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  • #310,101
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:17pm Oct 19, 2010 6:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
all i see is flag on ltf... this is #1.. as always its rare not to hit mids... i just dont know about this.. we may just drop.. i dont trust up move on eu retrace... but on the bull side my resistance held on the usdx..
I've got bullish divergence on some of the lower timeframes....but I'm not trusting it either. I've locked some, was hoping on a reload....but we might not get it....
  • #310,102
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:18pm Oct 19, 2010 6:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
all i see is flag on ltf... this is #1.. as always its rare not to hit mids... i just dont know about this.. we may just drop.. i dont trust up move on eu retrace... but on the bull side my resistance held on the usdx..
Gator, this is a little off topic, but what's your view in the S&P or the market in general?

At short term the rise of the usd should take a bit on this rally but in long term will USA live a lost decade like Japan, or do you think Ben B will save this with is printing machine?
Do you believe in an inflation above 2 digits?
  • #310,103
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:19pm Oct 19, 2010 6:19pm
For the record, the uptrend channel on the daily is intact until around 2968 as of today. That said, looks like the question of whether we were at a top has been firmly settled.....
  • #310,104
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:20pm Oct 19, 2010 6:20pm
fat lady walking up the stairs .. wtfffff may be coming
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #310,105
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:20pm Oct 19, 2010 6:20pm
Quoting PriceVolume
I've got bullish divergence on some of the lower timeframes....but I'm not trusting it either. I've locked some, was hoping on a reload....but we might not get it....
this is so typical, isn't it? i locked about 90% this time, because if i didn't, kaboom, retracement of "getting-hatch's-stop-loss". but i don't really complain. just mentioning.
  • #310,106
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:20pm Oct 19, 2010 6:20pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
without a new low i am not convinced. i am very curious how the asian markets react... i expected a whipsaw during the past 4 hours already.

S&P down 1.6%. lets see
  • #310,107
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:23pm Oct 19, 2010 6:23pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
without a new low i am not convinced. i am very curious how the asian markets react... i expected a whipsaw during the past 4 hours already.
this is the time for strong commodity moves... aud kiwi and asia... react strong
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #310,108
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:23pm Oct 19, 2010 6:23pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
this is so typical, isn't it? i locked about 90% this time, because if i didn't, kaboom, retracement of "getting-hatch's-stop-loss". but i don't really complain. just mentioning.
Typical - but prudent. There will be other chances to add...of that you can be sure....
  • #310,109
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:24pm Oct 19, 2010 6:24pm
Quoting PriceVolume
I've got bullish divergence on some of the lower timeframes....but I'm not trusting it either. I've locked some, was hoping on a reload....but we might not get it....

worth keeing an eye on. 30 and 15m
  • #310,110
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:24pm Oct 19, 2010 6:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
fat lady walking up the stairs .. wtfffff may be coming

yea man i can hear her.......
  • #310,111
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:25pm Oct 19, 2010 6:25pm
So I got some good news here for the permabears: We mey have polical crisis ahead in Portugal, possibly with IMF intervention...
The largest opposition party in parliament, the PSD, whose leader is NEOCON Pedro Passos Coelho, refuses to aprove the budget proposed by the SOCIALIST KEYNESIAN government wich wants to raise taxes and continue the insane spending and pharaonic construction projects.
This may be the reversal... Target 0.85
  • #310,112
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:26pm Oct 19, 2010 6:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
this is the time for strong commodity moves... aud kiwi and asia... react strong
take this as an official application for an internship from me. approx. the next 10 years?
  • #310,113
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:26pm Oct 19, 2010 6:26pm
EU 4 H chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU 19.png Size: 46 KB
  • #310,114
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:28pm Oct 19, 2010 6:28pm
Quoting j_d
Gator, this is a little off topic, but what's your view in the S&P or the market in general?

At short term the rise of the usd should take a bit on this rally but in long term will USA live a lost decade like Japan, or do you think Ben B will save this with is printing machine?
Do you believe in an inflation above 2 digits?
its unknown... lately usd up market down. but for decades both have gone up in the past. many in Europe may buy u.s. stocks while euro has more value and both can go up at the same time. plus with china raise it may improve u.s. employment.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #310,115
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:31pm Oct 19, 2010 6:31pm
Quoting T@rantula
No. Thats only a possible beginning.
You are still on FF?
  • #310,116
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:32pm Oct 19, 2010 6:32pm
Quoting DMA Trader
today big ugly candle is already 300 pips weight leave something for tomorrow
it usually springs back stronger in a resumption.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #310,117
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:38pm Oct 19, 2010 6:38pm
Quoting cagriguler
Attachment
  • #310,118
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:41pm Oct 19, 2010 6:41pm
These are the same charts I have been working from since Feb this year. Bemac passed thru earlier - I'm sure his projections were based on a bigger chart for the long term - it's amazing how the levels keep coming back into play. The two expansions I have on my chart are based on 15m timeframes. What I see right now is the price has fallen below the "first" ICCE box and has not retested the bottom level yet. If we get a bigger retrace than what we have seen since NY close, price should touch or enter the box, but not get above if we are to continue lower. Only caveat to this view is the updated DPP - above the box. Confluence at the 3722/25 area is strong. The 47.2 & 52.8 levels make the top and bottom of the ICCE boxes and behave similarly to Gator's mofu's.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu1019l.gif Size: 42 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: eu1019s.gif Size: 29 KB
  • #310,119
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:41pm Oct 19, 2010 6:41pm
Quoting Mr Hatch
i will, i thought it has to be read like murray math. when crossing -100 it's time for reversal, above 100 the same.
IMO - I think key levels where supply and demand are most out of balance is where price may turn. Indicators will most of the time be wrong.

  • #310,120
  • Oct 19, 2010 6:46pm Oct 19, 2010 6:46pm
Quoting Mungle
These are the same charts I have been working from since Feb this year. Bemac passed thru earlier - I'm sure his projections were based on a bigger chart for the long term - it's amazing how the levels keep coming back into play. The two expansions I have on my chart are based on 15m timeframes. What I see right now is the price has fallen below the "first" ICCE box and has not retested the bottom level yet. If we get a bigger retrace than what we have seen since NY close, price should touch or enter the box, but not get above if we are to continue...
mufos become the steps in a trending move.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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