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  • #334,681
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:40am Nov 29, 2010 7:40am
I agree with you Kuroro. My level to watch is 1.3020 so+/- the same from a H4/daily perspective.

We'll see

sisse

Quoting kuroro001
Bounced off the 1,3140-50 area....really weak bounce though.
Short is the way to go...even for a scalp i would not dare to go long right now.
So lets wait for the price to go higher to short it.
A bounce off 1,3180-1,3200 seems the place for a short...unless its broken to the upside

1,3040 is the area where i will pay attention.

A correction is due though...i am waiting for it...and i won't chase it!
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #334,682
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:40am Nov 29, 2010 7:40am
A few fundamental thoughts .
ireland got bail out.
when greece got bail out we fell 800 pips am i correct?

ez happy irish safe for now .But they not convinced portugal will not need help as like ireland they are currently saying they dont need it.
If portugal prove to need help , spain would be next to go and they dont think its possible to bail them out.
Until some confirmation of portugals position I feel this will slide lower.
Especially with any good U.S news like job numbers later this week.
Apologies if this has been discussed I have skipped some pages to keep up.

Please correct me if my analysis is wrong.

I'am strong bias to bears because of this.
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #334,683
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:41am Nov 29, 2010 7:41am
Quoting lambergino
To add: I am by no means trying to offend any of your trading strategies. It is clear that a bearish bias is present on euro and it will indeed sink deeper, creating great opportunity to make money by going short in the short to medium term
The message I was attempting to get across was that the middle class folks in America will feel the effect of currency devaluation (watching their retirement fund be worth less and less purchasing power) more than those in Europe, which will experience great deal of government spending cuts, but atleast they...
they better print if they want to save the euro.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #334,684
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:42am Nov 29, 2010 7:42am
Quoting kuroro001
Bounced off the 1,3140-50 area....really weak bounce though.
Short is the way to go...even for a scalp i would not dare to go long right now.
So lets wait for the price to go higher to short it.
A bounce off 1,3180-1,3200 seems the place for a short...unless its broken to the upside

1,3040 is the area where i will pay attention.

A correction is due though...i am waiting for it...and i won't chase it!
I with you, waiting for a bouce to see what that brings...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #334,685
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:44am Nov 29, 2010 7:44am
Quoting paul1
A few fundamental thoughts .
ireland got bail out.
when greece got bail out we fell 800 pips am i correct?

ez happy irish safe for now .But they not convinced portugal will not need help as like ireland they are currently saying they dont need it.
If portugal prove to need help , spain would be next to go and they dont think its possible to bail them out.
Until some confirmation of portugals position I feel this will slide lower.
Especially with any good U.S news like job numbers later this week.
Apologies if this has been discussed I have skipped...
Still having those funnymental thoughts Paul?
  • #334,686
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:45am Nov 29, 2010 7:45am
Quoting wormboy
lol

I posted the bullish pennant on dx a few days ago, still in play. Nearest strong resistance I have printed is @81.15
Just a thought. Have a good one mate
getting there slowly. 80.33 minor is now history.

usdx

1. http://cdn.forexfactory.com/attachme...7&d=1290756443
2. http://cdn.forexfactory.com/attachme...8&d=1290756443
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxd1.gif Size: 13 KB
Thank You
  • #334,687
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:45am Nov 29, 2010 7:45am
Quoting T@rantula
After a spinning top on m15 this could be a momentum candle targeting 3183. A counter scalp, lets see


there is something else at play here - remember that zone T@..........?
  • #334,688
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:46am Nov 29, 2010 7:46am
Quoting roxen99
long from 3200, target 3400, s.l 3150
.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #334,689
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:46am Nov 29, 2010 7:46am
5 min chart outlook
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 5min chart outlook.jpg Size: 148 KB
  • #334,690
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:47am Nov 29, 2010 7:47am
Quoting gatorinla
.
Well, good R:R anyways...
  • #334,691
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:48am Nov 29, 2010 7:48am
Quoting PayTheLimit
I with you, waiting for a bouce to see what that brings...
my short @ 3168 and I hope it will lower down to 2950!!!
  • #334,692
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:48am Nov 29, 2010 7:48am
K, if this 15min closes negative, might short for the next leg down/scalp...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #334,693
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:51am Nov 29, 2010 7:51am
Quoting PayTheLimit
K, if this 15min closes negative, might short for the next leg down/scalp...

might pay to see how US open pans out remember they have been closed 4 days now
might see some action - then again might not lol
  • #334,694
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:51am Nov 29, 2010 7:51am
Quoting paul1
A few fundamental thoughts .
ireland got bail out.
when greece got bail out we fell 800 pips am i correct?

ez happy irish safe for now .But they not convinced portugal will not need help as like ireland they are currently saying they dont need it.
If portugal prove to need help , spain would be next to go and they dont think its possible to bail them out.
Until some confirmation of portugals position I feel this will slide lower.
Especially with any good U.S news like job numbers later this week.
Apologies if this has been discussed I have skipped...
I don't think there is a right or wrong analysis.You have a valid point, however IMO, the decision now, is not if Portugal or Spain needs the money but if the EZ have the political will to turns things around and give some certainty to the euro. Otherwise, the contagion will keep spreading.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #334,695
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:52am Nov 29, 2010 7:52am
Quoting PayTheLimit
K, if this 15min closes negative, might short for the next leg down/scalp...
I don't like shorting on bottom because if it goes up i am stuck with a short in a hole...i don't know about to avoid that mess.
But i wish you luck with that mate

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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COT: The precious data ignored
  • #334,696
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:52am Nov 29, 2010 7:52am
Quoting gatorinla
.
Some guys kick the good advice and insist to learn by hard way!
  • #334,697
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:52am Nov 29, 2010 7:52am
Bearish hidden divergence there off the 61.8 on this m5 chart so it is possible to get to my 3122 target.
Attached Image
  • #334,698
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:53am Nov 29, 2010 7:53am
Quoting gatorinla
they better print if they want to save the euro.
are you serious? printing more money is what the problem is in America, it undervalues the 'assets' which is what drives the currency value.

will you make more money if you have the ONLY apple or if there are a million apples? you can't keep printing money. Currency represents value, if you made your own currency and your house is worth $100,000 ... and you print $100 pieces of your 'currency', then each of those are worth $1000, but if you print $500 of them, then each is worth only $200.

sorry for tangent, it just pisses me off that the solution is to keep printing.
  • #334,699
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:53am Nov 29, 2010 7:53am
i dont understand why ppl like to go against the trend. May be they are members of international Elliot wave society
  • #334,700
  • Nov 29, 2010 7:54am Nov 29, 2010 7:54am
Ready to watch price at 3129 & all ok may long if no break.
no , it is 3055 movement . better wait or short scalping .
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
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