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  • #401,521
  • Mar 5, 2011 8:08pm Mar 5, 2011 8:08pm
I just saw you edited your post: now it´s an "hypothetical".

Ok. Doesn´t matter I know what you meant.

Over and out.
  • #401,522
  • Mar 5, 2011 8:12pm Mar 5, 2011 8:12pm
Even if English is not my native language I know the difference between "Analogy" and "paradox."
  • #401,523
  • Mar 5, 2011 8:14pm Mar 5, 2011 8:14pm
Quoting Rednose
Even if English is not my native language I know the difference between "Analogy" and "paradox."

Down boy.... sit.... now play nice.
  • #401,524
  • Mar 5, 2011 8:16pm Mar 5, 2011 8:16pm
Quoting knuckledrag
Down boy.... sit.... now play nice.
woof!....
  • #401,525
  • Mar 5, 2011 9:04pm Mar 5, 2011 9:04pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.jpg Size: 91 KB
  • #401,526
  • Mar 5, 2011 9:16pm Mar 5, 2011 9:16pm
The information iS already given to us - where sellers exceed buyers - this is price reading @ its finest


if you can't read whats hidden in plain view or simply in plain view before any reports about bail outs or any other bs you trade


visit the thread - my army of pa traders who would piss on your trading strategy you think you have


because - for us its


price arrival, pa watch - execution without all the bs


you heard it here first




i am red
  • #401,527
  • Mar 5, 2011 9:35pm Mar 5, 2011 9:35pm
Quoting pkimnyc
interesting to see how a simple question can elevate to an argument that has nothing to do with market with yet no straight answer to my original question....
i wonder if it's the way how successful traders behave...
gl all next week. lol
Inserted Video
  • #401,528
  • Mar 5, 2011 9:49pm Mar 5, 2011 9:49pm
Quoting longshot_nl
you too, please be more carefull with words.
if you draw this on your chart and fib it with respect to levels and EW you might understand.
but too many fibs for any chart so i left em out..
The length of the prediction is equal to the length of most recent significant down move and has confluence with resistance..
the rest is just putting the puzzle together.
a H&S with retest all fit.
Seriously?

You are predicting 5 trends + an exit. Did you even have math in school?

Assuming you have a 50% chance for this to happen the chances are 50-25-12.5-6.25-3 and exit = 1.5% chance of happening.

And thats also wrong cause I haven't calculated the length of the trends you are assuming... Nor the % chance of the first entry (which I need your system for doing). Which you probably don't have...


Twee, would be good to have the opportunity to vote for each post. Even better, traders should have had an license for being allowed to trade...

Incredible....

Not for you specifically Longshot, just the endless useless predictions in here...

Now, should I delete this post or should I ..... ops...
  • #401,529
  • Edited 2:10am Mar 6, 2011 1:17am | Edited 2:10am
Quoting longshot_nl
its not random, but i left it away becouse people like you won't understand.
my new prediction..
Its a nice chart....

I have something similar from EW PROSPECTIVE.

Based on your other chart on a different forum where you are counting your C wave(5) I have a 2 price limitations.... 1. @ 1.4092 and #2 @ 1.4138 anything above that is Bullish breaking the high of 1.4281.

That C is in 5 waves so its tricky to see if that is a Leading Diagonal or an Ending Diagonal ( from 1.3428 to present).

So if a Leading diagonal your C can be wave#1 wherever it ends. So retrace of 1.3428.

If it is an ending Diagonal... then your chart above will make sense. If it is so my price limitaion is 1.3306 +- 10 PIPS.

I will also short from the highest level you have marked for me it is 1.4092 then 1.4138. after that I would not sell.

Hope what i wrote above makes sense without a Chart.

You apply good possibilities on your chart right or wrong......

By the way the LAST DAILY candle is suspicious looking...some sort of an evening star....abondoned baby....looks like a short signal but no confirmation yet...

Weekly candle is not closed yet... and that is not a Bear candle ...Next weeks close will tell .. hopefully by then price should come to 1.41xx level.
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #401,530
  • Mar 6, 2011 3:21am Mar 6, 2011 3:21am
Quoting Raza
Its a nice chart....

I have something similar from EW PROSPECTIVE.

Based on your other chart on a different forum where you are counting your C wave(5) I have a 2 price limitations.... 1. @ 1.4092 and #2 @ 1.4138 anything above that is Bullish breaking the high of 1.4281.

That C is in 5 waves so its tricky to see if that is a Leading Diagonal or an Ending Diagonal ( from 1.3428 to present).

So if a Leading diagonal your C can be wave#1 wherever it ends. So retrace of 1.3428.

If it is an ending Diagonal... then your chart above...
Hi Raza, hi Longshot,

hope you have a nice weekend.

Thank you for providing your insight and ideas. Very interesting.

@Longshot
Your chart was very clear to me and your explanation was sufficient. I do not understand why some people here do not understand the concept of trading. It is all about having an idea and knowing when this idea will be invalidated.
Keep up the good work. I like your charts.

Best to you,

Markus
  • #401,531
  • Mar 6, 2011 3:36am Mar 6, 2011 3:36am
Quoting infinitus
Hi Raza, hi Longshot,

hope you have a nice weekend.

Thank you for providing your insight and ideas. Very interesting.

@Longshot
Your chart was very clear to me and your explanation was sufficient. I do not understand why some people here do not understand the concept of trading. It is all about having an idea and knowing when this idea will be invalidated.
Keep up the good work. I like your charts.

