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  • #304,901
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:09am Oct 12, 2010 8:09am
Quoting Jhig
Not expecting this bullish move to be nothing more than a pull back/retrace.

Fully expect shorts will continue.
why ? 1h chart ? daily ?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #304,902
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:11am Oct 12, 2010 8:11am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Needs to come down a bit.
but not too much
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #304,903
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:11am Oct 12, 2010 8:11am
Quoting Jhig
Not expecting this bullish move to be nothing more than a pull back/retrace.

Fully expect shorts will continue.
Hmm its still consolidating...i dont see much momentum to the downside yet. Its still defending that 1.3850
  • #304,904
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:12am Oct 12, 2010 8:12am
Quoting intery
Hi, ha hah. .. just to remind

Attachment
?!
  • #304,905
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:12am Oct 12, 2010 8:12am
562 Traders Viewing This Thread - nice attendance!
  • #304,906
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:13am Oct 12, 2010 8:13am
Quoting paul1
http://www.pivotfarm.com/blog/2010/1...ysis-12th-oct/
The last cot report said smart money 100% long
retailers 50/50 roughly.

were is the report saying smart are short please,I know its like the index. Then the eur/usd pair seperate maybe i misunderstand it.
Thanks.
shouldn't that make you think?
  • #304,907
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:13am Oct 12, 2010 8:13am
I think QE2 may already have been factored in on the Euro dollar trade, dollar has been stronger last 2 days, we could see a further strengthening as the hype is coming to an end, any thoughts, take care everyone
  • #304,908
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:14am Oct 12, 2010 8:14am
Quoting paul1
The last cot report said smart money 100% long
retailers 50/50 roughly.

were is the report saying smart are short please,I know its like the index. Then the eur/usd pair seperate maybe i misunderstand it.
Thanks.
Paul I have been watching very closely price lately and waited for this setup for a long time.

YES WHILE OVERALL COT REMAINS BUYING CONTRACTS THAT IS A WEEK IN LAG. You have to remember this has gone up for a long time, I am bearish short term, overall I am bullish.

1. Big picture since 2000 uptrend

2. Intermediate picture monthly down

4. Daily picture uptrend (pullback is occuring in this uptrend.

I am bearish to 1.34xx area somewhere around there there needs to be some sort of profit taking. The M and W formations are the big money i just see money unloading here. Remmber Buy low and Sell high.

banks hold on for months on their position, eu has been going up for months. I dont see any buying up top here. SO for the short term maybe a week or 2 I see a big pullback, then up to 1.54xx area
Know when to hold em, Know when to fold em!
  • #304,909
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:14am Oct 12, 2010 8:14am
EUR is beating USD UP! I went short thinking that it is over now and USD will finally start a bullish trend. EUR is too strong and it is not good to go short now even for a short terms or scalping :-(
  • #304,910
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:14am Oct 12, 2010 8:14am
Quoting T.E.Lawrence
562 Traders Viewing This Thread - nice attendance!
crowded in here, and smells funny
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #304,911
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:15am Oct 12, 2010 8:15am
  •  jet4x
  • | Joined Aug 2010 | Status: slow & steady turtle wins the race | 168 Posts
Quoting PayTheLimit
Well all my TF's pointing up now, I'll be looking for some buy scalps, or is that buy scraps. Scraps yea, I like that. Just a taste.
tell me if there is any scalping moment....
  • #304,912
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:15am Oct 12, 2010 8:15am
I've been observing Eur descending once it hit 1400 area several days ago and no power to push it back up. Plus, Asia and London sessions tend to pummel it down lower. I see more of a downtrend developing as supposed to a retracement for another bullish? Am I not looking at this accurately?
  • #304,913
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:16am Oct 12, 2010 8:16am
Quoting goods
Paul I have been watching very closely price lately and waited for this setup for a long time....
When you say big pull back, what sort of levels you thinking?
Trade the price action, not the cash!!!
  • #304,914
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:17am Oct 12, 2010 8:17am
short at 3844 with sl on other side of 3855..I'm not sold on short yet for long or even medium term but it could play out that way..this has been a long bull run with not much reason fundamentally so it does have to stop at some point...just in case i'll also be keeping an eye to play either direction.
assume the position...whichever that may be
  • #304,915
  • Edited 8:31am Oct 12, 2010 8:18am | Edited 8:31am
EUR/USD seems very unpredictable to me now. I am happy i am still in profit using my strategy. EUR is beating USD but you can still expect where price will go using this strategy .

I hope it will help

http://i55.tinypic.com/zixh0o.gif
  • #304,916
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:19am Oct 12, 2010 8:19am
Quoting jacob_ice
I've been observing Eur descending once it hit 1400 area several days ago and no power to push it back up. Plus, Asia and London sessions tend to pummel it down lower. I see more of a downtrend developing as supposed to a retracement for another bullish? Am I not looking at this accurately?
Who knows? So many traders around the world, trading so many different styles/strategies/systems, some will be right, some will be wrong (that's my category by the way), some Bears, some Bulls, some girls, some boys, some fat, some skinny. All i know (or learnt) is that you have got to trade your plan and never get side tracked. Oh it's hard, so bloody hard!!!!
Trade the price action, not the cash!!!
  • #304,917
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:20am Oct 12, 2010 8:20am
Not enough yet but ok retracement so far & closed all longs , next scalping mode long-short both .start with short.
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu1.gif Size: 9 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #304,918
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:21am Oct 12, 2010 8:21am
Quoting DMA Trader
Good afternoon Driver
Quoting special0nefx
Good afternoon sir
Quoting egkid
Good afternoon
Nice to c u

Hi all,

well...
in fact we are on a key area ... It is not enough to break to the upside.
in fact I think that we'll be parked here for a while.
the most important thing, from my point of view is, if at 12.00h CET , we will open above 1.3857.

Remaining at this level without retracing ... is positive for buyers
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #304,919
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:22am Oct 12, 2010 8:22am
3848 still capping it on my 15min, 3830 area s/b support...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #304,920
  • Oct 12, 2010 8:23am Oct 12, 2010 8:23am
Quoting Scullmeister
When you say big pull back, what sort of levels you thinking?

Have you looked at some of the pictures I posted on here you will see the blue highlighted areas are my areas that I am watching. I am looking for long term entries whether short or long.
Know when to hold em, Know when to fold em!
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