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EURUSD

  • #328,081
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:27am Nov 18, 2010 1:27am
Quoting mercy seat
http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/png.gif
EUR/USD : Outlook Prior To Asian Session...

Buy EUR/USD Put Spread; Risks Skewed Down - UBS

0714 GMT [Dow Jones] UBS recommends buying EUR/USD put-spread with 6-month expiry, strike at 1.1000, 1.000 as there's risk pair to fall below house's long-term support of 1.1000 in coming months. "the euro's declines is very likely to continue because euro-member nations will tighten their fiscal belt while the ECB has no choice but to keep its policy easy," UBS says. Adds a lot of private institutions increasing EUR-short positions, which prompting public investment firms to follow suit, further placing downward pressure on EUR. Says recommended trade's cost is 0.9025% with reference spot at 1.2190.

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2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #328,082
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:29am Nov 18, 2010 1:29am
Quoting PayTheLimit
K my 4hr still in the red, I'm looking for shorts again...GL bud
Yeh swing on H4 is still downside oriented.
But H1 is upside.
And its reaching its first resistance.
I would like to see a reversal here.

And i am looking for anything...as long as its a positive position at the end of the day

Good luck to you too mate
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #328,083
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:30am Nov 18, 2010 1:30am
irish spreads looking lower early, 551...down 6bp
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #328,084
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:32am Nov 18, 2010 1:32am
Quoting mekz77

Edit: but I hope you're not trading for living off your 10" Netbook
Ak had a good intention. That what u just said is not correct. U should think before u say something like that.
  • #328,085
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:35am Nov 18, 2010 1:35am
#327519

  • #328,086
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:36am Nov 18, 2010 1:36am
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  • #328,087
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:36am Nov 18, 2010 1:36am
Quoting fontu
may start thinking it down at 50% fib level below 3613 , otherwise it may even go 3660/69/95 to even 3732 before down .waiting .
fontu
I agree.
I will start sell if eurusd try 3609 again and repeled

It seems defficult to over 3626.
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  • #328,088
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:37am Nov 18, 2010 1:37am
Sorry, have been very busy lately. See comments on the charts, please.
Charts are on my blog which can be accessed through my signature.

At this point I do not really know, which one of the three offers the highest likelihood.

The first chart, labeled as my main chart, is the least bearish one, because it will see a bigger move up once orange 1 has ended.

The second chart offers the most bearish view. Here we are in a wave orange 3 already.

The third chart is valid too, offers the most immediate upside potential. Upside should be limited to around 3773. 3794 is a MMTL 1/8 (p=256) which should at least reject this upmove.


More later........

Happy trading,


Markus
  • #328,089
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:40am Nov 18, 2010 1:40am
Quoting mercy seat
Buy EUR/USD Put Spread; Risks Skewed Down - UBS

0714 GMT [Dow Jones] UBS recommends buying EUR/USD put-spread with 6-month expiry, strike at 1.1000, 1.000 as there's risk pair to fall below house's long-term support of 1.1000 in coming months. "the euro's declines is very likely to continue because euro-member nations will tighten their fiscal belt while the ECB has no choice but to keep its policy easy," UBS says. Adds a lot of private institutions increasing EUR-short positions, which prompting public investment firms to follow suit, further...
they must be wanting to short that spread. I wouldn't trust the big houses on any of their recommendations. Their track records are pathetic. Goldman is the worst of the lot. Those guys would have you buy all of the highs and sell all of the lows. .
  • #328,090
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:43am Nov 18, 2010 1:43am
thing is I am emotionally attached to longs now...& I am going to stay attached as long as we don't make LH on daily...but I dont think its smart though
  • #328,091
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:46am Nov 18, 2010 1:46am
8H usdx

might continue towards 79.50 in coming hours

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Mind over matter..I don't mind and you don't matter.
  • #328,092
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:47am Nov 18, 2010 1:47am
Quoting winfast
they must be wanting to short that spread. I wouldn't trust the big houses on any of their recommendations. Their track records are pathetic. Goldman is the worst of the lot. Those guys would have you buy all of the highs and sell all of the lows. .
From my view point that kind of news are rip off for retail traders that trust in them......as far as market logic go make dust & be a first buyer to last seller = perfect trade
  • #328,093
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:47am Nov 18, 2010 1:47am
Quoting T@rantula
We have an upswing on m15. Bought into it.

3640 should be max and a good time to short.

We should down go to 3525 then.

As I say 3640 should be thre MAXIMUM> The downtrend scenario could also start earlier.
Morning bro
Yes that is exactly in my mind But ,Look to 15min why indecision and rejection under 1.3590 or that is not true and my psychology
Somehow tense
  • #328,094
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:49am Nov 18, 2010 1:49am
My 1h chart:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart.gif Size: 15 KB


Trend line has been broken, pullback rejected, and then up. Beginning of a new up trend?
  • #328,095
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:50am Nov 18, 2010 1:50am
Quoting mercy seat
EUR/USD : Outlook Prior To Asian Session

1.35286 ... next 'value date' ...

Our system is set with preference to corrective action price movements. All executions will embark on this strategy. Market may attempt a re-test at 1.3566 - 1.3577 or even higher towards 1.3597 - 1.3615 zone. After all unless a cross beyond 1.3615 - 1.3624 it could drift down again towards 1.3508 or to below 1.3471 limit ...

Trend Potential (-7) Imminent end of bearish move

Note : Warning :...

http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/pdf.gif 2010-11-18_08h27_European Forex Technicals - EURUSD Recovery Limited.pdf (13.3 KB)


European Forex Technicals: EUR/USD Recovery Limited
18 Nov 2010, 08:27

By Francis Bray
A DOW JONES NEWSWIRES COLUMN



Intraday EUR/USD: Resistance is likely to emerge in the 1.3650 area as dominant bears will look to regain control of the near-term. A successful defence of 1.3650 would attract a fresh wave of bear pressure back to 1.3510, making Tuesday's low at 1.3446 vulnerable. Only a sustained break above 1.3650 would question thoughts of a bear extension to 1.3380, opening 1.3751 and 1.3777.

Weekly chart EUR/USD trend: Bearish.


Und so sieht es Francis ...


I have got no time atm ... must go now ... ein heftiges Programm steht an ...


;-)
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf 2010-11-18_08h27_European Forex Technicals - EURUSD Recovery Limited.pdf   13 KB | 414 downloads
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #328,096
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:50am Nov 18, 2010 1:50am
My view intraday for today. As soon as intraday price broke to HH intraday, 1.360x was tested. Looks like a clear area for a pullback (shorts intraday) and / or a trend short on the daily chart (obviously it will have to break to intraday LL first and break daily S to make a decent move from a daily perspective ...)

I think the chart is self-explanatory.

sisse
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #328,097
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:55am Nov 18, 2010 1:55am
Monthly chart:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Is history going to repeat itself?
  • #328,098
  • Nov 18, 2010 1:56am Nov 18, 2010 1:56am
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
Monthly chart:

Attachment

Is history going to repeat itself?
probably yes

I SEE YOU !!
  • #328,099
  • Nov 18, 2010 2:00am Nov 18, 2010 2:00am
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
Monthly chart:

Attachment

Is history going to repeat itself?

YES!
http://www.localseoguide.com/wp-cont..._soup_nazi.jpg
NEXT QUESTION!

Not all sins are created equal
  • #328,100
  • Nov 18, 2010 2:01am Nov 18, 2010 2:01am
Hourly closed as a PB again. Nice red close hourly close =
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