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  • #315,861
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:02pm Oct 28, 2010 8:02pm
small bounce 3902
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #315,862
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:03pm Oct 28, 2010 8:03pm
Quoting malcolmb14
today may have been confirmation eu tanks next week .... and when I mean tank I mean 3300
look on daily S&P. I'm short there. or weekly.
you don't see something like that easy.

we are pricing in perfection.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #315,863
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:04pm Oct 28, 2010 8:04pm
Quoting mfoste1
what does your chart say bro?
My charts says:

-consolidation between 1.41 and 1.37
-immediate resistance 1.3947 (62% Fib from last move down)
-price below daily MA10 (down slope already) but still above MA20 (for 5 pips only)
-weekly chart showing a good fight between bulls and bears at this point
-price failed to breakout on the up side, the range from the last 7 hours, made until the Asia open.
-After failing the upside breakout is now breaking down with volume
- S&P, NDX, Nikkei, Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil, AUD, down CHF up, all giving some help on the EUR fall.

I'm short and with some more confidence now but i will only stay comfortable below 1.3800.

Is this ok?
  • #315,864
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:04pm Oct 28, 2010 8:04pm
As expected 1,3950 was a good point to exit his longs.
Big supply zone between 1,3950 and 1,3970.
If we have a confirmation within the next hour it might go down back below 1,3800
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #315,865
  • Edited 8:17pm Oct 28, 2010 8:05pm | Edited 8:17pm
3888/89... will add more....catching up
3870 3880 3893 3848 3867 sausage factory ends then 3670... add levels posted earlier as majors... also murry, fibs and tl and any other voodoo you like. old supports
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #315,866
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:11pm Oct 28, 2010 8:11pm
Quoting j_d
My charts says:

-consolidation between 1.41 and 1.37
-immediate resistance 1.3947 (62% Fib from last move down)
-price below daily MA10 (down slop already) but still above MA20 (for 5 pips only)
-weekly chart showing a good fight between bulls and bears at this point
-price failed to breakout on the up side, the range from the last 7 hours, made until the Asia open.
-After failing the upside breakout is now breaking down with volume
- S&P, NDX, Nikkei, Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil, AUD, down CHF up, all giving some help on the EUR fall.

I'm...
good analysis, you gotta trade what you see

im not short, im adding longs chart tells me somewhere near 3875
  • #315,867
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:15pm Oct 28, 2010 8:15pm
Quoting pres78
Even with FOMC on Wednesday and NFP on Friday? How was today confirmation?
secret lol

lets see.....

1) move up started AFTER us close yesterday
2) the best info i could find why usd was getting crushed today was some news about a survey

right ..what bs.

this is called mark up .....

think like this if you want to buy something ( in this case usd) yo would want to get it as cheaply as possible.

How many calls have there been in this forum today for 4150 and 4400 ? I bet a load.. I have not read back .

This up move is shake out.....to get the bulls back in and shake out weak seller... classic classic move. Now all I need is tomorrow to be an up day on the futures with no volume to it , hopefully kissing 1.4000 to 1.4050
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #315,868
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:18pm Oct 28, 2010 8:18pm
gator, this might not mean much to you, but i honestly admire you.
  • #315,869
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:19pm Oct 28, 2010 8:19pm
we are breaking below 1.39

EUX is in worse shape than DXY. EUR is sold. big.

we'll see
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #315,870
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:21pm Oct 28, 2010 8:21pm
Quoting mfoste1
good analysis, you gotta trade what you see

im not short, im adding longs chart tells me somewhere near 3875
This is the big problem. Most of the time i trade based on what i would like to see instead of what i'm seeing.
Its all about discipline and i fail a lot on that
  • #315,871
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:22pm Oct 28, 2010 8:22pm
Japan Finance Minister: Watching Forex With Great Interest



you the man Noda
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #315,872
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:24pm Oct 28, 2010 8:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
#315137...
st chart... chart for above levels not included
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #315,873
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:28pm Oct 28, 2010 8:28pm
Quoting malcolmb14
secret lol

lets see.....

1) move up started...
malc you are a funny egg and if anyone went back across your posts for the last 24 hours they might be forgiven for thinking you were a schizophrenic.

John Taylor (head of FX Concepts, biggest FX hedge fund in the world, which has a rediculous rate of return since opening no less!) said it best last night I think:
Quote
“As soon as the Jackson Hole issue, the QE2 issue came out, you sell the dollar,” Taylor said. “The best measure of when to stop selling the dollar is when the QE2 effort is matched by problems in Europe or problems in China.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-1...ylor-says.html

Taylor is forecasting continued dollar weakness through November.
  • #315,874
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:28pm Oct 28, 2010 8:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
3888/89... will add more....catching up
3870 3880 3893 3848 3867 sausage factory ends then 3670... add levels posted earlier as majors... also murry, fibs and tl and any other voodoo you like. old supports

Only thing that's suspect with this move is UC and Gu is lagging. I'm long UC but it dropped as eu dropped...

Keep up the good work
  • #315,875
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:29pm Oct 28, 2010 8:29pm
Quoting DMA Trader
Japan Finance Minister: Watching Forex With Great Interest



you the man Noda

That guy...

like this?

http://www.wonderhumor.com/funny_pic...ictures_09.jpg


My buy order in the 76.80-77.00 area still stands. 1-2 Lots.
  • #315,876
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:32pm Oct 28, 2010 8:32pm
Quoting j_d
This is the big problem. Most of the time i trade based on what i would like to see instead of what i'm seeing.
Its all about discipline and i fail a lot on that
Me too!
  • #315,877
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:33pm Oct 28, 2010 8:33pm
Ahh, i went to Mcdonald's and missed my sell opportunity. I will wait for it to break my trendline I posted earlier, if it doesn't do that then I'll be going long... but that doesn't appear too likely at this stage.
  • #315,878
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:37pm Oct 28, 2010 8:37pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
gator, this might not mean much to you, but i honestly admire you.
a tough neighborhood..
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #315,879
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:39pm Oct 28, 2010 8:39pm
Quoting sinner-
malc you are a funny egg and if anyone went back across your posts for the last 24 hours they might be forgiven for thinking you were a schizophrenic.

John Taylor (head of FX Concepts, biggest FX hedge fund in the world, which has a rediculous rate of return since opening no less!) said it best last night I think:
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-1...ylor-says.html

Taylor is forecasting continued dollar weakness through November.
lol not sure what that means

think i been calling them ok ....

lol did you read ALL THE article....He is predicting 1.4 to 1.43... in November ..wow that is hard we already at 1.4 .... then 1.3 by end of year...WOT that is only 6 weeks away as most fx desk close down 2 weeks before xmas almost.

So i guess John and myself are on the same page.

Lets just leave it at this .. only 100 bill easing and topped at 500 bill 1.3 by end Nov ....

100 billion with unlimited easing in the future... eu goes into orbit
Blogging daily now at www.volume.zone
  • #315,880
  • Oct 28, 2010 8:40pm Oct 28, 2010 8:40pm
short @1.3903 SL: 1.3935 TP:1.3855

We`ll see..
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