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  • #343,581
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:27am Dec 10, 2010 4:27am
If You See The 1H 4H and Daily It Is Still Going Down But 15 Min Are making All Of Us Confused. I Think Before The US Data comes it will be Near 3200 or Lower.
  • #343,582
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:27am Dec 10, 2010 4:27am
Quoting egkid
Watch This 1H close seems till now not good for bears!
Bulls have been buying dips the past few days...yesterday fake drop was to clean weak longs...i can kinda say they cleaned me.

If all happens as expected we should print new high.
Lets see if bears have controlled the last few days...

gbpusd already printed new high.

ps : audusd is just flying...wait for the euro
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #343,583
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:30am Dec 10, 2010 4:30am
Quoting The Fool
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-1...unchanged.html
now that this is out and the benchmark rate is unchanged longs can breathe easier and get busy
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #343,584
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:32am Dec 10, 2010 4:32am
Quoting kuroro001
Bulls have been buying dips the past few days...yesterday fake drop was to clean weak longs...i can kinda say they cleaned me.

If all happens as expected we should print new high.
Lets see if bears have controlled the last few days...

gbpusd already printed new high.

ps : audusd is just flying...wait for the euro
So far No Conformation ( 1.33) so
1-Trade with caution
2-Trade what u see not what u think and remember today Friday
GL
Must run catch u later
  • #343,585
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:39am Dec 10, 2010 4:39am
in elwave we are first of 3 wave in 3 different time frame...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.PNG Size: 43 KB
  • #343,586
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:41am Dec 10, 2010 4:41am
If London gives up 1.327x the week is set for a +/-flat close. Still early but with China weakening shorts the odds are getting stronger for that scenario.

We'll see

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #343,587
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:42am Dec 10, 2010 4:42am
Quoting egkid
This is against my view but I C magmatic point @1.36 In medium/ long term
so it is Possible And it's point of view from good trader What do u think?
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...postcount=3756
some one here is on the same line .

could it be the Nile effect

I see this in the chart since 3 days ago.

and I have pending buy which didn't get activated because PA didn't reach it.

so far this is the analysis where I will be my money on .
I SEE YOU !!
  • #343,588
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:49am Dec 10, 2010 4:49am
re-test... no stress..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd m15.png Size: 48 KB
  • #343,589
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:50am Dec 10, 2010 4:50am
Quoting z3r0
re-test... no stress..
agree the TL works for now perfect

earlier picture from the morning
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  • #343,590
  • Dec 10, 2010 4:53am Dec 10, 2010 4:53am
Quoting sisse
If London gives up 1.327x the week is set for a +/-flat close. Still early but with China weakening shorts the odds are getting stronger for that scenario.

We'll see

sisse
Patience is a virtue no trader should lack.

I expect the overlap to trade in the .33xx
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #343,591
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:05am Dec 10, 2010 5:05am
and as long as some one had brought the flag story up
this is how I see things .

any push to 3300 levels

I will delete my pending , sit and do nothing , will not buy and will be biased for bear side of substantial drop unless 3450 taken but will not bet on it or I might, that's in case the stop size is tempting .

if it dropped to 3100 I will be on the bull train with my stops , and will fade out to BE and hold till the 3 red targets.


but what will they do to annoy every single one of us is to range this month and do nothing !. this will void all .


don't bother with the current sell on the chart its just an intraday stuff.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: prede.gif Size: 21 KB
I SEE YOU !!
  • #343,592
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:07am Dec 10, 2010 5:07am
http://forexblog.oanda.com/20101210/...-on-us-yields/

"China again has taken the easier option this morning ahead of its inflation numbers tomorrow. They raised Bank’s required reserve ration by 50bp (18.5%) instead of hiking interest rates. This will certainly take some of the week’s apprehension out of the market, and perhaps true to the PBOC word, we are looking at a tighter monetary policy next year. Hiking the reserve ratio is designed to curb lending rather than crimping growth. Capital markets will be focusing on this mornings University of Michigan consumer confidence survey and probably more specifically the inflation expectations component, a rise will derail the fall in US yields and support the USD. The combination of a two-week interruption in Treasury supply and the Fed continuing to extract duration through QE operations is likely to support Treasury prices and may put pressure on the dollar as we head for this years ‘turn’."
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #343,593
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:09am Dec 10, 2010 5:09am
Quoting The Fool
Patience is a virtue no trader should lack.

I expect the overlap to trade in the .33xx
I agree Fool. However, above 1.330x will be too late intraday for any longs (r:r wise) in my books. 1.322x was the place to get in. 1.325x is the risky entry and 1,327x is the inflexion point up.

On the short side nothing until US open and reports in my books. H4 made a very shallow push to HH (still LL and daily all down). Weak but still a breach and is Friday so the odds for daily and weekly targets short will be reduced by the hour. They will need to wait another week if US doesn't make the break with reports.

In any case, I will add for today is not only patience but knowing when is too late in the week to take a trade regardless of charts.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #343,594
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:18am Dec 10, 2010 5:18am
euro is looking under heavy bearish pressure so i think just save our money for some suitable trade either waste it in bad trades.
  • #343,595
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:20am Dec 10, 2010 5:20am
To Me This Shows A Clear Signal where we Are going No Need To mess Up things WE ARE HEADING DOWNWARDS AND THIS CHART CONFIRMS IT NO MORE CONFUSION To ME ATLEAST.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #343,596
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:22am Dec 10, 2010 5:22am
Quoting sisse
I agree Fool. However, above 1.330x will be too late intraday for any longs (r:r wise) in my books. 1.322x was the place to get in. 1.325x is the risky entry and 1,327x is the inflexion point up.
L .3244 SL .3214 tp .3294
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #343,597
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:26am Dec 10, 2010 5:26am
Quoting Muhammad88
To Me This Shows A Clear Signal where we Are going No Need To mess Up things WE ARE HEADING DOWNWARDS AND THIS CHART CONFIRMS IT NO MORE CONFUSION To ME ATLEAST.
Sadly in trading capital and risk rules and is not only where but when. Just my 2 cents with my previous post if you are daytrading.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #343,598
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:31am Dec 10, 2010 5:31am
Quoting dbfusion
and as long as some one had brought the flag story up this is how I see things...
This is why I disregard that flag:
1st - we need confirmation
2nd - see the chart ( I might be wrong! but this is what I see it as most likely to happen.)

Quoting Muhammad88
No Need To mess Up things...
Simply true. No need to complicate dear comrades. Short-term seems flat but we are within a downtrend and we just had a TL break with a full re-test. To sell seems like the right thing to do. All said.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd monthly.png Size: 61 KB
  • #343,599
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:32am Dec 10, 2010 5:32am
So this was a false breakout...! Isn't it?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #343,600
  • Dec 10, 2010 5:32am Dec 10, 2010 5:32am
This looks choppy to me but more to the long side
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