.0203 to break as long as .9944 hold. Below that then we could see .9750 before the 1.0203 break to the upside.

Quoting FX-Petra
Disliked
I'm not ely.... but let's give this a shot....
Ignored
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: AUDUSD - 4 HR - Mar-12 1022 AM (4 hour).png
Size: 125 KB
 
 
  • Post #28,662
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 2:42pm Mar 12, 2011 2:42pm
  •  bazooki
  • | Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Member | 60 Posts
Quoting trevone
Disliked
Does anyone think the aud/usd will pair again soon? On the hike above 1.0100 I took a rather long position and found myself sitting nicely, just want to know if its advisable to pull out whilst I am ahead or can I see further profits?
Ignored
Yes me, but as you can see almost everyone here is bullish! I simply don't trust last Fridays action Haven't shorted A/U yet, I would like to see what A/U does around 1.0170. If I short, my stop will be somewhere above 1.02.
 
 
  • Post #28,663
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 3:03pm Mar 12, 2011 3:03pm
  •  Bruce Flea
  • | Joined Jan 2011 | Status: Member | 179 Posts
Quoting bazooki
Disliked
I simply don't trust last Fridays action .
Ignored
That's two of us...
No way I'll wreck this... It's a beer truck!
 
 
  • Post #28,664
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 4:47pm Mar 12, 2011 4:47pm
  •  jezek5
  • | Joined Apr 2010 | Status: 888 | 1,664 Posts
Quoting Jade Gate
Disliked
yw jezek5

AU is considered one of the 5 "majors" because of the volume of heavily traded traffic

Here are some links to articles I've had published in Forex Journal perchance you want some light reading over the weekend

http://www.forexjournal.com/index.ph...ing&Itemid=488

http://www.forexjournal.com/index.ph...ing&Itemid=488...
Ignored
Great articles,thank you for posting them.
So many bells were ringing in my head whilst reading them.
You can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
 
 
  • Post #28,665
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 5:17pm Mar 12, 2011 5:17pm
  •  Pipstrumpf
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Member | 408 Posts
Big overall picture of the weekly:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: aud usd weekly 1.gif
Size: 22 KB


Definitely screams for going long.

Zoomed in on the weekly:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: aud usd weekly 2.gif
Size: 18 KB


Any bears here?

Looking at the daily:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: aud usd daily3.gif
Size: 18 KB


Wow, besides myself somebody is really buying dips like they can't get enough. The AUD is here to stay my friends. For months now it has been one of the easiest pairs to trade because of such underlying strength and the huge positive swap. Beni Heli will be the last man standing on this earth raising rates and if you like rumors QE3 is on the cards which is good for Wall Street and bad for the US$.
 
 
  • Post #28,666
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 5:23pm Mar 12, 2011 5:23pm
  •  baron193
  • | Joined May 2006 | Status: Member | 768 Posts
Quoting FX-Petra
Disliked
I'm not ely.... but let's give this a shot. Anyone can see that the 9970 area has become strong support. After that, 9800. To the topside we have 1.0200 and 1.0250. Therefore:

1. Longs only until a daily close below 9800
2. Buy dips. I will buy in the following areas. My postion size is 1 lot:
-- 1/2 postion between 1.0080 and 1.0100
-- 1/2 postion near parity
-- 2 full lots near 9970 (close one on a daily close below 9940)
-- 1 full lot near 9860
-- 2 full lots @ 9810
Emergency stop @ 9750 on all postions.
3. Buy Topside breaks.
-- 1 lot on a...
Ignored
This is directed at Ely, not you, but since you want to play lets do it.
Are all of the above limit/stop positions already placed? or a trading plan for the week? if and when sort off?
I trade differently, i will most likely not trade the open, will check through the day, with a bit of luck the price will not shoot off without a re trace to (preferably) somewhere like 1.0060.
But knowing that price can throw a lot of surprises it is likely it will make new high (above 1.0200) without re trace.
Observing how price has moved during the Asian session will give me the cue for entry, which may be a long most likely or it could be a short depending on how PA is at the brake of the resistance(1.0200ish).
When trade is entered i will tell you what i plan to do with it.
Many sweet warm regards
Biggest joker
 
 
  • Post #28,667
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 5:57pm Mar 12, 2011 5:57pm
  •  myfxjournals
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 152 Posts
Think Fast....Speak Slow....

You may want to rethink your weekly overview of the USD.....just hate to see retail traders get stuck at the top of AU.....



Quoting Pipstrumpf
Disliked
Big overall picture of the weekly:
Attachment 659851

Definitely screams for going long.

Zoomed in on the weekly:
Attachment 659852

Any bears here?

Looking at the daily:
Attachment 659853

Wow, besides myself somebody is really buying dips like they can't get enough. The AUD is here to stay my friends. For months now it has been one of the easiest pairs to trade because of such underlying strength and the huge positive swap. Beni Heli will be the last man standing on this earth raising rates and if you like rumors QE3 is...
Ignored
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: AUDUSDWeek8OEW.png
Size: 14 KB
 
 
  • Post #28,668
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 6:14pm Mar 12, 2011 6:14pm
  •  Pipstrumpf
  • | Joined Mar 2010 | Status: Member | 408 Posts
Quoting myfxjournals
Disliked
Think Fast....Speak Slow....

