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  • #362,321
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:44am Jan 11, 2011 2:44am
Quoting iflyjetzzz
On Bloomberg now: 10 yr Belgian-German bond spreads at record level today.
The contagian is spreading. Once France's credit starts getting hit or Spain needs a bailout, it's game over for the EZ.
The Belgian situation is complicated/exacerbated by the political crisis ongoing there since the Fall.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #362,322
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:45am Jan 11, 2011 2:45am
Quoting fontu
Not understand this things , so by that time price keep below this level 2885 & none to pay!!
to read something about soon .
fontu
FONTU: I hope this helps clear the air a bit.

Here's an example explaining how the options expiry in the forex works.

For example a GBPUSD FX option might be specified by a contract giving the owner the right but not the obligation to sell £1,000,000 and buy $2,000,000 on December 31.

In this case the pre-agreed exchange rate, or strike price, is 2.0000 USD per GBP (or 0.5000 GBP per USD) and the notionals are £1,000,000 and $2,000,000.

This type of contract is both a call on dollars and a put on sterling, and is often called a GBPUSD put by market participants, as it is a put on the exchange rate; it could equally be called a USDGBP call, but market convention is quote GBPUSD (USD per GBP).

If the rate is lower than 2.0000 come December 31 (say at 1.9000), meaning that the dollar is stronger and the pound is weaker, then the option will be exercised, allowing the owner to sell GBP at 2.0000 and immediately buy it back in the spot market at 1.9000, making a profit of (2.0000 GBPUSD - 1.9000 GBPUSD)*1,000,000 GBP = 100,000 USD in the process. If they immediately exchange their profit into GBP this amounts to 100,000/1.9000 = 52,631.58 GBP.
  • #362,323
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:45am Jan 11, 2011 2:45am
OT:

I will try a riskier trade.

Entry: 129.20
Target Price 129.95
Stop loss: 128.80
  • #362,324
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:47am Jan 11, 2011 2:47am
Quoting siboy
Yes flooding in Queensland covers the size of France and Germany combined or for Americans the size of Texas.I live right on the Brisbane river and you just have to see the river raging.Tomorrow will be the problem so here is hoping.
yes siboy I hope you will stay high&dry. I have been watching the news on that flooding. saw last week that most of the coal mines in Queensland had been shut down and that spiked the global coal futures price.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #362,325
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:47am Jan 11, 2011 2:47am
Quoting T@rantula
OT:

I will try a riskier trade.

Entry: 129.20
Target Price 129.95
Stop loss: 128.80
okay Long .

H4 Retracement


http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...7&d=1294725828
  • #362,326
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:48am Jan 11, 2011 2:48am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #362,327
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:49am Jan 11, 2011 2:49am
Quoting The Fool
The Belgian situation is complicated/exacerbated by the political crisis ongoing there since the Fall.
Bonds pretty much same than yesterday at NY close.

Now there is a bit indecisive trading, algos do not work well when several timeframes are not in sync. Likely a triangle will be created. Just trimming pairs position a bit.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #362,328
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:54am Jan 11, 2011 2:54am
Quoting buonvangvn
okay Long .

H4 Retracement


http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...7&d=1294725828
I enter long on a beast - GPBJPY.....
  • #362,329
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:56am Jan 11, 2011 2:56am
Quoting fontu
Not understand this things , so by that time price keep below this level 2885 & none to pay!!
to read something about soon .
fontu
FONTU: Did that explanation help?
  • #362,330
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:58am Jan 11, 2011 2:58am
Quoting T@rantula
I enter long on a beast - GPBJPY.....
LoL

Good luck.
  • #362,331
  • Jan 11, 2011 2:58am Jan 11, 2011 2:58am
http://www.skynews.com.au/national/a...id=563123&vId=
  • #362,332
  • Jan 11, 2011 3:01am Jan 11, 2011 3:01am
Quoting Hda
Scalpers you will have a nice little range to scalp with today.

Here are the Options Expiry for today at 10am EASTERN

EUR/USD
1.2970 pay out 200million
1.2900 pay out 200million
1.2850 pay out 200million
1.3000 pay out 150million
1.2950 pay out 200million
According to my feed 2850 barrier is going to be defended by big bidder with stops just below .
Thankyou for posting the other ones buddy Knowing the values adds more weight to the levels.
Good that my feed reports which are likely to be protected .
Be interesting to see which way we move after the big orders at 2950 also happy to see asia testing higher levels .starting to look a bit more normal action.
Got partial position short at "40" if we get to 2850 and start bouncing will take profit but gonna try build this position if i can higher
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #362,333
  • Jan 11, 2011 3:01am Jan 11, 2011 3:01am
Quoting Hda
FONTU: Did that explanation help?
I'm not sure how tradable those options rumors are. I have followed them many times and they have frequently been false.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #362,334
  • Jan 11, 2011 3:04am Jan 11, 2011 3:04am
Major stops 98.00

http://www.skynews.com.au/finance/ar...id=563185&vId=
  • #362,335
  • Edited 3:13am Jan 11, 2011 3:07am | Edited 3:13am
Quoting The Fool
I'm not sure how tradable those options rumors are. I have followed them many times and they have frequently been false.
THE FOOL:

I use it as a heads up as to how the market with trade. Its just like how scalpesr use indicators and create systems to guide them, I use market information to guide me. Lets see how it pans out today
  • #362,336
  • Jan 11, 2011 3:09am Jan 11, 2011 3:09am
Quoting T@rantula
OT:

I will try a riskier trade.

Entry: 129.20
Target Price 129.95
Stop loss: 128.80

Moin Tarantel ...


What are you reporting there ... Sterling/Yen ? !

Or something else ?

Merkwürdige Preisangabe ...


2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #362,337
  • Jan 11, 2011 3:11am Jan 11, 2011 3:11am
Quoting paul1
According to my feed 2850 barrier is going to be defended by big bidder with stops just below .
Thankyou for posting the other ones buddy Knowing the values adds more weight to the levels.
Good that my feed reports which are likely to be protected .
Be interesting to see which way we move after the big orders at 2950 also happy to see asia testing higher levels .starting to look a bit more normal action.
Got partial position short at "40" if we get to 2850 and start bouncing will take profit but gonna try build this position if i can higher
Paul1: Thanks for the extra info, I see we have each others backs. My current focus is on the USD/CHF - Friday coming, every tom dick and harry will be meeting in Switz to form a think tank and come up with ways to stop the rapid appreciation of the CHF. I have to be watching that trade carefully.
  • #362,338
  • Jan 11, 2011 3:12am Jan 11, 2011 3:12am
Portugal's PM calls for a press conference at 10.30am GMT time.
  • #362,339
  • Jan 11, 2011 3:12am Jan 11, 2011 3:12am
Quoting Hda
FONTU: I hope this helps clear the air a bit.

Here's an example explaining how the options expiry in the forex works.

For example a GBPUSD FX option might be specified by a contract giving the owner the right but not the obligation to sell £1,000,000 and buy $2,000,000 on December 31.

In this case the pre-agreed exchange rate, or strike price, is 2.0000 USD per GBP (or...
Thanks , very nice to learn it , cc to reread later also & absorb more .
so a predifined contract relating some specific level & time in future .
something like binary trading system perhaps I saw some where .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #362,340
  • Jan 11, 2011 3:12am Jan 11, 2011 3:12am
Today Portugal's 10-year debt yield broke again to the "bail out" level (according to Portugal Government) of 7%. Belgium spread with German Bond making fresh highs and Spain slowly trending up and is close to test highs.

With ECB intervention yesterday and tomorrow key auction the playing field will be bear bias but very messy.

We'll see.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
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