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EURUSD

  • #306,001
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:08pm Oct 13, 2010 1:08pm
Bulls, Bears,

concentrate on chart. What do you see?

I see a triangel.

Maybe now breakout to above.

What signals a triangel?

It is the preceding move before a terminating move, right?


Go long temporarily
  • #306,002
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:09pm Oct 13, 2010 1:09pm
Take the risk over an make enter shorts with
EURUSD 1.3970 & EURJPY 1.1424
at lower time frames.
  • #306,003
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:14pm Oct 13, 2010 1:14pm
Keep those ego's in check boys, you never know the FX monster might steel all your pips, or even worse nick you Audi-lol!

Good luck.
Trade the price action, not the cash!!!
  • #306,004
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:14pm Oct 13, 2010 1:14pm
EU Weekly
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD, Weekly. 2010 October 13.jpg Size: 167 KB
  • #306,005
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:15pm Oct 13, 2010 1:15pm
Gold made a new high, aud/usd made a new high, only euro is hesitating for now, i believe it's gonna shoot after bernanke speak.
  • #306,006
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:15pm Oct 13, 2010 1:15pm
some serious bad news is required for euro to loose its ground but for that dow has to reverse a bit with gold after all these days of bulls ; for eurousd sellers as well i Hope some trading days
finding A M S
  • #306,007
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:19pm Oct 13, 2010 1:19pm
you never know for sure when a move is over or not. trading is not a sniper job therefore we can't ride all trends to the pip.

yes we might visit 1.40 again, maybe post a new top (1.4050 or so)... but bottom line is that this area is strong resistance and normally we should see a bounce back down. IF this would happen, then medium term target is anywhere between the marks on my chart (depending on how soon it can dip) - mid 1.32 to low 1.35 (geppy gave a specific number, but i don't usually think in exact numbers - ranges are much more realistic... but that's just me).

on the other hand, IF this area is not strong enough as resistance then the rally continues...

there's always 2 possibilities, and you always must think of two scenarios. not more, not less.

Quoting infinitus
I think now too, that we at least visit 1.40 again. This upward move was not ready.

<since the triangle at 3916 it is forming a flat now. In wave C position of this flat we have subwaves a and b as zigzag, now forming subwave c which should evolve as impulse.

My fib extensions project targets of

62% = 1.3989
100% = 1.4019
162% = 1.4069
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu-d.gif Size: 21 KB
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #306,008
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:19pm Oct 13, 2010 1:19pm
Lost on some shorts yesterday for eu no biggie, I am long eurchf, Trendchange to the north. Bought earlier at 1.3550, then 1.3400 was tested, and it is now traded again at 1.3400.

EU way high - times of price uncertainty here, time to go to eurchf, greece problems will not be a responsibility for the euro anymore, Greece still in a heap of crap, euro economy and COT large banks are buying up euro.

I am bulls on parade for eurchf
Know when to hold em, Know when to fold em!
  • #306,009
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:24pm Oct 13, 2010 1:24pm
oct 15-nov8 fed buying treasuries and tips $32 billion
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #306,010
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:25pm Oct 13, 2010 1:25pm
Quoting Scrat
you never know for sure when a move is over or not. trading is not a sniper job therefore we can't ride all trends to the pip.

yes we might visit 1.40 again, maybe post a new top (1.4050 or so)... but bottom line is that this area is strong resistance and normally we should see a bounce back down. IF this would happen, then medium term target is anywhere between the marks on my chart (depending on how soon it can dip) - mid 1.32 to low 1.35 (geppy gave a specific number, but i don't usually think in exact numbers - ranges are much more realistic......
very nice chart scrat . It looks as if the markets are positioning for a big move. Which way? wouldn't we want to know. Gold hitting new highs, dow, sp, new year highs close to april tops. Could this be a sell-the-fact? possibly. What I'm seeing right now is 4000 is a huge resistance, both psych and monthly resistance. It was tested 3 times and failed each.
  • #306,011
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:27pm Oct 13, 2010 1:27pm
will this pair move up over the 3 weeks .or is it already priced in?
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #306,012
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:27pm Oct 13, 2010 1:27pm
market is not moved by news but by volume. the bigger you are, the more impact you have on the market.
if some news would come up good for the dollar, you would expect price to go up... but if at the same time you sell a couple of hundred billions (hypothetically, of course) then price would go down in spite of all good news.
it's always about the big players and their interest. forget about any news or anything else - the only thing we could do is follow their actions.

