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  • #325,421
  • Nov 14, 2010 9:50am Nov 14, 2010 9:50am
Quoting SkyzerFX
,I'm not saying EUR is good, but who the heck and why would buy

USD right now during QE and no interest rates forever...
Those who has not enough $ and need it for buy notes and the rest of US papers which can be sold for $ only, thoughts.
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #325,422
  • Nov 14, 2010 9:53am Nov 14, 2010 9:53am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Forex Pro's sentiment 52% bullish 48% bearish

And FF sentiment 99% bearish that's why I'm buying.
I am sure professionals are taking this in account...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #325,423
  • Nov 14, 2010 9:54am Nov 14, 2010 9:54am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Forex Pro's sentiment 52% bullish 48% bearish

And FF sentiment 99% bearish that's why I'm buying.
Haaahahahahahaha
  • #325,424
  • Nov 14, 2010 9:55am Nov 14, 2010 9:55am
Quoting mfoste1
what you fail to understand if is that this is a speculative market....

US data has been improving recently and this decreases the odds of further qe, which is flexible. This increases the possibility of tightening monetary policy(raising i rates). POMO on friday was supposed to lower bond yields, well they rose. Can you not see what is happening?
Improving? Economy just going to get worse. Under today conditions

nothing can be improved. And I said about QE.

You saw nothing yet. You don't understand how Pyramids are working,

to keep it afloat they need printing forever until actual paper worth more

than whats printed on it. That's already happens with Pennies.

Economy improving, this must be a joke, or your should be working

for CNBC (alone with Gator) talking like Steve Liesman.. Jees, even his last name says it

all.

"Rising rates.."

You can write this on the WALL.. NO rates rising until at least 2015..

And I say with 63 trillion $$$ total Debt it's not even technically possible to rise rates regardless of economy condition.

Let's bet on who's going to rise rates First.. EZ or Feds???
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  • #325,425
  • Nov 14, 2010 9:56am Nov 14, 2010 9:56am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Forex Pro's sentiment 52% bullish 48% bearish

And FF sentiment 99% bearish that's why I'm buying.
just something to be aware off... 700 pip drop in just over a week is saying something for sure... though we are stuck at 38.2 fib retracement of the current bullish trend... this can go either way... my question is weather the overall long term trend is still bearish?

http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundame..._Forecast.html
  • #325,426
  • Nov 14, 2010 9:57am Nov 14, 2010 9:57am
Quoting SkyzerFX
,I'm not saying EUR is good, but who the heck and why would buy

USD right now during QE and no interest rates forever. Who wants to

load on USD and sit tight in devaluating currency? I wish IMF

could bailout whoever, like US always does and move on.. Market then

going to go through the roof alone with EUR and everything else, but

otherwise money has noway to go.. Sit in cash, maybe for few days, and

then what? We'll see..
eur isn't much better, the debt crisis isn't solved... ireland is going to fail and portugal and spain are the next...
Pecunia non olet
  • #325,427
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:00am Nov 14, 2010 10:00am
Quoting mfoste1
what you fail to understand if is that this is a speculative market....

US data has been improving recently and this decreases the odds of further qe, which is flexible. This increases the possibility of tightening monetary policy(raising i rates). POMO on friday was supposed to lower bond yields, well they rose. Can you not see what is happening? need a hint?
sorry, but at last week Terminator of State California declared state of emergency because of economical results, did you know that there is no one day solution to get rid from shit a state which is deeply inside now? Now Merkel will push Ireland to solve their shit asap, because some of them are interesting to close some business positions higher.
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #325,428
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:00am Nov 14, 2010 10:00am
Quoting SkyzerFX
Improving? Economy just going to get worse. Under today conditions

nothing can be improved....

