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  • #360,441
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:34am Jan 7, 2011 4:34am
Quoting snatch
whats your reasoning for that?
He missed the whole thing...

Rally sideways yea baby...
  • #360,442
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:35am Jan 7, 2011 4:35am
Thanks Guys... Reckon I'm gonna open a different trade on each pair and see where we go...

Must say that the reaction the last 3 days from the good unemployment numbers is over exaggerated!

Would be more bearish than bullish on Dollar
@pawpaw1000 on Twitter
  • #360,443
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:35am Jan 7, 2011 4:35am
Quoting Vladimir1987
He missed the whole thing...

Rally sideways yea baby...

you mean he missed the down move? and now wishing on a star
  • #360,444
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:36am Jan 7, 2011 4:36am
you answered yourself...if you knew what happens during sideways action.

Quoting Vladimir1987
He missed the whole thing...

Rally sideways yea baby...
  • #360,445
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:37am Jan 7, 2011 4:37am
Quoting The Fool
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2WNrx2jq184
THE FOOL: Dont ever leave this forum. You are truly the best. Im dying over here. I just got back in my jog and Im double out of breath. Thanks man
  • #360,446
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:37am Jan 7, 2011 4:37am
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...41760&page=456

read post #9116 and around this post.

Quoting snatch
whats your reasoning for that?
  • #360,447
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:37am Jan 7, 2011 4:37am
sweet, are you two married?

Quoting snatch
you mean he missed the down move? and now wishing on a star
  • #360,448
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:38am Jan 7, 2011 4:38am
I know but not before nfp...

Order accumulation...
  • #360,449
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:39am Jan 7, 2011 4:39am
you already know what happens. nice one

just my current view with the surrounding fitting in.
can be wrong of course.

Quoting Vladimir1987
I know but not before nfp...

Order accumulation...
  • #360,450
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:39am Jan 7, 2011 4:39am
if usd/chf breaks up 0.96285, eu will go down
  • #360,451
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:41am Jan 7, 2011 4:41am
Quoting pawpaw1000
Thanks Guys... Reckon I'm gonna open a different trade on each pair and see where we go...

Must say that the reaction the last 3 days from the good unemployment numbers is over exaggerated!

Would be more bearish than bullish on Dollar
based on what technicals are you bearish on the dollar?
the eu down move wasnt just about dollar, it was also to do with PIIGS bond yields and possibility of further downgrades... eu also tried to kiss and make-up with the weekly downtrendline, and blag its way into an uptrend, and like any fool trying to blag his way into a private party, it got its face slapped with the door..
  • #360,452
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:44am Jan 7, 2011 4:44am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...41760&page=456

read post #9116 and around this post.
Dont really trade on volume but see what u mean...

Ur leaning to the long side... What do you target a retrace of the down move or a reversal to higher numbers???

I have above 3130 for 3250 under just short...
  • #360,453
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:45am Jan 7, 2011 4:45am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...41760&page=456

read post #9116 and around this post.
chart plays posted by others last year is no reasoning, where has the common sense you were talking about gone
  • #360,454
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:46am Jan 7, 2011 4:46am
this is my post from this morning my friend.

stay calm, everything is cool buddy.

Quoting snatch
chart plays posted by others last year is no reasoning, where has the common sense you were talking about gone
  • #360,455
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:47am Jan 7, 2011 4:47am
Quoting snatch
based on what technicals are you bearish on the dollar?
the eu down move wasnt just about dollar, it was also to do with PIIGS bond yields and possibility of further downgrades... eu also tried to kiss and make-up with the weekly downtrendline, and blag its way into an uptrend, and like any fool trying to blag his way into a private party, it got its face slapped with the door..
SNATCH: I love thelast part of your explanation " and like any fool trying to blag his way into a private party, it got its face slapped with the door.. "

i just need THE FOOL to come with a you tube to back it up now
  • #360,456
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:47am Jan 7, 2011 4:47am
Quoting pawpaw1000
Quick question to the more experienced news traders here...

Would you open 2 positions on each pair, say long and short Fiber with s/l 25 pips and tp 70 pips for NFP...

Sounds good theoretically but in practise is it possible?

Other option is to open a different position on each Dollar cross:

Say short USD/JPY but also Short Eur/Usd...

That way the one thats wrong loses 30 pips and the winner catches 50 - 100?
No,
Could i point out some observations about major news/volatility.
If you assume the probabilities of these events and include them in your plan there will be no surprises .
1) Oanda will disconnect (fact lol),maybe others ,so assume during the event you will have no control of your positions.

2) No broker can gaurantee stops,limits ,or any orders.

3) enter position size were 100 pip loss is an acceptable dollar loss.
After the initial extreme volatility your more likely to be able to enter/exit trades. at least when oanda re-connects you wont have blown your account.

4) Highly likely if you mark the High and low of the range before the event the stops at both these places will be triggered before the true direction is revealed to us.
The true direction is more likely to be revealed 15 minutes after the release

If any of the above surprise you ,That surprises me .
Just my observations to keep us trading safe



4)
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #360,457
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:47am Jan 7, 2011 4:47am
Quoting Dr.Geppynius
this is my post from this morning my friend.

stay calm, everything is cool buddy.
they got u snatch.
lol.




they'll all wonder
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #360,458
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:47am Jan 7, 2011 4:47am
Quoting snatch
dont bother with SLs for a day like today... its better to sort out your levels from daily and weekly charts and put nice pending sells or buys... i.e. if euro goes below 2850 to me its dead in the water... but nonetheless there is the better possibility of waiting till next week and trading whatever patterns are set-up today will continue till at least easter/summer..

good luck
Hi Snatch,
I agree with youregarding levels from daily and weekly charts (got reminder from sisse yest regarding the latter) but what do yo mean by "whatever patterns are set up to day will continue at least easter/summer.."
My take would be a fake out move downtrend followed up by a retracement, which will help better reposition for the next down move..
So I just don't understand how today's pattern could influence till easter (to me it's bearish unless 1.35 is broken which would not happen today)? could you explain me your thoughts on this?
  • #360,459
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:48am Jan 7, 2011 4:48am
Quoting paul1
No,
Could i point out some observations about major news/volatility.
If you assume the probabilities of these events and include them in your plan there will be no surprises .
1) Oanda will disconnect (fact lol),maybe others ,so assume during the event you will have no control of your positions.

2) No broker can gaurantee stops,limits ,or any orders.

3) enter position size were 100 pip loss is an acceptable dollar loss.
After the initial extreme volatility your more likely to be able to enter/exit trades. at least when oanda re-connects...
experience is talking.
Hero calls followed by margin calls...
  • #360,460
  • Jan 7, 2011 4:49am Jan 7, 2011 4:49am
i don't use targets therefore not dictating mnarket where it can go. i trail my stops based on the 60m bar closes.

will post a few charts explaining my view- which of course- can be wrong.
Quoting Vladimir1987
Dont really trade on volume but see what u mean...

Ur leaning to the long side... What do you target a retrace of the down move or a reversal to higher numbers???

I have above 3130 for 3250 under just short...
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