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  • #318,561
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:07am Nov 3, 2010 9:07am
very good US data. it's all about Q.E. now.
NFP revised higher for Friday - expectations.

let's see what Big B does.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #318,562
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:07am Nov 3, 2010 9:07am
Well, yes I think with both good #s in the US before the FED, once the intraday short move completes in a few, it will be nothing to do until later and then probably a wise option is to only watch. We'll see

sisse

Quoting DMA Trader
last chance to keep your money safe.

close positions and step away from computer. shut it down. and do not open it.

Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #318,563
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:08am Nov 3, 2010 9:08am
Quoting Mr Hatch
4010 is very well protected atm.
Was just about to pointing the same. It's every bear worst enemy.
  • #318,564
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:08am Nov 3, 2010 9:08am
Quoting kassec
It's fireworks time on UCHF ...
Do you mean the 50pip range all day? Those fireworks must be defective then!
  • #318,565
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:09am Nov 3, 2010 9:09am
I went short at 1.4050 because of the resistance here, (narrow sl) I am staying short while the price is below the 15m Tenkan. Hoping to get out in next 1-2 hours for 60-80 pips
  • #318,566
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:11am Nov 3, 2010 9:11am
the fireworks were in EURJPY ,
USD pairs will have nice fireworks in matter of hours.
I SEE YOU !!
  • #318,567
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:12am Nov 3, 2010 9:12am
don't blow out your shorts just yet, DOW JONES NEWSWIRES offers a bit of insight behind the numbers:

Quote
(excerpt)Many economists have worried that industrial activity is cooling and no other sector is poised to pick up the slack, though September's numbers may offer some small reassurance.

Factory orders advanced following a surge in demand for civilian aircraft and parts. Excluding the often volatile transportation sector, new orders rose a much more modest 0.4%.

Non-defense capital goods orders excluding aircraft, a barometer of business capital spending, fell 0.2%.[...]
  • #318,568
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:14am Nov 3, 2010 9:14am
Hi Markus,

sorry for yesterday, I was all day in capital, signing oil contracts for next year Terrible flight back!!! heavy rain, was flying just 30m above the sea just hoping there are no tankers in the way. But 127 pips done :-)

I believe your count is OK for now, my targets are 1.4105/27 for today.

Gruss Georg
  • #318,569
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:14am Nov 3, 2010 9:14am
Quoting Mr Hatch
4010 is very well protected atm.
Yes, strong reject (M5). If confirmed by next M15 candles, I may chicken out my shorts and look for a long scalp ...
Don't just be a sheep : make your own idea of it.
  • #318,570
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:19am Nov 3, 2010 9:19am
Quoting kassec
Yes, strong reject (M5). If confirmed by next M15 candles, I may chicken out my shorts and look for a long scalp ...
i don't know where did you short from , but i have a feeling if you chickened out you will regret it .
I SEE YOU !!
  • #318,571
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:20am Nov 3, 2010 9:20am
Good luck with this market, I'll be back to see what the FED has to say, I'm off for a cocktail....cheers...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #318,572
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:20am Nov 3, 2010 9:20am
big boys already know BBs numbers, so they aint sellin haha. qe2 must be huge
  • #318,573
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:22am Nov 3, 2010 9:22am
Quoting zaphy
Do you mean the 50pip range all day? Those fireworks must be defective then!
My eyes were defective on the report I saw (90 pips/5 minutes). I apologize.
Don't just be a sheep : make your own idea of it.
  • #318,574
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:26am Nov 3, 2010 9:26am
Quoting nooblaster
big boys already know BBs numbers, so they aint sellin haha. qe2 must be huge
other side :

big boys are manipulating the market as usual(they are the market makers after all ), keeping prices for 4 weeks at high level in order for them to offload as many billions as possible .


theories never end
I SEE YOU !!
  • #318,575
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:27am Nov 3, 2010 9:27am
Quoting dbfusion
i don't know where did you short from , but i have a feeling if you chickened out you will regret it .
I'll re-enter then Pullback only exists for that
That's no problem. Better in the balance than in the equity.
Don't just be a sheep : make your own idea of it.
  • #318,576
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:32am Nov 3, 2010 9:32am
let next us news crude oil inventiries over to start the trading.if less than expected or much below previous then more energy consumption & all previous good news be validated & positive usdx reaction up may be seen , otherwise all will prove false haevy reaction opposite & eu up.

prediction already down that there occured more consumption as per.
negative here means more in inventorie , no work ,no energy consumption , more barrels in the inventories .opposite ,less in the inventories , positive, eu spike down .
just how I interpret , may not be true though.
I see it now 2M , not as per expected but positive for usd anyway . lets see if any positive reaction or wait again for fund rate to price in all together .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #318,577
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:34am Nov 3, 2010 9:34am
Quoting kassec
I'll re-enter then Pullback only exists for that
That's no problem. Better in the balance than in the equity.

"Faint heart never won fair lady."

I SEE YOU !!
  • #318,578
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:35am Nov 3, 2010 9:35am
The deflationary pressures will be equally or more important under the current circunstances ... just my 2 cents.

sisse

Quoting fontu
let next us news crude oil...
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #318,579
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:36am Nov 3, 2010 9:36am
Inserted Video




My opinion
  • #318,580
  • Nov 3, 2010 9:36am Nov 3, 2010 9:36am
I suspect KC Fed President Hoenig will sit down a the Fed’s giant mahogany conference table this morning with a very satisfied grin. The most vocal opponent of the Fed’s plan to buy more Treasuries and his small cohort of compatriots will likely have a pretty good day today, I’d suspect.
Will the recent run of data (better home sales, manufacturing and service-sector PMIs, jobless claims, ADP…) be enough to dissuade the Fed from launching its monetary ocean liner? No, but it should keep Capt Ben from pushing the throttles to full steam ahead.
Expect them to maintain the view that the economy is not growing fast enough to reduce unemployment meaningfully. But also expect them to leave themselves plenty of wiggle room to reduce or extend QE as they see fit after several FOMC meetings.
The greatest fear of the market is likely to be realized today, in my view. A fuzzy roadmap from the Fed without an explicit commitment of a dollar amount over a specific timeframe.
If they leave us guessing, the dollar will likely rebound, in my view. The market wants a large, known number. [COLOR="rgb(72, 209, 204)"]It may end up being keenly disappointed.[/color]

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