BOND YIELDS ARE RISING! THAT MEANS INTEREST RATES ARE RISING....the market is correcting itself


the fed is facing immense pressures from every country to stop monetary easing
  • #325,429
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:03am Nov 14, 2010 10:03am
Quoting intery
sorry, but at last week Terminator of State California declared state of emergency because of economical results, did you know that there is no one day solution to get rid from shit a state which is deeply inside now? Now Merkel will push Ireland to solve their shit asap, because some of them are interesting to close some business positions higher.

be that as it may, california is not on markets radar right now....
  • #325,430
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:04am Nov 14, 2010 10:04am
Quoting mfoste1
be that as it may, california is not on markets radar right now....
come on, back to the history - you can not deny it:

The Death of Money: Lessons from the Great Inflation in Germany and America ", written by Jens Parrson -

"Every large-scale inflation - whether in Germany in the early 1920's, or the U.S. war in Korea or Vietnam - begins with a passive increase in the amount of money. It does not appear within a surprisingly long period of time. Prices of assets may grow, but the latent price Inflation is imperceptible. Its effect is similar to the fuel in the fire before it lit a match.
The willingness of people to have money can suddenly change to "psychological and spontaneous because" that causes a sharp increase in the velocity of money. This can occur with lightning speed, in a few weeks. Shift invariably finds economists by surprise. They are too long to pull the removal of excess money supply. "

sorry for free translation...
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #325,431
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:07am Nov 14, 2010 10:07am
Without QE1, the economy will be in deep shit....

Equities market will collapse totally without QE1..

QE1 caused the market to rise steadily since March 2009

We will see QE2 bringing the exact same effect.
  • #325,432
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:07am Nov 14, 2010 10:07am
the hidden problem is - Greece, if they deny solve their debts, it will mean of start EZ destruction progress like a unity - that's a problem

oh, and this... Portugal may be forced to withdraw from the euro zone, if the ruling party and opposition fail to agree on a coalition. This was stated by Foreign Minister Luis Amado
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #325,433
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:07am Nov 14, 2010 10:07am
Me and my wife had a great day out today we got on really well,I feel its only a minor retrace as we are in major downtrend. (only joking)
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #325,434
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:12am Nov 14, 2010 10:12am
Quoting intery
the hidden problem is - Greece, if they deny solve their debts, it will mean of start EZ destruction progress like a unity - that's a problem

greece is not the hidden problem. Hint, the real problem is much much bigger than greece.
  • #325,435
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:14am Nov 14, 2010 10:14am
Greece received a record breaking bailout the weekend of May 2nd . On the first trading day after the bailout announcement was made, the EUR/USD plunged 100 pips which is not that significant but over the course of that week, it fell as much as much as 750 pips. Between May 3rd (the Monday after the announcement) and June 7th , the EUR/USD fell approximately 10 percent. However, as sovereign debt worries receded and Greece faded from the minds of global investors, the EUR/USD stabilized and began a risk assumption rally that brought the currency pair from 1.20 to 1.42. This means there is first panic and then stability.
  • #325,436
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:14am Nov 14, 2010 10:14am
Quoting jaylovin
just something to be aware off... 700 pip drop in just over a week is saying something for sure... though we are stuck at 38.2 fib retracement of the current bullish trend... this can go either way... my question is weather the overall long term trend is still bearish?

http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundame..._Forecast.html
Long term trend is bullish but daily trend defo bearish.
We are sitting on 38 retrace from june bottom to recent top hence the consolidation recently. Monthly is overbought. I expect further retracement to 68ish level before exploding upwards beyond the 1.4's.
1.35 and 1.33 my approx targets.
That's how I see it anyway.
  • #325,437
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:14am Nov 14, 2010 10:14am
just notice the close price and the nack line ,i think the close price is below the ncek line,so i think it will still go short tomorrow .
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A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #325,438
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:16am Nov 14, 2010 10:16am
Quoting mfoste1
greece is not the hidden problem. Hint, the real problem is much much bigger than greece.
I know, I mean "on table", we know all that's a dirty game.
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #325,439
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:18am Nov 14, 2010 10:18am
Quoting intery
I know, I mean "on table", we know all that's a dirty game.

yes it definitely is....what im saying is that big players know something that is big.
  • #325,440
  • Nov 14, 2010 10:27am Nov 14, 2010 10:27am
Eventually they all go bust..

US is a Greece * 100

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