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  • #341,761
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:39am Dec 8, 2010 2:39am
i'm favoring PA rolling over here.... although I am not ready to jump on it usd/jpy had given a bit back, but the rally was quick and sure-footed. I think the selling here will be apparent if and when it comes. I am not particularly fond of going long at the present, so if it doesn't rollover soon I may just go to bed with some sell orders
  • #341,762
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:41am Dec 8, 2010 2:41am
good morning,

nice heads and shoulders


i have 3150 as final target if we stay lower still a retracement on the daily chart one more fib level has to be taken 61.8 may be some buyers there intraday. just like yesterday massive sell off.
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  • #341,763
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:41am Dec 8, 2010 2:41am
Quoting mck6206
ahh, no wonder you guys can hold for large moves. im sitting here trading $5 to $30 per pip shitting my pants and wondering how you guys take 100 to 200 pip trades. Matbe I should scale down some.
oh, don't do that. scale in or our, but if you feel uncomfortable, it's not a good idea to trade this size if this doesn't fit your account. honestly, make sure you study the different ideas of money management. there's lots of useful information around here.

@Fool: Yes, you need to have Schnitzel in Munich, lots of them. They have the best Schnitzel in Germany (except my wife's of course...)
  • #341,764
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:41am Dec 8, 2010 2:41am
Quoting dbfusion
only tradable chart now is the 1min lol.
I have been scalping 5 min since ny close..

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  • #341,765
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:44am Dec 8, 2010 2:44am
Quoting chngster
Glad to know somebody shares the same view. the 3190 region was defended 3 times on the 5M, bears have receded somewhat but we need more buying pressure to come in at 3200 now
I got that piece from dowjones mate.. not my analysis.. some banker's...
  • #341,766
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:46am Dec 8, 2010 2:46am
Quoting sisse
Lol, Yes I guess. I meant if you have a TA explanation or it just 'cause you reached your target. In any case well done....lol

sisse
Teacher, teacher... i found one *snip*

I found, what bothered me last night... the weekly chart! It is well possible to negate last week's signal, but as long as we haven't retraced 62% of it, i am always having that image of it in the back of my mind.

we are resting on the 50% atm.
  • #341,767
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:49am Dec 8, 2010 2:49am
Quoting mck6206
ahh, no wonder you guys can hold for large moves. im sitting here trading $5 to $30 per pip shitting my pants and wondering how you guys take 100 to 200 pip trades. Matbe I should scale down some.
if you are shitting in your pants it means that you are trading a bigger size than you should. If you are not in Futures but Forex increase timeframe x3 and reduce size of your average trade x5. Same risk but bigger return of capital because of larger range and same stop size (and obviously a good environment for 100 x 200 pips move). Just my 2 cents.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #341,768
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:54am Dec 8, 2010 2:54am
Quoting hammer083
Hey T.

Is it possible to show on graph how do you calculate and draw those swing projections?

Thanks,
impossible now...i would need a help from power point
  • #341,769
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:54am Dec 8, 2010 2:54am
still hanging around this level , ok . may need 1 more H1 candle close over 3208 to go , waiting .also specting gold up as far as above 1382+ for big up towards 1476 .

fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #341,770
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:54am Dec 8, 2010 2:54am
Quoting Mr Hatch
Teacher, teacher... i found one *snip*

I found, what bothered me last night... the weekly chart! It is well possible to negate last week's signal, but as long as we haven't retraced 62% of it, i am always having that image of it in the back of my mind.

we are resting on the 50% atm.
Got it. Good point.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #341,771
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:55am Dec 8, 2010 2:55am
Quoting sisse
if you are shitting in your pants it means that you are trading a bigger size than you should.
or learn to like it. kinda warm and squishy, not too bad. hard-core scalpers are in Depends anyway.

cold sweat. throw up. thinking through the hangovers. the sooner you make that pile the sooner you can kiss it all goodbye.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #341,772
  • Dec 8, 2010 2:57am Dec 8, 2010 2:57am
Quoting SugarTrade
i'm favoring PA rolling over here.... although I am not ready to jump on it usd/jpy had given a bit back, but the rally was quick and sure-footed. I think the selling here will be apparent if and when it comes. I am not particularly fond of going long at the present, so if it doesn't rollover soon I may just go to bed with some sell orders
went short @ 1.3215, I think it will play for a few pips
  • #341,773
  • Dec 8, 2010 3:00am Dec 8, 2010 3:00am
Quoting SugarTrade
went short @ 1.3215, I think it will play for a few pips
the H1 close looks promising, though i'd prefer a bounce here to the 40s-70s area.
  • #341,774
  • Dec 8, 2010 3:02am Dec 8, 2010 3:02am
Thanks for posting your charts! It's nice... I trade with range bars and I use indicators to let me know when it's ready to move. I use to trade naked but I like indicators, they work very very good with range bars.

The 4H charts shows a big move to the down side, any thoughts on that...
  • #341,775
  • Dec 8, 2010 3:04am Dec 8, 2010 3:04am
some speculation chart as long as PA sleeping .

I tend to beleive in double top formation rather than 123 , and the spike to 3430s could be ignored , specially when it happened after NY stocks closed at the end of the week and directly falling in the opening of the new week .

this double top have a target till 3100 area which is almost fib 78.6 from the last 400 pip rally.

61 fib on the other hand @ 3146 area .

and current 50% level is weak one.

so pick any scenario. unfortunatly I dont have bullish one atm.
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I SEE YOU !!
  • #341,776
  • Dec 8, 2010 3:04am Dec 8, 2010 3:04am
Quoting Mr Hatch
the H1 close looks promising, though i'd prefer a bounce here to the 40s-70s area.
now if we could just get out of this range and hold a new low
  • #341,777
  • Dec 8, 2010 3:05am Dec 8, 2010 3:05am
Quoting SugarTrade
went short @ 1.3215, I think it will play for a few pips
hold it 4 1500
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #341,778
  • Dec 8, 2010 3:07am Dec 8, 2010 3:07am
Quoting gatorinla
pull back expected at 3167/70 ... 3177 was target.. slip should bring up the rest. chart target is hard to see.. but its 3177
/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #341,779
  • Dec 8, 2010 3:07am Dec 8, 2010 3:07am
"Iceland central banks cuts key interest key rate to 4.5% from 5.5%"
I guess this news made this quick move
  • #341,780
  • Dec 8, 2010 3:07am Dec 8, 2010 3:07am
Quoting SugarTrade
now if we could just get out of this range and hold a new low
doesn't look too bad as you wrote it. volume's low, too, so no real buying going on. but that's too early to say atm.
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