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Trend Trading All Pairs

  • #8,901
  • Nov 4, 2010 3:38pm Nov 4, 2010 3:38pm
Quoting Custos
good that you find success . Yeah trading is a marathon, not a sprint. So take it easy and slowly
not success, but I am in balance Most of the guys of my age in trading keep losing... I am sure following right guides I will succeed.

I understand by doing what you are doing now it shows on your balance sheet
This is the best positive reinforcement there is!

CHF/Jpy candle is up. does not look like Pin bar anymore...
  • #8,902
  • Nov 4, 2010 3:40pm Nov 4, 2010 3:40pm
JPY has a major rate announcement coming up. Monetary policy too.

shouldnt we stay clear of JPY today?
  • #8,903
  • Nov 4, 2010 4:10pm Nov 4, 2010 4:10pm
Quoting Bandit
JPY has a major rate announcement coming up. Monetary policy too.

shouldnt we stay clear of JPY today?

I guess that was hypothetical discussion
It is a bank rates day.
  • #8,904
  • Nov 4, 2010 4:49pm Nov 4, 2010 4:49pm
Quoting Custos
I personally would let it run until the trend changes.
Good call Custos---moved to just above BE
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We are all One. Be present. Be the Observer
  • #8,905
  • Nov 4, 2010 5:11pm Nov 4, 2010 5:11pm
Hi ya..

Just for my curiosity was this actually a BPC at the solid red arrow, as it was bouncing off the close RN for confluence or was it actually the dotted arrow above and should have actually been picked up on the shorter TF.....or am I completely wrong?

cheers,
Adrian
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  • #8,906
  • Nov 4, 2010 5:43pm Nov 4, 2010 5:43pm
Quoting aarangio
Hi ya..

Just for my curiosity was this actually a BPC at the solid red arrow, as it was bouncing off the close RN for confluence or was it actually the dotted arrow above and should have actually been picked up on the shorter TF.....or am I completely wrong?

cheers,
Adrian
As far as I know it was a standard Nightmoves setup where we look to daily for ma's to be streaming nicely with PA moving into them ---drop down to 4hr draw the ctl and wait for the BPC. I think Custos doesnt like anything less than the 4hr so a lower TF entry wouldn't be recommended. Please correct me if I'm wrong.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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We are all One. Be present. Be the Observer
  • #8,907
  • Nov 4, 2010 6:32pm Nov 4, 2010 6:32pm
these 2 pairs look like caught in all these trend lines like between a rock and hard place.
generally good looking charts. orderly

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  • #8,908
  • Nov 4, 2010 6:36pm Nov 4, 2010 6:36pm
the pairs I am mostly intereste din are still the big ones: E/U, G/U and A/U. But they are still running non stop. I wonder when retracement starts. can take few days and it can run far enough. I read today in local news paper how smart was move to announce only 600 billions purchase instead of 1 trillion. As if it matters. Feds are in debt up to their eyes and there is no fooling the market.
I worry only about it coming back before getting too high. My 1000 pips are somewhere there !!!
  • #8,909
  • Nov 5, 2010 1:09am Nov 5, 2010 1:09am
Quoting aarangio
Hi ya..

Just for my curiosity was this actually a BPC at the solid red arrow, as it was bouncing off the close RN for confluence or was it actually the dotted arrow above and should have actually been picked up on the shorter TF.....or am I completely wrong?

cheers,
Adrian
bpc at the solid red arrow.
  • #8,910
  • Nov 5, 2010 1:14am Nov 5, 2010 1:14am
Quoting shiko
the pairs I am mostly intereste din are still the big ones: E/U, G/U and A/U. But they are still running non stop. I wonder when retracement starts. can take few days and it can run far enough. I read today in local news paper how smart was move to announce only 600 billions purchase instead of 1 trillion. As if it matters. Feds are in debt up to their eyes and there is no fooling the market.
I worry only about it coming back before getting too high. My 1000 pips are somewhere there !!!
patience is key. Once you are in a couple of long-term trades sitting on your hands gets easier.
  • #8,911
  • Nov 5, 2010 2:21am Nov 5, 2010 2:21am
Looks like GBP/JPY showed DanUk set up. was break out of inside bar from area of confluence round number 131.50, resistance and Fib 61.8
  • #8,912
  • Nov 5, 2010 2:30am Nov 5, 2010 2:30am
Eur/Aud lookss like showing NightMoves set up on 4H. The pair is in downtrend on weekly and was in consolidation on daily. looks like break out of consolidation.