You may want to rethink your weekly overview of the USD.....just hate to see retail traders get stuck at the top of AU.....
Ignored
Sorry, I said buy on dips levels are clear where to enter for a punt.
I do not know where the future top is but know that if you apply some geometric shapes to your chart in conjuction with your overall trend to buy on dips meaning buy low which clearly is not the case at present level. So traders please do not enter long now you have missed the train wait for a confirmed breakout or lower prices and no, do definitely not enter any trade based on 5min chart for a long term position.

Hope this is crystal clear to anybody here.
 
 
  • Post #28,669
  • Quote
  • Mar 12, 2011 10:09pm Mar 12, 2011 10:09pm
  •  myfxjournals
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 152 Posts
Thanks for clarifying Pipstrumpf....I agree with everything you've said....except that my weekly sentiments is for a fall....not sure if price will fall then rise up slightly higher before the real fall......but the weekly chart looks like signs of weakening top as price is struggling to climb higher.....in any case.....thanks for the insight.....I'll definitely be aware.




Quoting Pipstrumpf
Disliked
Sorry, I said buy on dips levels are clear where to enter for a punt.
I do not know where the future top is but know that if you apply some geometric shapes to your chart in conjuction with your overall trend to buy on dips meaning buy low which clearly is not the case at present level. So traders please do not enter long now you have missed the train wait for a confirmed breakout or lower prices and no, do definitely not enter any trade based on 5min chart for a long term position.

Hope this is crystal...
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #28,670
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:38am Mar 13, 2011 9:38am
  •  andelumut
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 390 Posts
Quoting Pipstrumpf
Disliked
Big overall picture of the weekly:
Attachment 659851

Definitely screams for going long.

Zoomed in on the weekly:
Attachment 659852

Any bears here?

Looking at the daily:
Attachment 659853

Wow, besides myself somebody is really buying dips like they can't get enough. The AUD is here to stay my friends. For months now it has been one of the easiest pairs to trade because of such underlying strength and the huge positive swap. Beni Heli will be the last man standing on this earth raising rates and if you like rumors QE3 is on...
Ignored
from the weekly chart, look to remain bullish strength is still very strong,
only an analysis, and I'm always wrong, don't follow me,
 
 
  • Post #28,671
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2011 12:05pm Mar 13, 2011 12:05pm
  •  moonnblue
  • | Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Junior Member | 6 Posts
and the dow spx are not safe from collapse
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: gravestone.png
Size: 67 KB
 
 
  • Post #28,672
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2011 6:52pm Mar 13, 2011 6:52pm
  •  yakuzaking
  • | Joined Jan 2011 | Status: Who let the dogs out (woof, woof | 160 Posts
wait for today's japan Monetary Policy Statement
 
 
  • Post #28,673
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:23pm Mar 13, 2011 9:23pm
  •  ely
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 248 Posts
http://twurl.nl/i6efbt
 
 
  • Post #28,674
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:14pm Mar 13, 2011 10:14pm
  •  yakuzaking
  • | Joined Jan 2011 | Status: Who let the dogs out (woof, woof | 160 Posts
reckon tomorrow's wool future will dip down a lot
i can see 19 micrion under 1550 and 21 micron is under 1230
and crossbred....
 
 
  • Post #28,675
  • Quote
  • Edited 11:50pm Mar 13, 2011 11:01pm | Edited 11:50pm
  •  myfxjournals
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 152 Posts
AUDUSD Chart Update...to previous post...

http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...ostcount=28673




Quoting myfxjournals
Disliked
Think Fast....Speak Slow....

You may want to rethink your weekly overview of the USD.....just hate to see retail traders get stuck at the top of AU.....
Ignored
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: AUDUSD 9 Week.png
Size: 14 KB
 
 
  • Post #28,676
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2011 11:10pm Mar 13, 2011 11:10pm
  •  FX-Petra
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 1,674 Posts
Long @ 1.0075, as per my previously stated plan. 1/2 lot. Target 1.0150. Good trades to all.

Regards,
 
 
  • Post #28,677
  • Quote
  • Mar 13, 2011 11:53pm Mar 13, 2011 11:53pm
  •  myfxjournals
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 152 Posts
Just my two cents but I think bias is short at the moment....at least according to my simple chart
 
 
  • Post #28,678
  • Quote
  • Mar 14, 2011 12:06am Mar 14, 2011 12:06am
  •  bazooki
  • | Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Member | 60 Posts
Quoting myfxjournals
Disliked
Just my two cents but I think bias is short at the moment....
Ignored
I agree, but with the current market volatilty it could go either way the next few trading sessions (EU/US). There's also a gap (at least on my charts) that could be filled soon (up to 1.0136). I'm for sure not starting any positions halfway of last Fridays daily bar.
 
 
  • Post #28,679
  • Quote
  • Mar 14, 2011 12:09am Mar 14, 2011 12:09am
  •  Venice
  • Joined Jul 2010 | Status: Weebley Wobbly Timey Wimey stuff | 10,604 Posts
Yeah... let london define the direction for now... if your not scalping you really shouldn't be placing any trades.

To me, it feels like ti would be no different then rolling the dice.
 
 
  • Post #28,680
  • Quote
  • Mar 14, 2011 12:11am Mar 14, 2011 12:11am
  •  myfxjournals
  • | Joined Dec 2010 | Status: Member | 152 Posts
Yes I agree with both you and Bazooki....

Sidelines for now...

Quoting Venice
Disliked
Yeah... let london define the direction for now... if your not scalping you really shouldn't be placing any trades.

To me, it feels like ti would be no different then rolling the dice.
Ignored
 
 
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