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  • #303,561
  • Oct 9, 2010 7:08am Oct 9, 2010 7:08am
i said to you before to look into the time waves take to have a better count though we r in a correction what will take it down may be all the way to 1.3650 it will go up to finish last wave target 1.4180. wave 4 is usually 1.38 to 1.618 of wave 2 in time thats why the first small abc is only a it will go up to 1.4 then down to finsh c
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  • #303,562
  • Oct 9, 2010 7:13am Oct 9, 2010 7:13am
the same with gu
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  • #303,563
  • Oct 9, 2010 7:39am Oct 9, 2010 7:39am
aud/usd will be in a traingle formation where b will get to .99 c to watch at .9730 then d and e before it goes up plan your trades based on support and resistance befor it goes up . this based on short term trading
  • #303,564
  • Oct 9, 2010 8:20am Oct 9, 2010 8:20am
I think ......
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  • #303,565
  • Oct 9, 2010 8:27am Oct 9, 2010 8:27am
Quoting moonchild
As long as gold is rising, an AU long is probably quite safe.

I am not sure that I understand any reason for parity between AU and EU. Yes they trend together most of the time unless there are specific EZ or AU events, but generally the dominant factour is their comparable relationship to the USD.
yes and when usd failing to controll over the gold or other commodities other currencies perhaps come into action to save the world limiting the uncontrolled raise of them & take change the course of controlled devaluation as I believed before or still perhaps to actually revaluation and get ride of usd influences over time .
lets see what happen next .
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #303,566
  • Oct 9, 2010 8:29am Oct 9, 2010 8:29am
last one which will go with the count of eur/usd . patience is the secret of successful trading . wait for the right moment to enter and to exit you trades
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  • #303,567
  • Edited 9:16am Oct 9, 2010 8:50am | Edited 9:16am
Quoting nawafasad1
hi there you r calling the top in here based on nothing relabel your count now but for sure you will later
Hi Nawafasad,


Maybe you visit my blog, where you can find further statements:

"This is my result. I counted both charts on 30min timeframe to see enough details and to take care, that wace 2's and 4's correspond with meaningful low readings on Awesome Oscillator.

First chart is this 30min count. 2nd chart is this count transferred to 4h chart.

See how nice the Fib-channels work (especially mentioned for my friend Mr. Hatch - http://www.forexfactory.com )

The result of this weekends work is: The ABC-Wave 2 - Correction is likely over.

That would make a lot of sense to my actual count of the recent down move as a leading diagonal.

That would also fit with a extraordinary high number of USD bears of 97%. That is the highest reading ever according to http://www.elliottwave.com

I will publish the actual micro count over this weekend.

Have a good day,


Infinitus"



Markus


Editet by author out of personal reasons :-)
  • #303,568
  • Oct 9, 2010 9:02am Oct 9, 2010 9:02am
Quoting infinitus
Hi Nawafasad,

the last several days I made several statements, that I think the top is in.

And I made several points here and on my blog, why I think so.

Maybe you visit my blog, where you can find further statements:

"This is my result. I counted both charts on 30min timeframe to see enough details and to take care, that wace 2's and 4's correspond with meaningful low readings on Awesome Oscillator.

First chart is this 30min count. 2nd chart is this count transferred to 4h chart.

See how nice the Fib-channels work (especially mentioned...
i didnt attack you in any way and i m sorry if i was rude i didnt mean to . it was only your count that got me going and i was only trying to show that we r still in corrections and may be i m wrong and you are right . please keep the good work coming and having different opinion is in a way good for me and you .
  • #303,569
  • Oct 9, 2010 9:14am Oct 9, 2010 9:14am
Quoting nawafasad1
i didnt attack you in any way and i m sorry if i was rude i didnt mean to . it was only your count that got me going and i was only trying to show that we r still in corrections and may be i m wrong and you are right . please keep the good work coming and having different opinion is in a way good for me and you .
Hello Nawafasad,

I have to apologize too. I am in a bad mood since I have terrible tooth pain.

We should see, if we can together get a count what then would seem to be waterproof :-)

In the last 30 min I tried hard to count the down move, which you labeled "a", as zigzag or as impulse. Both will function on some timeframes and on others not.

Maybe we have a reasonable idea later.

Keep up the good work too. I will delete my former mail.


Have a nice weekend,

Markus
  • #303,570
  • Oct 9, 2010 9:23am Oct 9, 2010 9:23am
Quoting intery
hi fontu, once gator said something like EU (have to fall and) should be = AU at least (correct me if I'm wrong), there is an opposite opportunity to move up AU to the EU price whatever it is, sounds crazy, I know, but

1.035
1.13
1.18
1.22
1.30

many monthly fibo extensions go there... I personally long on AU even here till they will decide fall.

How about this ... ?

