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AUD/USD

  • #25,501
  • Edited 5:00am Nov 26, 2010 4:35am | Edited 5:00am
9650 support cluster...

Will it bounce up from here? That's the question...

(My own guess: drop to 9570-9540, then UP. Reason: daily 100EMA is there...)

Caution.
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  • #25,502
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:11am Nov 26, 2010 5:11am
Quoting mrbandwidth
9650 support cluster...

Will it bounce up from here? That's the question...

(My own guess: drop to 9570-9540, then UP. Reason: daily 100EMA is there...)

Caution.
9625...

9650 support disintegrated -> free fall
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  • #25,503
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:18am Nov 26, 2010 5:18am
Breaking News Spanish bank selling euro agressively

Seems like they know something and something BIG is about to go down
  • #25,504
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:22am Nov 26, 2010 5:22am
Quoting Forexfsa
Breaking News Spanish bank selling euro agressively

Seems like they know something and something BIG is about to go down
Could you provide a link, please?

Thanks
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  • #25,505
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:22am Nov 26, 2010 5:22am
Quoting Forexfsa
Breaking News Spanish bank selling euro agressively

Seems like they know something and something BIG is about to go down

Yea, they knew I went long so dumped it... I think China was buying though and China is bigger
  • #25,506
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:23am Nov 26, 2010 5:23am
Quoting Forexfsa
Breaking News Spanish bank selling euro agressively

Seems like they know something and something BIG is about to go down
Selling without buying is not possible so what is the currency that they converted to.. ?

what is your source ?
  • #25,507
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:31am Nov 26, 2010 5:31am
USD perhaps? Those paper seems to be more valuable than the Euros. Or maybe the China Yuan if China permits.
  • #25,508
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:35am Nov 26, 2010 5:35am
Seems to be talk going round that Ireland will default on bank debt on Monday. Take it for what you will.
Ireland currently guarantees senior debt but its not a blanket guarantee and no longer in force ever since Ireland extended terms when last one expired at the end of September.
Ireland/German 10 year govt bond yield spread widens to new euro lifetime high of 691 bps, 15 bps up on day.
  • #25,509
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:40am Nov 26, 2010 5:40am
  •  damo
  • | Joined Aug 2010 | Status: Chart Pattern & Trend Trader | 217 Posts
So far today this sucker has dropped 205 pips, way over its daily ATR. I really want to short this but I think that statistically it has moved its max for today.
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #25,510
  • Nov 26, 2010 5:58am Nov 26, 2010 5:58am
Portuguese/German 10 year govt bond yield spread 464 bps, 10 basis points up on day
Back with Spanish, 10 year govt bond yield spread up over 50 bps on week at 5.25%, highest since 2002.
  • #25,511
  • Nov 26, 2010 6:04am Nov 26, 2010 6:04am
  •  damo
  • | Joined Aug 2010 | Status: Chart Pattern & Trend Trader | 217 Posts
Quoting Forexfsa
Portuguese/German 10 year govt bond yield spread 464 bps, 10 basis points up on day
Back with Spanish, 10 year govt bond yield spread up over 50 bps on week at 5.25%, highest since 2002.
Thanks for the heads up mate, but is there any chance you can tell us where you are getting your info so I can take a look myself?
Trade what you see, not what you think.
  • #25,512
  • Nov 26, 2010 7:50am Nov 26, 2010 7:50am
Quoting TexasforEX
Thanks Baron & CanuckCT


Took profits on pound, aussie and euro for 385 pips. Leaving kiwi open for now.

See ya around,

TFX

Quoting TexasforEX
Price is bouncing between the 23.6/38.2/50.0 of the latest downmove.

I'm holding a short position and will add upon an hourly close below 9810.
Quoting TexasforEX
Added a short position @ 9808.

Closing everything here....


2 kiwi shorts, one from 7770, one from 7750 = +542

2 aussie shorts, one avg at 9860, one at 9808 = +590


Yee-hah! Santa's got a big red bag now.
"Timing Is Everything. Really I Swear It Is"
  • #25,513
  • Edited 8:12am Nov 26, 2010 7:58am | Edited 8:12am
Possible inverted H&S at 10min...

Theorical target: ~ 9680-9690

But... Do you dare a long?
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  • #25,514
  • Nov 26, 2010 8:16am Nov 26, 2010 8:16am
Here is my AUDUSD H4 chart....price just touched significant H4 trendline.....so now I wait to see what is going to happen from here. A decent spot to go long with good risk/reward.
Cheers
CanuckCT
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2010-11-26_1014.jpg Size: 97 KB
  • #25,515
  • Nov 26, 2010 8:22am Nov 26, 2010 8:22am
Funny: the EXCUSE for this drop is (again) the Ireland & Portugal problems (euro-zone); however the EURUSD has drop 'only' a .95%, while AUDUSD a 1.65%...

Maybe irish and portuguese have moved up their countries to Tasmanian Sea tonight?

FUN-DEMENTIAL paradoxes...
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  • #25,516
  • Nov 26, 2010 8:25am Nov 26, 2010 8:25am
Quoting CanuckCT
Here is my AUDUSD H4 chart....price just touched significant H4 trendline.....so now I wait to see what is going to happen from here. A decent spot to go long with good risk/reward.
Cheers
CanuckCT
Attachment
Very, very nice chart CanuckCT, thanks.
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  • #25,517
  • Nov 26, 2010 8:27am Nov 26, 2010 8:27am
Quoting mrbandwidth
Funny: the EXCUSE for this drop is (again) the Ireland & Portugal problems (euro-zone); however the EURUSD has drop 'only' a .95%, while AUDUSD a 1.65%...

Maybe irish and portuguese have moved up their countries to Tasmanian Sea tonight?

FUN-DEMENTIAL paradoxes...
everything is so globally connected anymore there are rarely any real uncorrelated movements.
  • #25,518
  • Nov 26, 2010 8:31am Nov 26, 2010 8:31am
Quoting domino
everything is so globally connected anymore there are rarely any real uncorrelated movements.

That certainly would explain a drop at Aussie, but not near a DOUBLE drop...

But who cares? Anal-ysts always find a beautiful explanation... for the past, of course.
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  • #25,519
  • Nov 26, 2010 8:33am Nov 26, 2010 8:33am
Quoting CanuckCT
Here is my AUDUSD H4 chart....price just touched significant H4 trendline.....so now I wait to see what is going to happen from here. A decent spot to go long with good risk/reward.
Cheers
CanuckCT
Attachment

look at the 9400 and 9000 levels thats where abouts lime lookin..
SZ6B-Swapped so far so ill expect price to build to around C-D-or E levels before I look for longs i think this has a bit more development to be had first
  • #25,520
  • Nov 26, 2010 8:37am Nov 26, 2010 8:37am
Quoting mrbandwidth
That certainly would explain a drop at Aussie, but not near a DOUBLE drop...

But who cares? Anal-ysts always find a beautiful explanation... for the past, of course.
I find that they use them as excuses really for movement.. but academia would have us believed its priced into it already anyways.. and that what we are trading is dissemination of information past the current situation anyways.. I think what we are ness seeing here in belief that china will continue to tighten its monetary policy and constrict growth.. which will effect the rest of the world..
this would effect the aussys due to china hunger for commodities and commodities being aussys main thing.
and would be on par with what the G20 wants .. which is the increase in the yuan.

or maybe ive just had to much ashwaganda this morning.
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