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EURUSD

  • #317,661
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:04am Nov 2, 2010 3:04am
very interesting area atm,
weekly (3927) and monthly (3915) pivot very close,
they won the first battle
  • #317,662
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:04am Nov 2, 2010 3:04am
AUD/USD in 1.00 !!!
again
  • #317,663
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:05am Nov 2, 2010 3:05am
morning everyone
I SEE YOU !!
  • #317,664
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:05am Nov 2, 2010 3:05am
may I kindly remind you of this?
take care until the fed announced their position.
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  • #317,665
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:08am Nov 2, 2010 3:08am
Quoting druckenmillr
"priced in" assumes the market knows what the number is.

nothing is "priced in" until the number comes out.

stan
Hi Stan, I think DMA means that expectations have been priced in...
  • #317,666
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:08am Nov 2, 2010 3:08am
What is that Herr Hatch?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #317,667
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:09am Nov 2, 2010 3:09am
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  • #317,668
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:10am Nov 2, 2010 3:10am
Quoting DMA Trader
no problem.

tell me your opinion.
what do you think we will see
i wish i knew.

i hope a direction.

i really believe it depends on the fed's approach to qe2.

i mentioned earlier that shock and awe will send this pair to the moon and the dollar down hard.

a phased in approach and we sell off.

stan
  • #317,669
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:11am Nov 2, 2010 3:11am
Quoting The Fool
What is that Herr Hatch?
my worst nightmare on my charts. i still struggle to forget about this movement, which must have killed quite a few.
take care of 3915.
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  • #317,670
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:16am Nov 2, 2010 3:16am
3933/38 still tough....3955/60 above next resistance
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #317,671
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:16am Nov 2, 2010 3:16am
Quoting druckenmillr
i wish i knew.

i hope a direction.

i really believe it depends on the fed's approach to qe2.

i mentioned earlier that shock and awe will send this pair to the moon and the dollar down hard.

a phased in approach and we sell off.

stan
Ok.

I think the FED got themselves in a very hard situation because they do care about how markets react so they are doing survey right now. which is pretty strange right ?

anyway

If we get a huge spike up I think it will be met by sellers.
also what happens with the money from Q.E. do they disappear ? no they will stay on balance sheet before buying each month

I think and this is just an opinion that FED will do everything to avoid an fixed amount. - markets expect 500B so they might try to leave amounts open. talking about buying each month. supporting economy as they see needs. you know more language.

Also 500B equivalent with a 50b point rate cut. so we are going negative now.

They need to be very careful because there getting to the liquidity trap theory.

we'll see.

DMA
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #317,672
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:18am Nov 2, 2010 3:18am
Quoting FibbinArchie
Hi Stan, I think DMA means that expectations have been priced in...
if both assumptions are priced in then our next target should be around .3350.

i don't think they are because you have to separate scenarios and i'm guessing the market is hoping for the Fed to drop a trill on us and anything less will be a disappointment.

stan
  • #317,673
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:21am Nov 2, 2010 3:21am
Quoting DMA Trader
Ok.

I think the FED got themselves in a very hard situation because they do care about how markets react so they are doing survey right now. which is pretty strange right ?

anyway

If we get a huge spike up...
agree.

a large drop (a trill or more) will cause massive dollar bleeding.

another 8-10% run up in equities or this pair at 1.5 and we have a bubble.

stan
  • #317,674
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:21am Nov 2, 2010 3:21am
Quoting Larseg
AUD/USD in 1.00 !!!
again
Just bought it @1.0001
  • #317,675
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:22am Nov 2, 2010 3:22am
Quoting druckenmillr
if both assumptions are priced in then our next target should be around .3350.

i don't think they are because you have to separate scenarios and i'm guessing the market is hoping for the Fed to drop a trill on us and anything less will be a disappointment.

stan
To be honest Stan, I don't trust any of it, the only thing I trust is my chart... but that's just my opinion...
  • #317,676
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:23am Nov 2, 2010 3:23am
aud reaching for the stars again.
  • #317,677
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:25am Nov 2, 2010 3:25am
Quoting FibbinArchie
To be honest Stan, I don't trust any of it, the only thing I trust is my chart... but that's just my opinion...
everything is on the chart.

stan
  • #317,678
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:26am Nov 2, 2010 3:26am
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
Just bought it @1.0001
dont you want a pull back first..or you mean you just sold?
  • #317,679
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:26am Nov 2, 2010 3:26am
Quoting druckenmillr
if both assumptions are priced in then our next target should be around .3350.

i don't think they are because you have to separate scenarios and i'm guessing the market is hoping for the Fed to drop a trill on us and anything less will be a disappointment.

stan
money doesn't get disappointed, it just looks for yield. USD will still be no-yield whether its 0.5T or 2T, and in either case, it will still get sold to fund the quest for yield. Unless some more eurozone shit hits the fan I would not expect to see E/U drop that far
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #317,680
  • Nov 2, 2010 3:28am Nov 2, 2010 3:28am
Does anyone have the number for the swiss adjusted retail sales? The swissy is going well...and none of my sources shows the actual number. Thanks.
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