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EURUSD

  • #313,061
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:32am Oct 25, 2010 4:32am
Quoting swing 123
closed my short at 4020 at +51
good job

nice signature
I SEE YOU !!
  • #313,062
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:32am Oct 25, 2010 4:32am
Bulls retake the 30's, I still can figure it out...I guess I'll wait for us to get away from this area...
my 1min just turned green here but I'll pass, we could look to test 4074/76 I guess
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  • #313,063
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:36am Oct 25, 2010 4:36am
fading out 2 thirds of my long from 4021 @ 4049

my final stop @ 4060s

good luck all
I SEE YOU !!
  • #313,064
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:36am Oct 25, 2010 4:36am
may see a run to 41 or higher?
  • #313,065
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:38am Oct 25, 2010 4:38am
News time bear reaction shows a weekly trend reversal staying somewhere.
Not sure about it but be careful with long.
You cannot learn better without losing
  • #313,066
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:42am Oct 25, 2010 4:42am
dont think the bulls will last through 41. H4 candle shows a pin with high volume. its almost time for the bears again imo. entered short at .4045
  • #313,067
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:45am Oct 25, 2010 4:45am
Quoting chattyducky
dont think the bulls will last through 41. H4 candle shows a pin with high volume. its almost time for the bears again imo. entered short at .4045
A pinbar alone has no real significance...wait for the following candle to confirm it or not.
I'd wait before shorting...but good luck..i hope you are right
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #313,068
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:45am Oct 25, 2010 4:45am
totally out of longs
60 pips for today so far

setting back and waiting for new opportunities .

luck to all of you !
I SEE YOU !!
  • #313,069
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:49am Oct 25, 2010 4:49am
Ciao T.,

is there confirmation atm in your chart for 1.41 retest? It seems bull is getting weaker.....


Which is your view??

I.
  • #313,070
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:49am Oct 25, 2010 4:49am
Intraday : Nice reversal pattern @ H4 that suggests to enter short under 1.4025.

Daily : TD D-Wave (H4) is waiting for a new high (at least 1.4157, target could be 1.50) in more than 48 hours to end the current wave 5. Wave 4 ended last week with a low at 1.3696. Pullback to be expected after wave 5 ends. However, there is no upward limit for end of wave 5. 1.4157 is just a higher minimum and wave may last for weeks. Wave 5 target is valid as long as the price holds above 1.2586 ...
Don't just be a sheep : make your own idea of it.
  • #313,071
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:50am Oct 25, 2010 4:50am
Hello buddies ,as my previous post, this week am looking for tests of 1.4100 area to confirm the south ward move .

Maybe today ,like last monday move up to collect some high prices then move south again maybe.

Friday the 15/10 said to me the big dogs are ready for a move south.( the temporary spike to 1.4160)
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #313,072
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:51am Oct 25, 2010 4:51am
Quoting The Fool
maybe all the talk of incremental accomodation has just been verbal intervention to facilitate an "orderly" USD devaluation.

Maybe Goldman is wrong, or they're setting a bull trap...

Anyway, things will be clearer after next week and the FOMC words are digested
The Fool, you've got to take anything Goldman says with a grain of salt, they are most likely setting up a trap, or just plain wrong. Just as an example, on Oct 18 they recommended shorting EURCHF at 1.31. I and a lot of other people took the opposite view and just closed the trade at 1.36. They and their clients lost 1.4% on that trade.
If only I knew then what I know now...
  • #313,073
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:51am Oct 25, 2010 4:51am
Quoting ibicuy
Ciao T.,

is there confirmation atm in your chart for 1.41 retest? It seems bull is getting weaker.....


Which is your view??

I.
4100 4120 4150 eventually a break of 4150 will reach 4200. For intraday target 4100-4120. Support comes around 4000.

Im long since late Asia.
  • #313,074
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:55am Oct 25, 2010 4:55am
Quoting T@rantula
4100 4120 4150 eventually a break of 4150 will reach 4200. For intraday target 4100-4120. Support comes around 4000.

Im long since late Asia.
i am long @1.3944.and now it seems very difficult for eu to go long again.
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #313,075
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:55am Oct 25, 2010 4:55am
If USDX is in a need for touching its low and strong trendline that should be at 76,0X, EURUSD should turn at 1,422X. And EURUSD is still showing strength leaving this option very much open.

Bearish OsMA divergence in the making in 4H and could still be valid if a move up will happen fast. Then the selloff...
  • #313,076
  • Oct 25, 2010 4:55am Oct 25, 2010 4:55am
Grazie T.

I.
  • #313,077
  • Oct 25, 2010 5:06am Oct 25, 2010 5:06am
Quoting kuroro001
A pinbar alone has no real significance...wait for the following candle to confirm it or not.
I'd wait before shorting...but good luck..i hope you are right
Pinbar have a high win ratio. They don't show long term reversal and they must be traded on breakout only (for shorts, the next bar should go below the low of the pinbar). Depending on the TF and some luck, you go for 1 pip or for 200 ... Carefully selecting the best pinbars (and getting a volume confirmation of what's happening on) you can expect a 90% win ratio. This is valid for almost any TF.

I don't know if this pinbar will be a winner or not. For now, I see it shows a clear and strong reject of the price level around 1.4077. Unfortunately, the volume action does not says so much.
Don't just be a sheep : make your own idea of it.
  • #313,078
  • Oct 25, 2010 5:06am Oct 25, 2010 5:06am
Waiting for a retest of the high...then 1,4100
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #313,079
  • Oct 25, 2010 5:10am Oct 25, 2010 5:10am
Quoting kuroro001
Waiting for a retest of the high...then 1,4100
Very likely.
Would not be surprised to see a new high this week, if the homesales is good, and if Bernanke will confirm some more about QE, the dollar should fall agains most currencies.
The G20 meeting have given investors even more reason to sell dollar.
  • #313,080
  • Oct 25, 2010 5:17am Oct 25, 2010 5:17am
4041/43 trying to turn into support, tough to say its kind of sloppy today
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