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  • #8,913
  • Nov 5, 2010 3:11am Nov 5, 2010 3:11am
Quoting Custos
patience is key. Once you are in a couple of long-term trades sitting on your hands gets easier.
Yes, I see no sense to hurry. Most of the time price does come back. It is not safe to guess what market going to do and go with original break out. most of break outs are fakes.
  • #8,914
  • Nov 5, 2010 3:20am Nov 5, 2010 3:20am
I went short Eur/Aud but extremely small size. total risk is 0.25%. shorted with limit order at 139.63. stop loss 80 pips and first take profit same. the rest is far. let's see how this thing plays out. I am under water right now.
reason for entry:
the pair is in down trend on weekly. range was broken and when price tried to get back into the range daily candle closed as shooting star down.
SMAs are in order on 4H and weekly. It is the break of retracement trend line, pull back and continuation on 4H. Not grade A set up, but risk is small, so. let's try it.
  • #8,915
  • Nov 5, 2010 3:51am Nov 5, 2010 3:51am
I have been thinking of how positions are being built. I remember Jesse Livermore wrote that he always entered with only part of his total intended position. if things went as he envisioned , he added more and then more and in such a way built total position. I guess it goes same way here. Once we are safe and in profit, the price moves along the trend and we have another break out of important level and continuation signal, we enter again. now, what is interesting is Money Management in this case. If for example original tarde was 2% risk. Trader closed 1% as profit another 50% posiiton runs. What would be a good risk size for next posiiton. Probably to keep things safe risk should be between 1-2% again. may be just 1% to gamble with earned money..and such position can be build along the trend consisting of few smaller position which add up and compound. It is like that Multipede guy's approach but with DanUk and Nightmoves entries it is safer and higher probaility of success.
  • #8,916
  • Nov 5, 2010 4:04am Nov 5, 2010 4:04am
Quoting shiko
I have been thinking of how positions are being built. I remember Jesse Livermore wrote that he always entered with only part of his total intended position. if things went as he envisioned , he added more and then more and in such a way built total position. I guess it goes same way here. Once we are safe and in profit, the price moves along the trend and we have another break out of important level and continuation signal, we enter again. now, what is interesting is Money Management in this case. If for example original tarde was 2% risk....
methinks you are right.

i do not understand your eur/aud entry though
  • #8,917
  • Nov 5, 2010 4:12am Nov 5, 2010 4:12am
Quoting Custos
bpc at the solid red arrow.
Hi ya Iamfx, Custos..

Thanks for getting back to me on this..

cheers,
Adrian
  • #8,918
  • Nov 5, 2010 4:30am Nov 5, 2010 4:30am
Quoting Bandit
methinks you are right.

i do not understand your eur/aud entry though
You need to check weekly and daily to see why.
I went short Eur/Aud but extremely small size. total risk is 0.25%. shorted with limit order at 139.63. stop loss 80 pips and first take profit same. the rest is far. let's see how this thing plays out. I am under water right now.
reason for entry:
the pair is in down trend on weekly. range was broken and when price tried to get back into the range daily candle closed as shooting star down.
SMAs are in order on 4H and weekly. It is the break of retracement trend line, pull back and continuation on 4H. Not grade A set up, but risk is small, so. let's try it.
On weekly the pair is in downtrend. On daily it has been in range. It broke out of range few days ago. then 2 days ago price tried to get back into the range and this attempt was rejected with shooting start forming on daily.
Now, there is SMAs in order on 4H , retracement line break out, then pull back and price went for continuation. It is NightMoves entry but obviosly not A grade. I entered it only on my smaller testing account, not the main one where I take only the best looking trade
  • #8,919
  • Nov 5, 2010 4:42am Nov 5, 2010 4:42am
the problem with this entry is that it did not show previous bounces from 30-50SMAs area, it is too fresh so I think. but risk is small and there is some room to run. let's see.
  • #8,920
  • Nov 5, 2010 5:04am Nov 5, 2010 5:04am
Quoting redsword11
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