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  • #405,941
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:30pm Mar 13, 2011 9:30pm
Quoting buonvangvn
good luck
thx, there was a typo... target 3885.6, not 3855.6.

the compression should be completed.
  • #405,942
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:31pm Mar 13, 2011 9:31pm
Quoting Venice
Seems to me the Aussie has been moving more intraday then euro as of late.

May switch over to it as my scalping vehicle.

Agreed. AUD has been moving quite a bit. A lot.

I've done the same. Scalped 15 from 85 to 70.
  • #405,943
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:35pm Mar 13, 2011 9:35pm
Quoting Texas.Rich
I have the chart for the average range, you are right for the past week I think {Checked it on Saturday}, but before last week the Euro range was like 180 I think a day and the Aud was around 120.

So don't make 'long' term plans because it will probably go back to normal soon.

Have to remember the most liquid is the Eur/Usd.

The Aud/Usd has a lot of large moves that I find unattractive for scalping when compared to Eur/Usd.
Does your average range include low to high for it's calculations, or each zig zag?

One thing about the Aussie... Is that, at least of late, tends to do a lot of zig and zagging, but then doesn't end up very far from where it started.
  • #405,944
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:36pm Mar 13, 2011 9:36pm
Closing my silver trades for a nice intraday gain ...
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  • #405,945
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:37pm Mar 13, 2011 9:37pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
as long as 3916 holds, this is better than nothing. m15 ab=cd-target is 3885.6, if there goes anything.
agree, my chart point 13885 is first target, *
and euro is still in the uptrend

guess will go below to 13810 to confirm downtrend
  • #405,946
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:41pm Mar 13, 2011 9:41pm
Quake Toll May Top 10,000 as Japan Battles to Prevent Nuclear Meltdown

Japan’s Prime Minister Naoto Kan said the situation at a power plant north of Tokyo continued to be a “concern” as the death toll from the nation’s strongest earthquake and ensuing tsunami may top 10,000.
  • #405,947
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:43pm Mar 13, 2011 9:43pm
Quoting yakuzaking
agree, my chart point 13885 is first target, *
and euro is still in the uptrend

guess will go below to 13810 to confirm downtrend
there are lots of things to both sides, so it's scalping time for me. that way, I don't have to marry any direction.
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  • #405,948
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:44pm Mar 13, 2011 9:44pm
Quoting Venice
Quake Toll May Top 10,000 as Japan Battles to Prevent Nuclear Meltdown

Japan’s Prime Minister Naoto Kan said the situation at a power plant north of Tokyo continued to be a “concern” as the death toll from the nation’s strongest earthquake and ensuing tsunami may top 10,000.

This is so horrible Devastating loss of life.
  • #405,949
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:45pm Mar 13, 2011 9:45pm
Quoting Chicky
Congrats on this success.

How many steps remain now?
Can't really tell, with the rate I'm going now I'll be trading for a living by the end of this year. And it would be a good living.
Taking out $1,500 every week, and still building capital with a good pace.

Shamu
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #405,950
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:52pm Mar 13, 2011 9:52pm
Quoting gordonfx
cloggie ... and the 4 to 1 loss ratio is not becoming to a man who has such great stature, in his own mind.
I've been out for four days in which I didn't read FF, and just jumped in randomly to read some of the thread at about the point of this post, and this common misconception caught my eye.

Show me someone who nets ten or more times Futures Contract Equivalent Margin per year in trading (i.e., $35,000 or so per 100M lot of E/D), and I'll show you either:

a. Someone lottery-winning lucky, or lacking any money management or drawdown management,

or,

b. Someone who sustains 70 percent or more failed position trades.

The main reason for "b" is that market movements have Pareto law form: 90% of net change occurs in 10% of real time (the exact numbers are beside this point). This means that if you are not in the market, or wait for the "perfect" setup, or wait for a trend to really get moving, you run the risk of missing explosive moves that often entail half or more of the total of a trend move.

If Cloggie asserted somewhere up thread, in his ongoing "dialogue" with others here, that he has a 4-1 loss ratio, that is in fact very becoming to him, or any trader who has his eye on the bottom line, and no ego on the line in meaningless score keeping of counts of trades lost or won.

FWIW, last week I had 11 "binding" (direction change 'guess') trades (not counting position scaling trades on the trend direction). Of those, 8 were losses. The week netted 43% FCEM, with flattening for the weekend.
  • #405,951
  • Mar 13, 2011 9:59pm Mar 13, 2011 9:59pm
Quoting SunTrader
You know hangin here in Boca with Jerry Seinfeld's mother poolside waiting for the shuffleboard court to open up. The usual.

I noticed last week, when I went searching, that Jay W hasn't posted since sometime in January. Don't have a clue what he is up to these days.

Maybe his secretary in Pyongyang knows - Jenny 876-5309?
sorry about the late reply. Power went out (I was running on cell phone and lap top),but I'm back to AC.

Jay was talking last year about moving to Japan. I hope he didn't, but he has family there. An extra prayer can't hurt.

Bed time,,,,,, ya'll have fun guessing how the BOJ will affect things.
  • #405,952
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:06pm Mar 13, 2011 10:06pm
Quoting Texas.Rich
Closing my silver trades for a nice intraday gain ...
closed, thinking about long ... or breakout of short side...
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  • #405,953
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:06pm Mar 13, 2011 10:06pm
Better go long for a move to 1,4000 and above.
Dips have been accumulated thurday and friday....

Daily has seen a bounce off an important support
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #405,954
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:07pm Mar 13, 2011 10:07pm
as I still cannot identify them on my own, I need help...
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  • #405,955
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:11pm Mar 13, 2011 10:11pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
as I still cannot identify them on my own, I need help...
I just chuckled, I thought it said 'i can find them on my own ..' and then i saw 'auto chartist' ...
  • #405,956
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:11pm Mar 13, 2011 10:11pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
as I still cannot identify them on my own, I need help...
That is just one correct number of times that predicted very low.
  • #405,957
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:16pm Mar 13, 2011 10:16pm
Quoting KillerWhale
Not really true. Last week I was up 3.1%. This Sunday it's way more.

Today was way more than average.

nice....well done.
I hope to be in your postion as a full timer.

keep up the good work
  • #405,958
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:16pm Mar 13, 2011 10:16pm
Leaving positions open while I go away for a few, USDX still treading accross positive trend line ... below there is still a few lines of support.

With world equity markets how they are so far & no big news for next 24 hours or so at least, I expect ranging to take place with 0% chance of setting weekly high/low depending on trend.
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  • #405,959
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:16pm Mar 13, 2011 10:16pm
Quoting buonvangvn
That is just one correct number of times that predicted very low.
I'm sorry, but I don't understand your comment.
  • #405,960
  • Mar 13, 2011 10:17pm Mar 13, 2011 10:17pm
Quoting Texas.Rich
Leaving positions open while I go away for a few, USDX still treading accross positive trend line ... below there is still a few lines of support.

With world equity markets how they are so far & no big news for next 24 hours or so at least, I expect ranging to take place with 0% chance of setting weekly high/low depending on trend.
Market Steady Ahead Of BOJ
JPY traders are probably feeling a bit punch drunk after this morning’s moves and now we await the BOJ monetary policy meeting and what course of action it may take in the aftermath of the earthquake and tsunami.
It will probably be a few hours yet before we hear anything definite but further monetary easing is a possibility. The meeting has been brought forward and cut from two days to one, so the BOJ is obviously eager to get it’s policy steps into the public arena asap.

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