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  • #380,821
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:37am Feb 7, 2011 4:37am
Quoting PhAnTi'
scaled in 3567.
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #380,822
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:38am Feb 7, 2011 4:38am
Quoting PhAnTi'
plz provide ur statement.

no way dreaming
  • #380,823
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:38am Feb 7, 2011 4:38am
Quoting PhAnTi'
sad sad sad.

out +5
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #380,824
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:40am Feb 7, 2011 4:40am
Quoting sisse
Strongly disagree Larseg. If you don't know your max risk and potential reward before entering you are doom in this business (like in any other business). How can you define and know you statistical edge if you don't know this in a long series of trades (i know mine and for me knowing this is beyond common sense)....
You are allowed to disagree and I shouldn't have been so sharp in my saying, but reading stupid shit pisses s me of from time to time. I have seen even Merlin being pissed of so ill hide behind him

However, if you have an edge taken from backtested results it is most likely to have been curve fitted and wont help you much in the future, well it will, but not often enough...

I am not saying you shouldn't know you're risk. I am saying that you have to take what you are given and you cant possible know the reward if by playing the game dynamic. You will of course know the risk though.

I know what you are saying and I also have read it in several books so I wont go further into who is right or wrong, I have seen exceptional results from traders with 250 trades a day, which I could never do myself.

Poker is dynamic and you will never know the reward before after the river card. Well you wont actually know the risk either would you... Getting dragged in is a Bitc$#%

We are all different, yes...
  • #380,825
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:42am Feb 7, 2011 4:42am
loooooool at M5 eu pins.
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #380,826
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:47am Feb 7, 2011 4:47am
Quoting vox dei
I'm estimating about 70% probability we go below Friday's low.
There was I feel a lot of expectation that ecb would raise interest rates to curb inflation some of the upmove heading to 1.4000 was cut short when the rate was left unchanged .
I feel this lead to the quick correction down and possibly some negative sentiment leading to more downside .For now price seems to be confirming this and am anticipating us being in around 500 pip retrace leg .
I will try to scoop up the remaining pips in this leg.
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #380,827
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:49am Feb 7, 2011 4:49am
Quoting PhAnTi'
plz provide ur statement.
Notice dpp is above friday's close.
"To hold, you must first open your hand. Let go." - Lao Tzu
  • #380,828
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:49am Feb 7, 2011 4:49am
Quoting fraktalas
Take my 33pips, now wait till London open.
Took Short @1.3600, sl:1.3580, tp: 1.3550 will be enough fot today
  • #380,829
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:50am Feb 7, 2011 4:50am
Quoting vox dei
Notice dpp is above friday's close.
means? ^^
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #380,830
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:51am Feb 7, 2011 4:51am
If this turns back up again then watch for flight to safety.
Also the US yields are up today and the spreads are little widening.
Could keep a lid on the Euro and favors the US.
Also watch USD/JPY if yields start to soar.
Here is the 1 year Spain over German Bund and today's.

Target for intermediate short trade favors towards the 1.3270~60 area.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Spain-over.jpg Size: 57 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Daily-Spain-spread.jpg Size: 47 KB
  • #380,831
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:53am Feb 7, 2011 4:53am
Quoting PhAnTi'
means? ^^
lol Phanti. It means there's roughly ~70% probability we go below Friday's low.
"To hold, you must first open your hand. Let go." - Lao Tzu
  • #380,832
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:54am Feb 7, 2011 4:54am
Quoting vox dei
lol Phanti. It means there's roughly ~70% probability we go below Friday's low.
how to calculate the 70 % fig?.....dont get it.

i scalped the daily pivot and banked 5 pips...so whats the prob....im long biased.... wait for a clear break...thats it.

Ph.
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #380,833
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:55am Feb 7, 2011 4:55am
Quoting paul1
There was I feel a lot of expectation that ecb would raise interest rates to curb inflation some of the upmove heading to 1.4000 was cut short when the rate was left unchanged .
I feel this lead to the quick correction down and possibly some negative sentiment leading to more downside .For now price seems to be confirming this and am anticipating us being in around 500 pip retrace leg .
I will try to scoop up the remaining pips in this leg.
The number I've provided does not take fundamentals into consideration. It assumes all things being equal.
"To hold, you must first open your hand. Let go." - Lao Tzu
  • #380,834
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:56am Feb 7, 2011 4:56am
My first day live trading. I'm guessing the grin on my face is going to disappear soon from most stories I've read.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #380,835
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:56am Feb 7, 2011 4:56am
Quoting PhAnTi'
means? ^^
We are below pivot points from hourly through to weekly

Shorts might be safer if the pivots hold

monthly pivot is at 1.3441, might be tested.
Mind over matter..I don't mind and you don't matter.
  • #380,836
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:57am Feb 7, 2011 4:57am
Broken but stalled.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.jpg Size: 88 KB
Twitter - DarkWolF@OzForexTrader - Facebook Page - link in post 1
  • #380,837
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:57am Feb 7, 2011 4:57am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #380,838
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:58am Feb 7, 2011 4:58am
Quoting PhAnTi'
how to calculate the 70 % fig?.....dont get it.

i scalped the daily pivot and banked 5 pips...so whats the prob....im long biased.... wait for a clear break...thats it.

Ph.
Simple, I took the statistics from a large sample of daily sessions.
"To hold, you must first open your hand. Let go." - Lao Tzu
  • #380,839
  • Feb 7, 2011 4:59am Feb 7, 2011 4:59am
Quoting JuliusCeasar
We are below pivot points from hourly through to weekly

Shorts might be safer if the pivots hold

monthly pivot is at 1.3441, might be tested.
we are close above daily pivot, 3550 level and friday low.

only muppets will short this area.
break of 3540 for trigger shorts.
not before.

lol -.-
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #380,840
  • Feb 7, 2011 5:01am Feb 7, 2011 5:01am
Quoting PhAnTi'
we are close above daily pivot, 3550 level and friday low.

only muppets will short this area.
break of 3540 for trigger shorts.
not before.

lol -.-
consider me a muppet short from 80
I have 80 as asia open and my previous posts explain my view.
lets see how big a muppet i am .
Dont forget if i turn out not to be a muppet guess who is
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
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