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  • #360,801
  • Jan 7, 2011 9:59am Jan 7, 2011 9:59am
Quoting cloggie
and we are now monkeying mid stream with another 20 pip move up, could this turn into a 40 pipper? Not likely as there is no solid floor underneath it so I am ignoring this one.

See what I mean? I ignored it and rightly so.
  • #360,802
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:01am Jan 7, 2011 10:01am
Quoting apt
There is only 1 way to sideways fuck, and that's either you're a Lesbian, or you trade the 1 Minute Chart.
LMAO!! I've not heard that before.... so sideways action is called scissoring! HA!
A pip is only worth it if you know how much you risked to earn it
  • #360,803
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:03am Jan 7, 2011 10:03am
Quoting cloggie
I am now eyeballing 2970 for a change to reload for 3012
As planned. Let's see if a bottom forms for a reload.
  • #360,804
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:03am Jan 7, 2011 10:03am
Quoting cloggie
Look at what is happening right now, we had the 40 pip run of the low (I bought it and posted it here then locked in my 40) followed by a 20 pip retrace, and we are now monkeying mid stream with another 20 pip move up, could this turn into a 40 pipper? Not likely as there is no solid floor underneath it so I am ignoring this one, letting a bottom form so I can shoot for the next 40 pipper again. These are the only setups available here as there was no rejection on the NFP. We need another impetus to give us a larger trade.

We are setting up for...
Looking pretty clear if it is explained like this. Brilliant teacher that you are for those who are willing to learn.

So you are expecting a major retrace from here in the next week? I am asking this because because I have some sell orders above which are filled with hundreds of pips ( more or less pure luck - ). Should I cash in? How far would such a retracement go?
  • #360,805
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:04am Jan 7, 2011 10:04am
Quoting cloggie
Look at what is happening right now, we had the 40 pip run of the low (I bought it and posted it here then locked in my 40) followed by a 20 pip retrace, and we are now monkeying mid stream with another 20 pip move up, could this turn into a 40 pipper? Not likely as there is no solid floor underneath it so I am ignoring this one, letting a bottom form so I can shoot for the next 40 pipper again. These are the only setups available here as there was no rejection on the NFP. We need another impetus to give us a larger trade.

We are setting up for...
Accumulation started yesterday by the looks of my own limited volume stats.
On a medium term perspective, we've bounced quite nicely off of the second green LTL, so a test of 1.3140 is the next logical step I can see.
I also have a bullish divergence figure of 1.3243 in mind, but first things first.

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Longer term, I am still bearish on this pair until at least 1.24xx.
  • #360,806
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:04am Jan 7, 2011 10:04am
Hii, so to day is blow up some bodies s/l and t/p`s and some ranging. So what is the next target ? Are we still in bearish trens or now we are in bulls ?

Bestos Regardos.

VjjK
  • #360,807
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:04am Jan 7, 2011 10:04am
Quoting cloggie
See what I mean? I ignored it and rightly so.
Crystal clear
  • #360,808
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:05am Jan 7, 2011 10:05am
Quoting CandleStar
Looking pretty clear if it is explained like this. Brilliant teacher that you are for those who are willing to learn.

So you are expecting a major retrace from here in the next week? I am asking this because because I have some sell orders above which are filled with hundreds of pips ( more or less pure luck - ). Should I cash in? How far would such a retracement go?

IT is your money, not mine. I covered all my long term shorts, with today's news a retrace is in the making, however fundamentally the EU is a cr@pshoot so this may not materialise next week. I want to see Monday play out to see how the markets take the news today.

Portuguese spreads are skyrocketing and there are some rumours around that the Swiss are trying to cash in today. For all effective purposes the Swiss action is pretty much bankrupting Portugal, they are in deep doodah and will be the next turt in the punchbowl, this is what is stopping the retrace right now.
  • #360,809
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:06am Jan 7, 2011 10:06am
Quoting cloggie
As planned. Let's see if a bottom forms for a reload.
Hi cloggie, how you justify whether a bottom is formed?
Good day, I'm okay. Bad day, I'm okay. What's the difference?
  • #360,810
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:07am Jan 7, 2011 10:07am
Quoting cloggie
As planned. Let's see if a bottom forms for a reload.

Failed, not buying this one. We are heading back to the low (2950)
  • #360,811
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:07am Jan 7, 2011 10:07am
Hi Dr.Geppynius
I found very interesting your comments concerning the expiry
of vanilla options.But what can you respond to OldQuant
who does not agree with your analysis?
P.24062 post360621 (=http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=
10372&page=24062)he says:"Barriers, there can be some little effect, but vanillas, there is as much underlying positioning on the short side as the
long side and expiry."
Thank you on advance for your answer.
  • #360,812
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:11am Jan 7, 2011 10:11am
i'm long 1.2966
  • #360,813
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:11am Jan 7, 2011 10:11am
Quoting piptornado
AUDUSD shot up after NFP and really never made its way down. Taking this pair as a risk appetite meter, I would think that for the moment EU has more upside potential than downside. It is currently topping out at .9991 when EU is in the 1.3 area.

On a 1H chart it looks like AUDUSD is making a bull flag, which could bring EU up with it. Just another tid bit to consider I guess.
may be , but not seems so , not even fall to a support or trendline yet & having weekly hammar candle . more down expect before up.
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #360,814
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:11am Jan 7, 2011 10:11am
Quoting aiyoyo
Hi cloggie, how you justify whether a bottom is formed?

PA, wicks, momentum bars, testing and forming a TL on lower TF's, pretty much just watching how price interacts with levels.
  • #360,815
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:13am Jan 7, 2011 10:13am
nice range for short and long till we break the box enjoy
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  • #360,816
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:13am Jan 7, 2011 10:13am
Quoting cloggie
Portuguese spreads are skyrocketing and there are some rumours around that the Swiss are trying to cash in today. For all effective purposes the Swiss action is pretty much bankrupting Portugal, they are in deep doodah and will be the next turt in the punchbowl, this is what is stopping the retrace right now.
This is waht I was missing - makes perfect sense when I compare the 2 ugly sisters you mentioned earlier on.
  • #360,817
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:13am Jan 7, 2011 10:13am
Fears and euro fundamentals overwhelming technicals. Bulls running out of steam and time for a fade today. London closing will put and end of any serious option to go much higher except for some weekly profit taking.

We'll see

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #360,818
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:15am Jan 7, 2011 10:15am
Quoting cloggie
PA, wicks, momentum bars, testing and forming a TL on lower TF's, pretty much just watching how price interacts with levels.
I know have a confirmed support (3xHL of the day) at 1.2967 - reloaded at 1.297
Will be following your advice regarding pips.
Thanks a mil'
  • #360,819
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:15am Jan 7, 2011 10:15am
Quoting PayTheLimit
http://www.cmegroup.com/daily_bullet...ns_2011004.pdf

this will have the open interest, adjusted every day...
Thankyou
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #360,820
  • Jan 7, 2011 10:15am Jan 7, 2011 10:15am
Quoting buonvangvn
i'm long 1.2966
out 10 pips
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