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  • #318,381
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:29am Nov 3, 2010 3:29am
Quoting fontu
Possible pa now .shortcut bull at this level to have better higher position before NFP .
due to your observation, it is so clear but why you dont use bollinger for first target or deformation of trend?
thanks for your clear charts.
wish you have good trade
Good companion, is a trophy.
  • #318,382
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:30am Nov 3, 2010 3:30am
..
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  • #318,383
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:32am Nov 3, 2010 3:32am
i think if we will break the highs it will happen during news time...
  • #318,384
  • Edited 3:53am Nov 3, 2010 3:32am | Edited 3:53am
Quoting Pipwanderer
i am thinking of the same set up too targeting 3960 at most on h4 time frame. the bull just run through
Yeah ,may run through but still have time doing normal price action & go there at least 4024 min pullback can be there , a good pa can takes place instead so shortcut or none .

Just dreaming about nfp movements , as nody happy with emplyments there some positive numbers like predicted very positive ,may result is spike down eu some towards 3951 -3900 before the euphoria gone & back to the price before the spike & continue what doing before bull.Anyway I do not have to play this , will come late in office ,otherwise may enter a trade before the effects be over.
lets see
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #318,385
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:32am Nov 3, 2010 3:32am
Quoting Trade Raper
I appreciate the time you took commenting on my post, a lot of good findings, I especially like that you pay attention to wave theory as well. I just wanted to say that I don't think the info here is useless, just useless to me, as I have not seen anyone posting in this forum that trades in my particular area of expertise. Sorry if I offended anyone.

OK here are my charts, one is of the first drive is measured from the low of Oct. 27th to the high of the 28th. The next drive is the low of the 29th to the high of yesterday. Now if you draw your...
Hello Trade Raper,

thank you for your well formulated views ... incl. your chart grafics ... which shows the three parts of upmoves and your 127.2 % fib-enhancement (now I understood what you mean) ... I will try to reply from time to time ...

OK ...

I wrote ... as follows ... and this should be taken as my kind of TA outlook for today ...


Simplified Daily Outlook For EUR/USD :

Fine ... may be ... may be not ... move structures looks as if completed already or as if prior to an end of bullish wave ... but can easilly go further ... with a fourth peak ... etcetera pp ...

I expect to see a move towards 1.4076 (in Samurai Session possible as long as 1.3991 zone (Daily Central Pivot) will offer some support ... in other words 1.4009 - 1.3991 should be tested ... but we do not know if this might hold or not at this stage ...

Elliott : points still to the upside same way as yesterday ... 1.4079 is our point to watch out for at first ...

;-)

And just that way we did ... atm I am long with BE from 1.3993 ... after I started a little bit too early to take the longs on board at 1.4008 area ...

but so what ... 'Künstlerpech' we say in such cases ... can happen ...

the best point in your first writing that I did noticed so far ... has been your remark ... regarding to to your small risk ... that you are willing to take for that view ...

Maybe I would like to give you some more detailed explanation of my views by the time ...

Each situation has its own specific best method and cries for its own specific tools ... in other words ... a real good trader must have a deep knowledge of nearly all methods that exist ...

Grafical TA tools are much too poor to build up a winning system and strategy ... but that is how the most masses of creatures do like to think ... because it seems so easy that way ...

Impossible to explain the real good things in a forum like this ... even then when I would like to do such things ... impossible that ...

I liked the way you expessed your views ...

Maybe when your PM-Box is activated ... then I do like to give you some hints ... but I cannot promise that ... because I definately have not much time ...

Mal sehen ... see you later

;-)
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #318,386
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:34am Nov 3, 2010 3:34am
Quoting T@rantula
According to Murrey math lines and PA.

Attachment
Attachment
i would be carefull going long here on E/U before ADP
if good numbers come. perception will be pro USD until FOMC.

charts looking bullish but also huge resistance that i don't think can get broken before FOMC.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #318,387
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:35am Nov 3, 2010 3:35am
Republicans won the house but not the Senate.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #318,388
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:37am Nov 3, 2010 3:37am
Quoting FibbinArchie
Beautiful bounce off the daily pivot and the old falling trend line resistance turned support first thing, wasn't up early enough for it.

Just putting out a hypothesis based on the fact that you'd expect to see a major stop clear out before a continuation or reversal out of this month's worth of consolidation, we left the stops at the bottom yet had the opportunity for a clear out, and have now been parked about 100 to 150 pips from the top for around 18 hours.

