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  • #401,301
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:42am Mar 4, 2011 10:42am
Quoting Venice
Make some pips Archie!

I just threw my last long at the swissy this morning. I am buckled in and ready for anything at this point. Some think I am crazy holding over the weekend... pfft. "Gaps" rarely exceed 50 pips in either direction.
gl with that V, you got a tl break, but that retrace is looking precarious..

yeah just scalping atm...
  • #401,302
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:45am Mar 4, 2011 10:45am
Quoting Venice
Make some pips Archie!

I just threw my last long at the swissy this morning. I am buckled in and ready for anything at this point. Some think I am crazy holding over the weekend... pfft. "Gaps" rarely exceed 50 pips in either direction.
O man, C'mon venice - Good luck though.... The Swissy and Aussie are stop eating machines. They've no mercy.



Ps. I hope your stops can handle sub .92 Cut the losses if you have to!
  • #401,303
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:45am Mar 4, 2011 10:45am
Quoting gatorinla
looking at smaller clues.. and 3977.1 was a target.. it will be a soft s/r. but it was a completed bear. i dont trust small tf.. but its there. it was a shorter t #1
then 3946.1 m 3976.2 sst#2
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #401,304
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:45am Mar 4, 2011 10:45am
Quoting cloggie
Covered all 3 at the London close for 21 pips avg. Done for the day. I have shown plenty of examples here last week of how to play the London fix, readers can read between the lines and use it to their advantage.

Enjoy your weekend Sisse.

Am flat across the board, ready for another week.

BTW, Portugal 5-yr pushing the all time high of 7.35 as we speak if this holds above the magic 7 we can see some interesting times ahead.
You too.... You read my mind on Portugal thats the number and FA to watch next week... We'll see

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #401,305
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:46am Mar 4, 2011 10:46am
Quoting sisse
You too.... You read my mind on Portugal thats the number and FA to watch next week... We'll see

sisse

Not many proper fundie traders around here on this thread. This is turning out exactly as Ireland and Greece were last year.
  • #401,306
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:47am Mar 4, 2011 10:47am
Inserted Video
/ ... clarifying decisions ... /
  • #401,307
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:47am Mar 4, 2011 10:47am
Quoting mercy seat
RECAPITULATION :

We still sell all the rallies ... further pendigs above 1.4007/ 09 and 1.4043 ...

Currently our BE is at 1.4006 after partial profits around 1.3982 ...

Rest of our runners can wait ... 1.392xx zone still favoured ...

Nur die Harten kommen in den Garten ...




Okey-dokey ... not so much changed in comparison to preliminary calculation ...

Still in strong bullish structures ... but running out of steam soon ...

Objectives of a pullback has been...
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #401,308
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:51am Mar 4, 2011 10:51am
Quoting cloggie
Not many proper fundie traders around here on this thread. This is turning out exactly as Ireland and Greece were last year.
I personally think there is no way back now is too late to avoid the unavoidable, especially ECB "slips" last few weeks and ystrday conference with Brussels meetings next week confirm the outlook, is only a matter of when exactly will be triggered and how to trade it.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #401,309
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:52am Mar 4, 2011 10:52am
Quoting Mr Hatch
fxtrade is running just fine, they just gave up mt4 completely... no data since nfp.
I'm taking out my 10 mil today.
  • #401,310
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:53am Mar 4, 2011 10:53am
Quoting sisse
I personally think there is no way back now is too late to avoid the unavoidable, especially ECB "slips" last few weeks and ystrday conference with Brussels meetings next week confirm the outlook, is only a matter of when exactly will be triggered and how to trade it.

sisse

I am waiting patiently for the right trigger too. Only a matter of time.

Here is daily for the Spain 5 yr for comparison and you can easily see the trouble Portugal is in. The second is the overlay. Going to be interesting to watch the spreads Bunds/SP/Port next week.

The last few weeks have been good fundie weeks to trade.
Attached Images
  • #401,311
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:53am Mar 4, 2011 10:53am
Quoting Warwick
O man, C'mon venice - Good luck though.... The Swissy and Aussie are stop eating machines. They've no mercy.



Ps. I hope your stops can handle sub .92 Cut the losses if you have to!
Yup. No point in having a system if I don't follow it... it's lightly loaded anyways. Still need a clear signal on direction, which it hasn't given yet. Or I do not see it.
  • #401,312
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:56am Mar 4, 2011 10:56am
Not bad so far. full disclosure... i have a 1% sell float @ .3860. Lots of trades and stress. Time will tell.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: MarchFirstWeek.png Size: 26 KB
  • #401,313
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:58am Mar 4, 2011 10:58am
Quoting cloggie
I am waiting patiently for the right trigger too. Only a matter of time.

Here is daily for the Spain 5 yr for comparison and you can easily see the trouble Portugal is in. The second is the overlay. Going to be interesting to watch the spreads Bunds/SP/Port next week.
Portugal 5yr weekly range is even more catastrophic, only comparable to the pre Greece, pre Irish bailouts.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #401,314
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:59am Mar 4, 2011 10:59am
Quoting fxpreacher
Not bad so far. full disclosure... i have a 1% sell float @ .3860. Lots of trades and stress. Time will tell.
Well done. What happened today with that 1 pip? lol
  • #401,315
  • Mar 4, 2011 10:59am Mar 4, 2011 10:59am
Quoting T@rantula
Sold 3999 S/L 4017
Some people asked for TP. Close wherever u wish. Its Friday so it doesnt matter.

This is a great example of a counter trend trade with a great r:r.

Just enjoy it.
  • #401,316
  • Mar 4, 2011 11:01am Mar 4, 2011 11:01am
a reasonable day to finish off an otherwise below par week...

have a nice weekend all...
  • #401,317
  • Mar 4, 2011 11:01am Mar 4, 2011 11:01am
Quoting darimik
massive gartley developing on usdchf.. weekly/monthly

Attachment
Its not a Gartley. Its a BUTTERFLY. I spotted it last year and shorting it since then . See attached.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 6 weekly 12 30 2010.gif Size: 35 KB
The finest tool in the world still needs a MAN who KNOWS how to use it.
  • #401,318
  • Mar 4, 2011 11:02am Mar 4, 2011 11:02am
jeopardy music
  • #401,319
  • Mar 4, 2011 11:03am Mar 4, 2011 11:03am
Quoting Venice
Well done. What happened today with that 1 pip? lol
  • #401,320
  • Mar 4, 2011 11:05am Mar 4, 2011 11:05am
Quoting sisse
Portugal 5yr weekly range is even more catastrophic, only comparable to the pre Greece, pre Irish bailouts.

sisse

The only thing that is giving them a stay of execution is TNX gradually testing the year's high again and the 5 yr Bund seeing a bit of a rally. Once we see a rejection there the FI boys will focus back on Portugal. There is no avoiding it as the EU/Portugal cannot afford a restructuring, they are at the mercy of the FI boys, and they want to get paid it is all in the spreads, that will be the trigger combined with testing 7.0 as support on Port.

EDIT: What happened to that Portuguese dude that kept defending Portugal the last time we discussed this here? He must have given up in the face of this neverending rally this week.
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