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  • #316,121
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:06am Oct 29, 2010 4:06am
I agree with you. Although, the last FED comments have been very mild on the QE and that why stock markets have stop the rally but obviously its just a play on words until the official position is released.

We'll see
sisse

Quoting The Fool
The ECB is more hawkish than most other CB's for the majors and that will come into play sooner than later and especially if US QE goes full on from next week, and I think it will. The dominant & voting Fed Heads are bought in to QE big time and there has not been enough change in US unemployment to bring them off it.
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #316,122
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:08am Oct 29, 2010 4:08am
we've been here before, possibly we don't need to bounce again...
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  • #316,123
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:11am Oct 29, 2010 4:11am
Quoting Mr Hatch
we've been here before, possibly we don't need to bounce again...
is that a live feed of the usdx?...who offers it to you...?
  • #316,124
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:11am Oct 29, 2010 4:11am
Well I for one would like to see some sort of bounce to get short again...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #316,125
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:13am Oct 29, 2010 4:13am
Quoting dbfusion

whats wrong with the Portuguese, Spanish and Greek 5 yr CDSs.

Nothing wrong, at least with the 10 year yields. They are a little bit to the upside.

PT 10 Yield 6.037 +1.66%
GR 10 Yield 10.672 +2.57%
  • #316,126
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:16am Oct 29, 2010 4:16am
maybe some support forming 3827/29..
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #316,127
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:31am Oct 29, 2010 4:31am
Quoting PayTheLimit
maybe some support forming 3827/29..
more like wishful thinking...a move above 3838/40 needed to establish it
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #316,128
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:32am Oct 29, 2010 4:32am
Quoting infinitus
It seems, that my prediction of yesterday comes true. Yesterday evening I had doubt, because the upward movement had a quiet impulsive feeling and went a little bit further than the expected 3916. But when movement topped last night, one could count on 4h chart in the yellow wave "a" 3 waves up and in yellow "c" wave 7 waves up. That is corrective.

So I stick again with my Leading Diagonal count, which should bring us in the area of 1.3611 to 1.3550 (MMTL -1/8 and -2/8 on 1h with p=256)

For the next hours I am awaiting a retest of 3855, because...
even if infrequent .. .however, thanks for confirming technically what has been lurking in my conscious and for a couple of corrections. I thought this was gonna back up to test 1.3871 area ... I could have missed to add more to downwave from 3855. And I thought it was going down to 373ish area ... now I will be wary of further slip to 1.3550-1.361x.
  • #316,129
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:33am Oct 29, 2010 4:33am
Quoting PayTheLimit
maybe some support forming 3827/29..

Did I hear magnet 1.3800?
  • #316,130
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:37am Oct 29, 2010 4:37am
Quoting Larseg
Did I hear magnet 1.3800?
3810/12 on the 15min, closing basis is what I'm looking at...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #316,131
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:39am Oct 29, 2010 4:39am
Quoting PayTheLimit
3810/12 on the 15min, closing basis is what I'm looking at...

Can be hard to fight the trend mate, but if you have a plan for it your good
  • #316,132
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:40am Oct 29, 2010 4:40am
Quoting dbfusion

whats wrong with the Portuguese, Spanish and Greek 5 yr CDSs.
There is some political turmoil in Potyugal due to budget negotiations between the 2 main political forces.

Charts indicate budget will pass, and big money wants it passed too so...
  • #316,133
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:42am Oct 29, 2010 4:42am
Quoting PayTheLimit
Well I for one would like to see some sort of bounce to get short again...
thats still my plan...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #316,134
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:44am Oct 29, 2010 4:44am
Quoting PayTheLimit
thays still my plan...

That' not a plan that is an educated guess...
A plan is written down, down to detail..
  • #316,135
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:45am Oct 29, 2010 4:45am
We are at a strongish level here DS1 and 62% fr of yesterday's up move, but the longer we stay here the more likely it is to give way...
  • #316,136
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:46am Oct 29, 2010 4:46am
Quoting infinitus
It seems, that my prediction of yesterday comes true. Yesterday evening I had doubt, because the upward movement had a quiet impulsive feeling and went a little bit further than the expected 3916. But when movement topped last night, one could count on 4h chart in the yellow wave "a" 3 waves up and in yellow "c" wave 7 waves up. That is corrective.

So I stick again with my Leading Diagonal count, which should bring us in the area of 1.3611 to 1.3550 (MMTL -1/8 and -2/8 on 1h with p=256)

For the next hours I am awaiting a retest of 3855,...



Just updated Gold, in case you are interested.

Many pips to all of you,


Markus
  • #316,137
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:46am Oct 29, 2010 4:46am
Is taking too long. Don't know much about local politics in Portugal and I dont take any ideological position but as outsider it look like Socrates was/is trying very honestly and hard to pass the necessary budget cuts but the old forces that for so many years have always put Portugal on the second row in Europe are still strong. Hopefully for Portugal, the myopic forces don't win again ant let Portugal lagging (in economic terms) like always.

Sisse
Quoting Barata
There is some political turmoil in Potyugal due to budget negotiations between the 2 main political forces.

Charts indicate budget will pass, and big money wants it passed too so...
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #316,138
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:49am Oct 29, 2010 4:49am
We also have NY early birds coming into the market...
  • #316,139
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:50am Oct 29, 2010 4:50am
Quoting Larseg
That' not a plan that is an educated guess...
A plan is written down, down to detail..
well my new plan is, I'm takin a break, catch u later....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #316,140
  • Oct 29, 2010 4:53am Oct 29, 2010 4:53am
Quoting PayTheLimit
well my new plan is, I'm takin a break, catch u later....

No worries mate
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