If we're continuing the trend up after today's announcement, I find it strange...
Quoting DMA Trader
i would be carefull going long here on E/U before ADP
if good numbers come. perception will be pro USD until FOMC.

charts looking bullish but also huge resistance that i don't think can get broken before FOMC.
A good hypothesis. I wouldnt call that a headfake or a bull trap but a possible indecisive swing high/low until FOMC statement. Thus I tend to take profit and scale out at every minor swing until I spot a clear direction. 4020 > 4040 > 4065> 4080. Those are all levels that are needed to be seen before next push up.

When we have a strong fundamental day like this, scaling out on each previous minor swing high ( in this case HIGH if we follow the trend) or at each MM level or a pivot is the best possible strategy to keep u in profit on intraday basis.
  • #318,389
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:40am Nov 3, 2010 3:40am
At this rate... why do I still have USD in my wallet or even tagged beside my bank account statement.

No wonder the lady laughs every time I go to the bank to exchange my greenbacks.

Truly Weimar Republic style...

Its as if I have gremlins living in my wallet eating away at my money.
  • #318,390
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:45am Nov 3, 2010 3:45am
Quoting T@rantula
A good hypothesis. I wouldnt call that a headfake or a bull trap but a possible indecisive swing high/low until FOMC statement. Thus I tend to take profit and scale out at every minor swing until I spot a clear direction. 4020 > 4040 > 4065> 4080. Those are all levels that are needed to be seen before next push up.

When we have a strong fundamental day like this, scaling out on each previous minor swing high ( in this case HIGH if we follow the trend) or at each MM level or a pivot is the best possible strategy to keep u in profit on intraday...
I am usually very good interpreting the fundies but I really don't feel at all comfortable with today especially that republicans are against the idea of BIG FED Big Bernanke. So Some of the unconditional support for Bernanke was lost in the election. and I don't see anybody saying something about this.

So we also have some politic issues now putting pressure on FED. The whole idea about Bernanke doing survey to see how everyone expects the QE to be scares me. Media hype is 500 bln while GS is 2 trln. So go figure.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #318,391
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:46am Nov 3, 2010 3:46am
Quoting T@rantula
I am inclined to go long on intraday basis. I made an entry targeting 4060 then possible 4100.

According to technicals long entries are validated.
Exactly ... genau ... sorry just wanted to say hello ...

We did same way ... long from 1.3993 (close to daily pivot point) and up again ... partial profits at various stages ... and re-enter again ... in order to adjust the BE at all 'zigzag zones' for better results in accounting ...

step by step ... that is our 'parole' ...

2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #318,392
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:48am Nov 3, 2010 3:48am
woke up late today... hit and run for me, 'til bb.
  • #318,393
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:49am Nov 3, 2010 3:49am
Quoting Warwick
Its as if I have gremlins living in my wallet eating away at my money.
It's called the Federal Reserve, today's dollar is worth about 4 cents of what it was worth when they took over, prior to that there had been little to no inflation, except for some during the civil war but nothing on the scale of what has been witnessed over the past century...
  • #318,394
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:50am Nov 3, 2010 3:50am
Hi,

Pullback is done, u think ?

Regards.
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  • #318,395
  • Nov 3, 2010 3:58am Nov 3, 2010 3:58am
seems like a fall is being prepared 15tf
So get ready!
  • #318,396
  • Nov 3, 2010 4:01am Nov 3, 2010 4:01am
Quoting FibbinArchie
It's called the Federal Reserve, today's dollar is worth about 4 cents of what it was worth when they took over, prior to that there had been little to no inflation, except for some during the civil war but nothing on the scale of what has been witnessed over the past century...

As somone's who's entire net worth (albeit, not much) lie in USD holdings. This is a sickening sight.

...living outside the country further compounds the problem.
  • #318,397
  • Nov 3, 2010 4:02am Nov 3, 2010 4:02am
Well my 1hr turned green...guess I'll look for a buy set up down the line. If I actually take that signal will be another story.
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #318,398
  • Nov 3, 2010 4:04am Nov 3, 2010 4:04am
Quoting PayTheLimit
Well my 1hr turned green...guess I'll look for a buy set up down the line. If I actually take that signal will be another story.
I'm flat til ADP - naptime.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #318,399
  • Nov 3, 2010 4:06am Nov 3, 2010 4:06am
Quoting mercy seat
Exactly ... genau ... sorry just wanted to say hello ...

We did same way ... long from 1.3993 (close to daily pivot point) and up again ... partial profits at various stages ... and re-enter again ... in order to adjust the BE at all 'zigzag zones' for better results in accounting ...

step by step ... that is our 'parole' ...

Hey Mercy
  • #318,400
  • Nov 3, 2010 4:06am Nov 3, 2010 4:06am
Quoting The Fool
I'm flat til ADP - naptime.
enjoy...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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