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EURUSD

  • #310,841
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:22pm Oct 20, 2010 3:22pm
Quoting almubashir
Hi,
went to your ref site but could not get the hang of things its explaining...wanna make it clear here sir?
thanks
This one does not yet have its own section on my website. Its just a few crazy experiments I'm currently doing. The algorithm is actually quite simple: It takes the last 500 H1 bars and fits an autoregressive model of 200th order to it and then uses that to predict 20 hours ahead.
  • #310,842
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:23pm Oct 20, 2010 3:23pm
Quoting pipper
Not sure Hatch... I keep to my simple MA's... 1Hr looks toppy though 15Min MA's lining up
i i'm careful calling this toppy, because of the non-action taking place atm. it's parked here, will eventually spike down and move upwards. it's the same picture that we saw during this long and winding upmove. no selling taking place, i even wouldn't be surprised if 1.4 was completely void of sellers now.
for me, the question is not, if it's gonna move down, but when. there si enough time left, until the bad numbers for ez get visible - until end of november, i assume. where are we then?
  • #310,843
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:28pm Oct 20, 2010 3:28pm
EURUSD With Wave

http://forexrainbow.com/files/6i75wxp7rihi75ev016b.gif
  • #310,844
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:29pm Oct 20, 2010 3:29pm
I agree.. I think we will see some major movement after main earnings period.... Same with previous earnings period..... I'm looking for the DOW to break 11255 on this run especially after today's rally

Quoting Mr Hatch
i i'm careful calling this toppy, because of the non-action taking atm. it's parked here, will eventually spike down and move upwards. it's the same picture that we saw during this long and winding upmove. no selling taking place, i even wouldn't be surprised if 1.4 was completely void of sellers now.
for me, the question is not, if it's gonna move down, but when. there si enough time left, until the bad numbers for ez get visible - until end of november, i assume. where are we then?
Disclaimer: Check your 1m charts
  • #310,845
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:30pm Oct 20, 2010 3:30pm
Unusual high ratio and volume of open short positions and open short orders on EURUSD @ 13959 and EURGBP today. Wonder if someone knows more.
  • #310,846
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:37pm Oct 20, 2010 3:37pm
On a good volatility this is a great setup for a long entry.

On m15 timeframe there is a confluence of fibo and a round number supported by a median channel just above dynamic support. Flat bottom triangle is another good indicator.


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  • #310,847
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:56pm Oct 20, 2010 3:56pm
I see we have moved a lot since I was last here. lol
  • #310,848
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:58pm Oct 20, 2010 3:58pm
I dunno, that resistance looks pretty solid, still I guess support and resistance gets broken all the time, otherwise markets wouldn't move anywhere. Will be pretty surprised if it does mind...
  • #310,849
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:58pm Oct 20, 2010 3:58pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
i i'm careful calling this toppy, because of the non-action taking place atm. it's parked here, will eventually spike down and move upwards. it's the same picture that we saw during this long and winding upmove. no selling taking place, i even wouldn't be surprised if 1.4 was completely void of sellers now.
for me, the question is not, if it's gonna move down, but when. there si enough time left, until the bad numbers for ez get visible - until end of november, i assume. where are we then?
firt time i upload my chart,4h............now,getting down
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  • #310,850
  • Oct 20, 2010 3:59pm Oct 20, 2010 3:59pm
Quoting FibbinArchie
I dunno, that resistance looks pretty solid, still I guess support and resistance gets broken all the time, otherwise markets wouldn't move anywhere. Will be pretty surprised if it does mind...
This is why I don't trade resistance/support.

They are meant to be broken just as much as they are to be obeyed...
  • #310,851
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:00pm Oct 20, 2010 4:00pm
Quoting Venice
I see we have moved a lot since I was last here. lol
Does this year happen to have August twice?
  • #310,852
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:06pm Oct 20, 2010 4:06pm
Quoting Venice
This is why I don't trade resistance/support.

They are meant to be broken just as much as they are to be obeyed...
Hmmm, I'd say it was a probability judgement call, confluence, patterns, etc. etc. etc.
  • #310,853
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:09pm Oct 20, 2010 4:09pm
Hello
Any body knows how could we be informed on time about the think tank suggestion to the federal reserve in order to be ready for the market reaction?
There is no randomness. It is just Chaos, a higher form of order.
  • #310,854
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:13pm Oct 20, 2010 4:13pm
Quoting FibbinArchie
Hmmm, I'd say it was a probability judgement call, confluence, patterns, etc. etc. etc.
Yeah true. I like to keep things simple though. If price is going up, buy, if price is going down, sell.

If price is doing what it is doing now... grab a coffee and relax
  • #310,855
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:17pm Oct 20, 2010 4:17pm
weak day of the usd - but we saw a huge volatility in the last days.
in my eyes that is a sign of uncertainty and that should be good for the usd
Pecunia non olet
  • #310,856
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:18pm Oct 20, 2010 4:18pm
Quoting Pipfull
Hello
Any body knows how could we be informed on time about the think tank suggestion to the federal reserve in order to be ready for the market reaction?
http://ransquawk.com/live
these have free audio you can run in background.
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #310,857
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:19pm Oct 20, 2010 4:19pm
Quoting Venice
Yeah true. I like to keep things simple though. If price is going up, buy, if price is going down, sell.

If price is doing what it is doing now... grab a coffee and relax
cool...

Well I know what I'm looking for tonight and if I don't see it then no trade...
  • #310,858
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:37pm Oct 20, 2010 4:37pm
Quoting Pipfull
Hello
Any body knows how could we be informed on time about the think tank suggestion to the federal reserve in order to be ready for the market reaction?

lol.......here is my advice: do not listen to anyone but your chart. If you have a good system and you know how to execute it, the trade is there. It always is.

These "think tanks" spew out loads of BS.
  • #310,859
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:41pm Oct 20, 2010 4:41pm
Quoting paul1
http://ransquawk.com/live
these have free audio you can run in background.
thanks paul1
There is no randomness. It is just Chaos, a higher form of order.
  • #310,860
  • Oct 20, 2010 4:44pm Oct 20, 2010 4:44pm
Quoting mfoste1
lol.......here is my advice: do not listen to anyone but your chart. If you have a good system and you know how to execute it, the trade is there. It always is.

These "think tanks" spew out loads of BS.
+90ty billion...

people don't realize how much confidence in your system can boost your success ratio ten fold!
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