Quoting prashant7
some serious bad news is required for euro to loose its ground but for that dow has to reverse a bit with gold after all these days of bulls ; for eurousd sellers as well i Hope some trading days
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #306,013
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:28pm Oct 13, 2010 1:28pm
Looks like there is a short term turn south on the EUR/USD due to this foreclosure freeze.
  • #306,014
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:30pm Oct 13, 2010 1:30pm
1.4 Is def big resistance. Earlier someone replied to me asking why I was so bothered by 1.4. very funny!

Im not even going to try and predict where it's going to go because I ain't got a bloody clue. Lol! You never know with Mr Bernanke.
Trade the price action, not the cash!!!
  • #306,015
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:36pm Oct 13, 2010 1:36pm
Quoting Scrat
market is not moved by news but by volume. the bigger you are, the more impact you have on the market.
if some news would come up good for the dollar, you would expect price to go up... but if at the same time you sell a couple of hundred billions (hypothetically, of course) then price would go down in spite of all good news.
it's always about the big players and their interest. forget about any news or anything else - the only thing we could do is follow their actions.

Looks like u have been a victim of some big players usually on fridays : but the big moves always happen with news u just have a research of history u will recognise it ; anyway as u said some big players do interupt the fx market like boj and others but this fx market is much bigger now !
finding A M S
  • #306,016
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:40pm Oct 13, 2010 1:40pm
Possibility increasing for this 303512
  • #306,017
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:41pm Oct 13, 2010 1:41pm
lol nope... i never traded/trade/will trade during news. and even if i were, this would never affect my trading because i use higher timeframes. zoom out to daily and weekly, and see if you can tell when news kicked in - ?
anyway... you didn't get what i was trying to say...

Quoting prashant7
Looks like u have been a victim of some big players usually on fridays : but the big moves always happen with news u just have a research of history u will recognise it ; anyway as u said some big players do interupt the fx market like boj and others but this fx market is much bigger now !
Nihil Sine Deo.
  • #306,018
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:45pm Oct 13, 2010 1:45pm
Quoting Scrat
lol nope... i never traded/trade/will trade during news. and even if i were, this would never affect my trading because i use higher timeframes. zoom out to daily and weekly, and see if you can tell when news kicked in - ?
anyway... you didn't get what i was trying to say...
Loving your avatar, hunting for pips, not nuts in your case aye, lol!
Trade the price action, not the cash!!!
  • #306,019
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:47pm Oct 13, 2010 1:47pm
Quoting PayTheLimit
Dont tell me we are going back to 1.40 again.......
what does your chart tell you?
  • #306,020
  • Oct 13, 2010 1:49pm Oct 13, 2010 1:49pm
Quoting Scrat
market is not moved by news but by volume. the bigger you are, the more impact you have on the market.
if some news would come up good for the dollar, you would expect price to go up... but if at the same time you sell a couple of hundred billions (hypothetically, of course) then price would go down in spite of all good news.
it's always about the big players and their interest. forget about any news or anything else - the only thing we could do is follow their actions.

True that.

Volumes are greatly ignored.

It is my humble opinion that everything is being accumulated at the expense of the us dollar.Once all buys have been filled the dollar will have to take a good beating.

gu against 1.5700 risk and eu against 1.3750 might be very profitable buys.
Mind over matter..I don't mind and you don't matter.
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