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  • #304,621
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:27am Oct 12, 2010 2:27am
Quoting infinitus
even more bearish count......

See blog


Sorry, I am in a terrible hurry



sorry folks,

once again me :-)


Have put a not so bearish alternative to it.

Have a look


Conclusion:

we have to wait now. Nearly everything can develop from this point.


I would lean more towards the very bearish scenario, because I think we have concluded the top of wave 2 already and are in for a sharp decline in direction of 1.18 min.

On the other hand: If we are in a wave 4 action, the second chart would make sense, since one could fabricate a flat (3-3-5) action since 1.4029 where we have concluded impulse wave C right now.

That would mean we will make a new top.

On the one side I do not like to make a new top because I am short in stocks.

On the other hand it would be a great chance for all of us, who missed this decline thinking it was to corrective to be an impulse down.

We will see.
  • #304,622
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:30am Oct 12, 2010 2:30am
Quoting lake
i think we will see a little pop up at london open then more pullback throughout the session, the trend is down, lol
you're right buddy....
  • #304,623
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:31am Oct 12, 2010 2:31am
48 it is

i think this should retest the break of tl?? then a possible range or a break to down.... will see...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #304,624
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:31am Oct 12, 2010 2:31am
Quoting PayTheLimit
short scalp maybe setting up a test of the lows,
PA on the 15min pretty weak
I'll wait for another bar, that last one didnt give me what I was looking for
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #304,625
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:33am Oct 12, 2010 2:33am
Hello Everyone, I am new on this forum but have been trading for 3 years.
Please check this chart and take note of the RED line I marked on the H4 E/U.
It seems like a very good counter trend entry around 1.3915/20. Very clustered and congested around that level. Also it coincided with a bounce off the 20sma on H4.
Any opinions?

Thanks,
Kris
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  • #304,626
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:34am Oct 12, 2010 2:34am
Quoting Vladimir1987
48 it is

i think this should retest the break of tl?? then a possible range or a break to down.... will see...

Attachment
I needed a second coming, I got my a** handed to me last week.

I absolutely agree
  • #304,627
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:34am Oct 12, 2010 2:34am
Hi all

we are in a nice correction iam very bearish for the pa, waiting to take a short in the area between 38505 (fibs 61.8) and 38627 (fibs 79.0) hope it gets there to enter. Should be the and of a short time zig zag (2 wave) and start of a c-wave.

good luck all

sorry not c-wave 3-wave down (just wake up)
  • #304,628
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:38am Oct 12, 2010 2:38am
Quoting Samir888
Hi all

we are in a nice correction iam very bearish for the pa, waiting to take a short in the area between 38505 (fibs 61.8) and 38627 (fibs 79.0) hope it gets there to enter. Should be the and of a short time zig zag (2 wave) and start of a c-wave.

good luck all

sorry not c-wave 3-wave down (just wake up)

GL
  • #304,629
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:41am Oct 12, 2010 2:41am
3820/25 some support in the short term me thinks...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #304,630
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:42am Oct 12, 2010 2:42am
Quoting franklinX
Sitting at support(white arrow), if it breaks short till yellow.
Market looking rather bearish though but who knows, It may bounce up again.
ps. 4 hour time frame!


Hi Franklin,

what do you think:

I think we decline to 3732, bounce back to 3794.

Then your short till Kuomo is reached. At Kuomo we shall consolidate, because it is 4h chart, therefore significant.

Then an attempt to breach through Kuomo, which is rejected at the 36719 level.

I can not imagine, that we go through Kuomo at first attempt.
  • #304,631
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:42am Oct 12, 2010 2:42am
Quoting Vladimir1987
48 it is

i think this should retest the break of tl?? then a possible range or a break to down.... will see...

Attachment
If that happens I think we could see a realy solid bearish move!
But at the moment it seems bearish for me, so don`t know if it goes up to test.
  • #304,632
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:43am Oct 12, 2010 2:43am
Ok now

what wave are we in again ?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #304,633
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:43am Oct 12, 2010 2:43am
Quoting Vladimir1987
48 it is

i think this should retest the break of tl?? then a possible range or a break to down.... will see...

Attachment
25% probability, for this scenario. the posible bounce up, will came somewhere on US session, because we have FOMC.
  • #304,634
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:45am Oct 12, 2010 2:45am
dont be trapped by this pa.. this was a strong ride up so we need a strong sign that a correction has started...

a test of the break of tl will confirm the down move... till then a bull market all over the place- bulls could load up quickly..

my thought
  • #304,635
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:46am Oct 12, 2010 2:46am
On 5 min TF waves are clearly corrective. Will go lower after consolidation
  • #304,636
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:47am Oct 12, 2010 2:47am
ok so simple stuff since i have no ideea about the waves

I see a very strong and well played 1H downtrend channel.
we break that to the upside and bulls should get back.

Until then we can respect the channel and head down for

1,38 - 1.376 - 1.37

. On the upside let's get out of the channel and make a higher highs (1.3895) Which was a good support. we've lost to bears.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #304,637
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:49am Oct 12, 2010 2:49am
feels like buyers are weak here, they might want to regroup at lower levels
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #304,638
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:49am Oct 12, 2010 2:49am
Quoting DMA Trader
Ok now

what wave are we in again ?
Can i answer this
  • #304,639
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:49am Oct 12, 2010 2:49am
Quoting DMA Trader
Ok now

what wave are we in again ?

Hi,

for my account we are in the 5th Wave and there in wave 2 (zigzag ) in 15 min charts. ( degree higher A wave)
  • #304,640
  • Oct 12, 2010 2:50am Oct 12, 2010 2:50am
Quoting egkid
Can i answer this
yes. but I want the same wave or at list a few people agree on the same wave.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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