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...96#post4083296


http://cdn.forexfactory.com/images/attach/pdf.gif

2010-10-08_09h15_Forex Focus - Aussie Parity But Nothing More.pdf (11.6 KB)


Aussie as provided by Bloomberg

TNI FRX POV

Friday, Oct 8th, 09:15 CET
2013-07-31 Today's Phrase of the Day: Hold off from any recycle bin experts
  • #303,571
  • Oct 9, 2010 9:54am Oct 9, 2010 9:54am
Understanding this is as close as it comes to a holy grail...
Quoting The Fool
The most important thing: learn how to not lose money, learn about money management, learn to love small losses. Learn how to be selective so that you can reliably win trades for small winners, then learn how to let those small winners run for their probable maximum yield. If you can learn these things and put them into action full-time you can make Large Amounts of Money in a Short Amount of Time.
  • #303,572
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:23am Oct 9, 2010 11:23am
Quoting nawafasad1
aud/usd will be in a traingle formation where b will get to .99 c to watch at .9730 then d and e before it goes up plan your trades based on support and resistance befor it goes up . this based on short term trading
got it thanks , will wtach this pair though may not trade.
2 strong resistances to cross before further up 1.005 & 1.0172 & may have to take supports at 0.9416,0.9250 to even 0.9000 before that .ranging expected .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #303,573
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:26am Oct 9, 2010 11:26am
Quoting fontu
Thanks for the information , so all up lots of pips still & may shortcut all retracements to any minimum near to nil for eu & gu also .

To go with gold now .bais mental setups & unfolded big down ez troubles all to forget & perhaps going to all wrong before , to readjust .

fontu
gold is a animal atm.its acting outside of is normal wave pattern. i did simple math and came up with this.. a few day ago. but it brings the other analysis on the other pairs in the probable zone. if or when it crashes it will be deep. the same is true with a rise. the highs and lows this year are outside of normal rhythm. gold and the cad are not counted in my thought. #302249
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #303,574
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:35am Oct 9, 2010 11:35am
Quoting infinitus
Hello Folks,

nice to see you here doing musings about forex strategies for the next weeks.

Hey, hey, hey, thought you all made a lot of pips on Fridays roller-coaster. So i urge you to call your ladies and spend a few nice hours at extravagant places.

Dudes, that is where the money is for...
i don't do Elliot . so could you do some analysis on a few other pairs like the aud and gu. also usdx if you got it.. (oil is not at this years high like eu is) just to see if they agree. thanks..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #303,575
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:38am Oct 9, 2010 11:38am
Quoting gatorinla
gold is a animal atm.its acting outside of is normal wave pattern. i did simple math and came up with this.. a few day ago. but it brings the other analysis on the other pairs in the probable zone. if or when it crashes it will be deep. the same is true with a rise. the highs and lows this year are outside of normal rhythm. gold and the cad are not counted in my thought. #302249
True , yes kept it outside too but it should not carry any currency with it , that can be troublesome . anyway intraday trading may not afftect much if no bais ketp for next ranging market perhaps .
thanks ,
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #303,576
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:39am Oct 9, 2010 11:39am
Quoting nawafasad1
the same with gu
my head will pop if i learn technicals. thanks for extension info.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #303,577
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:54am Oct 9, 2010 11:54am
Quoting fontu
True , yes kept it outside too but it should not carry any currency with it , that can be troublesome . anyway intraday trading may not afftect much if no bais ketp for next ranging market perhaps .
thanks ,
fontu
i gave you hard #s.. some are fluid (math #s are hard/chart #s are hard). i will post fluid when near hard #s, if things change. hard #s are hard s/r areas. so for every action there is a reaction. so if they are broken the opposite may be true. its just areas to watch for. but as said, we may have already started the move. watch indis for rollover signs.. commodity pairs are based on commodities they are the canary in the gold mine.. they should be watched closely. the kiwi seems weaker then the aud is my fluid wave..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #303,578
  • Oct 9, 2010 11:55am Oct 9, 2010 11:55am
me out...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #303,579
  • Oct 9, 2010 1:32pm Oct 9, 2010 1:32pm
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUST...3:b38195488:z0

Pressure on China to let the RMB revalue further keeps building. Probably to no avail. Having Chinese currency pegged to the USD is a problem for everybody, including China. They will probably continue gradual revaluation. Short term, RMB and USD would be inversely correlated.

I saw in the WSJ Thomson-Reuters & ICAP starting to do electronic RMB trading - this would probably quickly drive up the RMB except that evidently there's not much of it in circulation outside the country.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #303,580
  • Edited 2:13pm Oct 9, 2010 1:56pm | Edited 2:13pm
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_global...pphu-container

"American manufacturers believe China is unfairly manipulating its currency to gain trade advantages and the Chinese yuan may be undervalued by as much as 40 percent. A weaker yuan makes Chinese goods cheaper for American consumers and more expensive in China."


Of course the US wants a weaker USD to ease its debt burden, but with its No. 1 creditor (China) pegging the RMB to the USD, this strategy can not have full effect.

In a globalizing economy the trade issue is a red herring: US corporations who want to do business in China are already in China doing business through in-country subsidiaries. Ford, etc...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
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