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  • #363,401
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:33pm Jan 12, 2011 2:33pm
Quoting Hda
Expiry for the VANILLA OPTIONS for tomorrow and friday is 1.3200 and thats the highest. HINT HINT and on Monday of next week the options expiry ( THE HIGHEST ) is 1.3050 and the lowest is 1.2900
Have you checked the CME's open interest reports, and are sure about that? I'd think it might be a little deeper in both directions than that.

BTW, enjoyed your 2:15E post on the Swissy. Well presented.
  • #363,402
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:35pm Jan 12, 2011 2:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
...
I can't get that to play, but IIRC, that scene was a triangular arbitrage, wasn't it?
  • #363,403
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:38pm Jan 12, 2011 2:38pm
Quoting cloggie
Up 200 pips now, still not seeing anything to make me close the trade.

Keep following the muppets here, I will be laughing all the way to the bank. See y'all later I need a serious muppet break.


good job,...! can u explain the muppet thing?
  • #363,404
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:40pm Jan 12, 2011 2:40pm
Quoting OldQuant
I can't get that to play, but IIRC, that scene was a triangular arbitrage, wasn't it?
you tube. the good the bad and the ugly. first one
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #363,405
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:40pm Jan 12, 2011 2:40pm
Quoting WallStBully
good job,...! can u explain the muppet thing?
He is referencing the people posting here who do nothing but interject noise and nonsense.
  • #363,406
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:40pm Jan 12, 2011 2:40pm
Quoting WallStBully
good job,...! can u explain the muppet thing?

remove this question - you will start a war
  • #363,407
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:44pm Jan 12, 2011 2:44pm
Quoting Hda
CLOGGIE: you forgot to say HAT COAT DOOR - besides that though - you are correct. What I have found to be of some accuracy so far is these options expiry. The options expiry dates suggested that the market would retrace and it did. Now its suggesting that the market will be on its way back down by monday.

Well just have to wait and see.

By The Way - Your exit is the best HAT COAT DOOR
There is a need to be aware each and every day that you trade about option expiry at 10:00 AM each day. They do have a cause and effect. I would venture to guess that a minimum of at least 50% of all retail traders have no idea of how this has a cause and effect on all currencies.

Your observations are good and feel free to post them here when you notice what you did. It is not a guarantee however another piece of the trading puzzle.

Be well.
  • #363,408
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:44pm Jan 12, 2011 2:44pm
It WAS a triangular arbitrage...until The Bad (the retail trader) realized he didn't have any bullets in his gun...

Quoting OldQuant
I can't get that to play, but IIRC, that scene was a triangular arbitrage, wasn't it?
  • #363,409
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:45pm Jan 12, 2011 2:45pm
Quoting redsword11
remove this question - you will start a war
lol we need some fun tonight let it be
  • #363,410
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:48pm Jan 12, 2011 2:48pm
Quoting Hda
CLOGGIE: you forgot to say HAT COAT DOOR - besides that though - you are correct. What I have found to be of some accuracy so far is these options expiry. The options expiry dates suggested that the market would retrace and it did. Now its suggesting that the market will be on its way back down by monday.

Well just have to wait and see.

By The Way - Your exit is the best HAT COAT DOOR
he came in naked thats why
  • #363,411
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:50pm Jan 12, 2011 2:50pm
You got to know the lingo so here is a series of definitions. Find his post with the word search and you will be blessed with the keys to the market.

Todays Word:NY has set the high






Quoting cloggie
Here is my post from Monday:



Retail traders just don't get it and will continue to see the market with a major bias, the longer a trend has been established the longer it takes for a retailer to change his/her bias. Most retailers have a pretty decent system/method/strategy, it it the grey matter that keeps getting in the way of success.

I am looking at price topping out here and a short forming. I would not be buying at this price, this time of the day. NY has set the high, that is always a major achievement on any day and we will see some...

Look at how he has dialed in the market movement, what time frame he is using and what time he enters the market. this is a great post people enjoy!
  • #363,412
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:54pm Jan 12, 2011 2:54pm
Scalping long a little @ 1.3130
This no retrace/correction looks like continuation to me

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Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #363,413
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:54pm Jan 12, 2011 2:54pm
Quoting Hda
Its not time to short the EUR - Its not time yet. Tomorrow is a very very very very big day for the EUR, Stop Shorting.

good night
Attached Image
consistency wins
  • #363,414
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:56pm Jan 12, 2011 2:56pm
intraday.. 3116 and 3148.9 (untouched) above r below. daily candles to 1 h are bullish.. weekly/month is bearish.. below 3084 its probably the bears taking the ball.. we are on the lower side of a mofu 3016/3148.9/3181.. where we come out is anyone's guess. but im scalping atm (10+ pips).. i wasn't going in depth. dont gets your nuts in a sling here. if you use a 8/h chart 31425 may mean something. 3168 is the next level on my weekly, but we haven't touched 3149..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #363,415
  • Jan 12, 2011 2:58pm Jan 12, 2011 2:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
i wasn't going in depth. dont gets your nuts in a sling here.
Implying that there is perhaps a better time and place to get your nuts in a sling?

Money Can't Buy Happiness. Poverty Can't Buy SHIT! You Choose!
  • #363,416
  • Jan 12, 2011 3:02pm Jan 12, 2011 3:02pm
Quoting Magix
Implying that there is perhaps a better time and place to get your nuts in a sling?

  • #363,417
  • Jan 12, 2011 3:03pm Jan 12, 2011 3:03pm
Quoting OldQuant
Have you checked the CME's open interest reports, and are sure about that? I'd think it might be a little deeper in both directions than that.

BTW, enjoyed your 2:15E post on the Swissy. Well presented.
OldQuant: Thanks about the swissy. With respect to the options expiry dates please see list below as per my Reuters feed.

Thursday 13th January 2011:
EUR/USD:

1.3200 pay out 150million
1.3050 pay out 150million
1.3000 pay out 150million
1.2950 pay out 200million
1.2900 pay out 200million

Friday 14th January 2011:

1.3200
1.3125
1.3100
1.2975
1.2600

Monday 17th January, 2011

1.3050 pay out 150million
1.3000 pay out 150million
1.2950 pay out 200million
1.2900 pay out 150million

Tuesday 18th January, 2011

1.2925 pay out 150million
1.2880 pay out 150million
1.2860 pay out 100million

There is a clear pattern here I would think. Lets wait and see what happens. I however use this information as a guide as to trading my charts.
  • #363,418
  • Jan 12, 2011 3:05pm Jan 12, 2011 3:05pm
Quoting Magix
Implying that there is perhaps a better time and place to get your nuts in a sling?

its always better to get a bargain price. if you miss the boat. wait for the next one.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #363,419
  • Jan 12, 2011 3:05pm Jan 12, 2011 3:05pm
Quoting Magix
Implying that there is perhaps a better time and place to get your nuts in a sling?
I wasn't on at the time, and didn't ask:

That's an absolutely gorgeous Pollock you posted. Do you happen to know either it's name or what museum owns it? (assuming that it's not yours, of course)
  • #363,420
  • Jan 12, 2011 3:08pm Jan 12, 2011 3:08pm
Quoting Robert99
There is a need to be aware each and every day that you trade about option expiry at 10:00 AM each day. They do have a cause and effect. I would venture to guess that a minimum of at least 50% of all retail traders have no idea of how this has a cause and effect on all currencies.

Your observations are good and feel free to post them here when you notice what you did. It is not a guarantee however another piece of the trading puzzle.

Be well.
Robert 99: I just genuinely trying to help
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