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  • #358,081
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:44pm Jan 4, 2011 1:44pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
never say never, but i doubt that we will test 3500. it just doesn't make sense.
Mr Hatch, does it always make sense?
  • #358,082
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:45pm Jan 4, 2011 1:45pm
  •  apt
  • | Joined Oct 2010 | Status: All your cookies are belong to me. | 1,114 Posts
200 Day MA H4 acting as closing support.

H4

http://i53.tinypic.com/f21rw3.png
  • #358,083
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:46pm Jan 4, 2011 1:46pm
Quoting beyond
Mr Hatch, does it always make sense?
much more after the fact then in the middle of a trading day. it's just that according to my charts, 3500 is quite a nowhere-region, like 100.0001% retracement of the last swing that had its high at 3498.3 according to alpari.

at first, i thought, we could be moving inside a bearish triangle, but the swinging appearance of the movement doesn't fit, the rounded bottom. when this appears, the bearish triangle often breaks up to the upside... didn't happen, as we stopped shortly before reaching the mid-pivot at 3461.

i'm just assuming, trying to figure out how this thing moves and dances.
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  • #358,084
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:48pm Jan 4, 2011 1:48pm
Quoting jezek5
Hi Hatch,
I know,i agree it doesn't make sense.
But it is do-able.
I don't like to rule anything out.
Right , anything can happen yet , cup & handle is a bullish continuation pattern, if can't do more can do 1.35 without harm bear any .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #358,085
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:49pm Jan 4, 2011 1:49pm
if bears get an hourly close under 3304, 3273 will be on tap...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #358,086
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:50pm Jan 4, 2011 1:50pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
much more after the fact then in the middle of a trading day. it's just that according to my charts, 3500 is quite a nowhere-region, like 100.0001% retracement of the last swing that had its high at 3498.3 according to alpari.
Thanks for that, I see what you are saying
  • #358,087
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:50pm Jan 4, 2011 1:50pm
Quoting cloggie
Every month/quarter end you get the fixings on equities, rebalancing on portfolios and carrying of winners to look good in the book the EFT's and funds dump the losers and stock up on winners, looks good in the stats.

Cloggie, do you think this rise of euro on 1st of January was related to this "portfolio rebalancing"?
  • #358,088
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:54pm Jan 4, 2011 1:54pm
Quoting beyond
Thanks for that, I see what you are saying
i added to the last post.
  • #358,089
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:54pm Jan 4, 2011 1:54pm
still in a range lets see if fiber get out of the box with help of NFP

a daily close below the ema200 will help shorts
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  • #358,090
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:54pm Jan 4, 2011 1:54pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
if bears get an hourly close under 3304, 3273 will be on tap...
Hourly close should relate to 3285 up or down .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #358,091
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:56pm Jan 4, 2011 1:56pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
much more after the fact then in the middle of a trading day. it's just that according to my charts, 3500 is quite a nowhere-region, like 100.0001% retracement of the last swing that had its high at 3498.3 according to alpari.
you got one of the best seats in the house. we are below the dpp and last daily close with a 4h close. the close on my 8 was 3316. all you need now is 3291 out the way.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #358,092
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:56pm Jan 4, 2011 1:56pm
Quoting fontu
Hourly close should relate to 3285 up or down .
fontu
i'd be happy with it...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #358,093
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:57pm Jan 4, 2011 1:57pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
much more after the fact then in the middle of a trading day. it's just that according to my charts, 3500 is quite a nowhere-region
1.35 might be a nowhere region, but there seem to be quite a lot of volume waiting there
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  • #358,094
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:58pm Jan 4, 2011 1:58pm
Quoting Martingale
1.35 might be a nowhere region, but there seem to be quite a lot of volume there

what type of options are those?
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #358,095
  • Jan 4, 2011 1:59pm Jan 4, 2011 1:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
you got one of the best seats in the house. we are below the dpp and last daily close with a 4h close. the close on my 8 was 3316. all you need now is 3291 out the way.
kk, i'm silent

it actually goes out to you and driver, you know that?
driver pointed in the direction of 3421, i had a fib-extension at 3446 and you showed me how to draw the resistances correctly. if it wasn't for theresistance there, i'd exited this one already for ~40 pips or so.
  • #358,096
  • Jan 4, 2011 2:00pm Jan 4, 2011 2:00pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
what type of options are those?
fxe: future on euro - expiring 22 January
  • #358,097
  • Jan 4, 2011 2:01pm Jan 4, 2011 2:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
i did 2 predictives on this little bull. #1 is complete.. #2 has 3372.3..mid 3331.8 so maybe 79 will get tested.
Hey Gator, If my short hadn't been stopped, I would've had 3280 as 1st target, not there yet soo think we still got some down if we can break this recent Low...
@pawpaw1000 on Twitter
  • #358,098
  • Jan 4, 2011 2:06pm Jan 4, 2011 2:06pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
i'd be happy with it...
Me too if h1 close again fail just few pips below 3275 then target already set little conservative 3243 with sl above 3285 before leave for sleep , expecting 3224 before the jump.
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #358,099
  • Jan 4, 2011 2:06pm Jan 4, 2011 2:06pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
same...some support now 3304..
prolly should cover...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #358,100
  • Jan 4, 2011 2:07pm Jan 4, 2011 2:07pm
Quoting jezek5
A look at the same range in fiber.
Big bearish outside bar on 4 hr says down.
But the most pain could be caused by it going up,i just can't help thinking that 1.35 could be tagged before a proper move down.
I'm flat,just thinking.
Hey bro,

Nice analysis but we could also see this as a higher High and Low on H4 if we get another ejection of the current low.

This will theoretically take us to a new High.

Not sure but do still have my USD/JPY short which is nearing my BE exit atm but am still thinking dollar weakness...

SOO, to finish, if we reject this low again, I might enter long looking for the Highs again. Good 100 pips with 15 pip s/l...
@pawpaw1000 on Twitter
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