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  • #404,241
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:09am Mar 10, 2011 9:09am
Quoting cloggie
Plan it, post it, trade it. A few muppets here gave me sh!t for not posting plans in advance (they must think I am a freakin' signal service) so wanted to put one up to shut them up for a few days.

This place is fun and entertaining. It keeps me occupied while I wait for my setups to materialises, keeps me from downloading stuff I shouldn't
You know, with the right antivirus, that never has to be a problem...

That's how I am though (with the trading, not the downloading of footage, I stream it... lol)... ANYWAYS, if I posted my trades that I am scalping, I would generate a ton of noise. Most of the time, I'm only aiming for 5-20 pips depending on how the pa is acting. Easily flipped back and forth in an hours period. Everyone would be completely lost, and if you tried to follow those calls it would be a pointless venture.

I do post my longer term trades like on the swissy, aussie etc on their respective threads... but I doubt those who actually buy based off of where I put my signal in are ready to accept the expected draw down associated with daily / weekly charts. 24 hours is a long time for a single candle and there are times, when the currencies like to be screwy and range (swissy as an example). I'm pretty sure that would shake out anyone who placed an order based on a call someone else made.
  • #404,242
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:09am Mar 10, 2011 9:09am
Quoting wormboy
I know what you mean ..

"it's going up, its going down, I buy here now stop in BE no charts nada, I made a kajillion pips sorry for my engliss"

And of course the WTF's, the charts after the fact that showed the unannounced rate hikes and the "can we buy yet"'s
  • #404,243
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:09am Mar 10, 2011 9:09am
Quoting FibbinArchie
m5 100ema, temporary res?
Hi Fibbin,

I am just doing a validation of good EMA lines.

From what I know now the standard lines (50, 100, 200) are bad lines with a very low sharp ratio.

Best line around 100 is 120.
  • #404,244
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:10am Mar 10, 2011 9:10am
sub 3812 to give it back to the bears...
  • #404,245
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:11am Mar 10, 2011 9:11am
Quoting gatorinla
ths cocksuka closed at 14.. 15 is on a long term weekly chart. atm its above.. the next hour is a 4h close using 00 est.
have 16 too
  • #404,246
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:11am Mar 10, 2011 9:11am
Quoting infinitus
Hi Fibbin,

I am just doing a validation of good EMA lines.

From what I know now the standard lines (50, 100, 200) are bad lines with a very low sharp ratio.

Best line around 100 is 120.

You taking the difference between futures and spot ticks into account? Just a tought. MA's on spot are different then futures, also think about the calcs vs, the retail closure on weekends, not all MA's/brokers can handle that.
  • #404,247
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:12am Mar 10, 2011 9:12am
Quoting infinitus
Hi Fibbin,

I am just doing a validation of good EMA lines.

From what I know now the standard lines (50, 100, 200) are bad lines with a very low sharp ratio.

Best line around 100 is 120.
hey markus, have always used 50, 100, 200, and emas are not a major part of my trading, but will definitely look into it, thanks....
  • #404,248
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:14am Mar 10, 2011 9:14am
Quoting infinitus
Hi Kill,

today I have done a fresh evaluating of EMA's on different TF's.

I have ran data worth over a year on 5, 15 and 60 min TF. Interestingly they do not differ much. So take one setup for all TF's

These are the best EMA's: (I have choosen the best of the ranges 1-100, 100-200, 200 and above)

EMA 40
EMA 120
EMA 242 /eventually 272 too

EMA 200 fails miserably with a sharp ratio of 0,07 vs 0,23 on EMA 242
I have just validated the data on 4h TF.

Best EMA's

40, 120, 234, 270 (or 272)
  • #404,249
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:18am Mar 10, 2011 9:18am
[quote=gatorinla;4460825]
Quoting gatorinla
#5 3790.2 ...#4 done.. bounce usually after slip[/quote]
next.
missed
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #404,250
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:18am Mar 10, 2011 9:18am
ps. entry was based on atr being covered by knee jerk to spain downgrade, and rejection of levels below previous support, I cannae be arsed to post a chart right now soz...
  • #404,251
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:18am Mar 10, 2011 9:18am
Quoting infinitus
I have just validated the data on 4h TF.

Best EMA's

40, 120, 234, 270 (or 272)
testing
  • #404,252
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:20am Mar 10, 2011 9:20am
Quoting infinitus
I have just validated the data on 4h TF.

Best EMA's

40, 120, 234, 270 (or 272)
If you are using EMA for a quick reference of what price is doing use any EMA but if you want to take a trade draw a S/R line on H4 no EMA will beat that....just my 2 cents.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #404,253
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:20am Mar 10, 2011 9:20am
Forex is hardly moving, unlike the other markets!!!
  • #404,254
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:22am Mar 10, 2011 9:22am
walking the dog

lo london
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  • #404,255
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:22am Mar 10, 2011 9:22am
Quoting wormboy
if it turns & test 3775 first you're screwed
me too lol
Verily, in every difficulties there is relief
  • #404,256
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:23am Mar 10, 2011 9:23am
Quoting AmeriTrini
Forex is hardly moving, unlike the other markets!!!
dunno about the other pairs but e/u made it's daily move during asia and frankie open...
  • #404,257
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:26am Mar 10, 2011 9:26am
3740 to 3710 range then up
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #404,258
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:32am Mar 10, 2011 9:32am
Quoting cloggie
You taking the difference between futures and spot ticks into account? Just a tought. MA's on spot are different then futures, also think about the calcs vs, the retail closure on weekends, not all MA's/brokers can handle that.


My data are from spot ticks only and they relay on the database of Dukascopy.

If we stay in smaller TF's like 1,5,15,60,240 min the sheer amount of data obtained during market hours outweight particularities of market closure and opening at weekend. Such particularities will be not significant in the end.

Data has been analyzed on a tick basis with an fast genetic based algorithm on a MT5.

Note: I have only researched even numbers (because of speed). But the difference to former analysis with even and odd numbers are minimal for this purpose. There seem to be some "clusters" with "good" EMA lines, where the difference is minimal.

But I have just started a run with odd numbers on 1h TF

Will give the results later when finished.
  • #404,259
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:33am Mar 10, 2011 9:33am
Quoting primzvicious
me too lol
lol, don't tell me you bought without a stop too?

I pointed it out to him because I saw no emergency stop on his chart. pretty risky considering the pair still has valid lows
Thank You
  • #404,260
  • Mar 10, 2011 9:35am Mar 10, 2011 9:35am
Quoting wormboy
lol, don't tell me you bought without a stop too?

I pointed it out to him because I saw no emergency stop on his chart. pretty risky considering the pair still has valid lows
& here it comes again.
Thank You
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