Best to you,

Markus
You know how much work it is to count with EW.... people dont

understand and are ready to critisize... instead of helping or encouraging.

That Diagonal I mentioned is still in Play just gotta have patience to see

WHERE this last wave will end. Patience is required.

I would say one thing..that when price is at 1.4100.. it may get really bullish...I would give it 40 pips worth of spike area...so it should stop at 1.4138 -40 and then we should watch that hourly or 4 hour candle what it becomes.. for reversal ..short or long term.

But 1.4100 is the key all stops above or at 1.4200.

1.3810 is support.IMO...

Have a great week!!
Markets are not Random, they are designed!
  • #401,532
  • Edited 4:22am Mar 6, 2011 4:10am | Edited 4:22am
Quoting Patience
Interesting. On my chart I've got my candle closing below it this week. I'm really not that fussy with trendlines but I can't even make my chart look like your one with the candle closing above it. Even if I make the second touch as at November 2009, the weekly close is still below the trendline

Guten Morgen Kill & Patience, and good morning everybody else!

Thanx for your posts ...


Quoting kill56
hey mal u will also find a TL on weekly dixy , lets see a dive or a bounce time will tell

Yes ... I do observe this Triangle Trendline since a longer time as well ...

And I have got that uncertain feeling that this downtrend might have found more fun to continue for a while ...

And yes ... for me it looks as well ... as if that 'so-called' TL has been violated for now ... specialy for that reason ... as we can observe that we have got a "Weekly Closing/Clôture" below this line for the first time since the beginning of this 'triangle trendline' ...

The first violation in November has been only very short lived ... this one not ... this one is another kind of break thru to the other side ...

Eventuell sehen wir nochmal einen Test von der unteren Seite her ... aber allzu sehr sicher wäre ich mir da nicht ...



;-|
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2011-03-04 _ (23h15 CET) USD-INX _ 240min _ 000 candle 300-500-30.GIF Size: 56 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2011-03-04 _ (23h15 CET) USD-INX _ 480min _ 000 candle 300-500-30.GIF Size: 50 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2011-03-04 _ (23h15 CET) USD-INX _ Daily _ 000 bar 300-500-30.GIF Size: 56 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2011-03-04 _ (23h15 CET) USD-INX _ Weekly _ 000 bar 300-500-30.GIF Size: 54 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 2011-03-04 _ (23h15 CET) USD-INX _ xMonth _ 000 bar 188-193-30.GIF Size: 48 KB
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #401,533
  • Mar 6, 2011 4:22am Mar 6, 2011 4:22am
töööötöö
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #401,534
  • Mar 6, 2011 4:24am Mar 6, 2011 4:24am
Quoting PhAnTi'
töööötöö
tääätäääää
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #401,535
  • Mar 6, 2011 4:31am Mar 6, 2011 4:31am
Quoting mercy seat
Yes ... I do observe this Triangle Trendline since a longer time as well ...

And I have got that uncertain feeling that this downtrend might have found more fun to continue for a while ...

And yes ... for me it looks as well ... as if that 'so-called' TL has been violated for now ... specialy for that reason ... as we can observe that we have got a "Weekly Closing/Clôture" below this line for the first time since the beginning of this 'triangle trendline' ...

The first violation in November has been only very short lived ......
Hi mercy seat,

I'm interested Fibonacci and Multi MA in your post :nerd:
Would you like share... ?


Best Regards,
Tsar
Always looking the GREAT, never left GOOD Point...
  • #401,536
  • Edited 5:00am Mar 6, 2011 4:32am | Edited 5:00am
http://imagesbase.com/upload/view/6_...u2q39ithay.jpg[/url]

Forecast for Monday 07.03.2011
  • #401,537
  • Mar 6, 2011 4:33am Mar 6, 2011 4:33am
Quoting Tsar
Let's We learn together...

The SUCCESS that a Trader achieves in the Markets is directly correlated to one’s trading discipline or lack thereof.

Trading discipline is 90 percent of the Game.
The FORMULA is Very Simple : Trade with discipline and you will succeed ; Trade without discipline and you will fail.


Best Regards,
Tsar


fully agree with that rules

but sometimes it's hard to respect them
Pecunia non olet
  • #401,538
  • Mar 6, 2011 4:38am Mar 6, 2011 4:38am
Quoting mercy seat
tääätäääää
habe dir die Tage mal gemailt.....
hoffe dein weekend war relativ entspannt?

ich hab den mortz Schädel vom Fasching gestern...
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #401,539
  • Mar 6, 2011 4:43am Mar 6, 2011 4:43am
Quoting redsword11
Attachment
Nice chart Reds...
  • #401,540
  • Mar 6, 2011 4:44am Mar 6, 2011 4:44am
Quoting Tsar
Hi mercy seat,

I'm interested Fibonacci and Multi MA in your post :nerd:
Would you like share... ?


Best Regards,
Tsar

Hi Tsar,

yes ... those Multi MA are 'so-called' Triangular Moving Averages ...

Periods and settings are to be observed in the headline of the charts ...

And those Fibonacci Retracements are the commonly used ones ...

Possibly it is a little bit easier to observe in this chart here ...



palim palim



;-|
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2011-03-04 _ (23h15 CET) USD-INX _ xMonth _ 000 candle 188-193-30.GIF Size: 51 KB
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
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