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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #19,881
  • Edited 11:28am Oct 8, 2010 9:29am | Edited 11:28am
81.30 might just be the place to buy
  • #19,882
  • Oct 8, 2010 9:31am Oct 8, 2010 9:31am
Quoting PipMaxzz
With the growing uneasiness in the world over, Fed has tough task to announce any QE in a big scale. That will drag equities down.

Seems like Japs are not dared to intervene openly and wants to do 'smoothing'

This leads me to think that Chinese are winning the Sun Tzu with both of them
appearance is deceptive ... they know what is at stake ... they will always compromise ... the end game is always a draw ...

cheeky
  • #19,883
  • Oct 8, 2010 9:34am Oct 8, 2010 9:34am
Quoting z3r0
81.30 might just the place to buy
why do u think so ..?

care to share ur thought process with us ?

thank you .
  • #19,884
  • Oct 8, 2010 9:45am Oct 8, 2010 9:45am
This might look invulgar. But I'm backtesting the integration of vector calculations on the charts and I already had some very good results. I have some more charts with this method but I'm waiting for a couple of more results to share with all. Meanwhile here's the experiment chart.
I can tell that so far most of the experiments worked well but some stay within range of +/- 2 degrees due to inaccurate calculations since metatrader's angular trendlines suck.
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  • #19,885
  • Oct 8, 2010 9:58am Oct 8, 2010 9:58am
Quoting z3r0
This might look invulgar. But I'm backtesting the integration of vector calculations on the charts and I already had some very good results. I have some more charts with this method but I'm waiting for a couple of more results to share with all. Meanwhile here's the experiment chart.
I can tell that so far most of the experiments worked well but some stay within range of +/- 2 degrees due to inaccurate calculations since metatrader's angular trendlines suck.
wow ... !

interesting ...!!

eager to know how it works .
  • #19,886
  • Oct 8, 2010 10:03am Oct 8, 2010 10:03am
yep.. it is indeed interesting... had the idea to try this long ago and recently i took the time to analyse a few charts. Today i did another one to back up this eurchf analysis i posted earlier and the final force [a line just silghtly above the 100ema]was respected to the pip. I have the charts all saved. I shall post everything at some point. I'm doing normal vector calculations. That's it. Now let's see if the usd/jpy likes vectors...
  • #19,887
  • Oct 8, 2010 10:07am Oct 8, 2010 10:07am
Quoting z3r0
yep.. it is indeed interesting... had the idea to try this long ago and recently i took the time to analyse a few charts. Today i did another one to back up this eurchf analysis i posted earlier and the final force [a line just silghtly above the 100ema]was respected to the pip. I have the charts all saved. I shall post everything at some point. I'm doing normal vector calculations. That's it. Now let's see if the usd/jpy likes vectors...
what is the premises of this idea ?
  • #19,888
  • Oct 8, 2010 10:12am Oct 8, 2010 10:12am
Quoting TheArcher
what is the premises of this idea ?
basically treating a trend, or 2 highs/2lows as a vector force and add the vectors to find the resulting "forces/vectors" that would be used as top/bottom finder or entry points. Here's on wikipedia how to add vectors.

But let's keep to the topic on usd/jpy. I'll send you the link of the thread once I start it.
  • #19,889
  • Oct 8, 2010 10:18am Oct 8, 2010 10:18am
Quoting z3r0

But let's keep to the topic on usd/jpy. I'll send you the link of the thread once I start it.
thanks
  • #19,890
  • Oct 8, 2010 10:38am Oct 8, 2010 10:38am
Quoting Nud
and break, time to 81.80
and what next? maybe back to 83,50 next week?
  • #19,891
  • Oct 8, 2010 11:35am Oct 8, 2010 11:35am
Quoting Lorna
Naw, I'm sure that's not the case, but how many people want to say they lost!!...
hehe, I have -150$ loses but I am still holding them hope there will be an intervention! If they don't intervene I will be cracked up...
  • #19,892
  • Oct 8, 2010 1:12pm Oct 8, 2010 1:12pm
Quoting SaiDawi
hehe, I have -150$ loses but I am still holding them hope there will be an intervention! If they don't intervene I will be cracked up...
http://forex-grashid.blogspot.com/20...uary-2011.html
  • #19,893
  • Oct 8, 2010 1:57pm Oct 8, 2010 1:57pm
Is anyone using MB Trading? UJ went down from 82.183 to 81.866 in the last 1H candle (3-4pm CT, 31pips). Does this mean anything?

We better watch out the Sunday opening??
  • #19,894
  • Oct 8, 2010 2:12pm Oct 8, 2010 2:12pm
Quoting Forexgogo
Is anyone using MB Trading? UJ went down from 82.183 to 81.866 in the last 1H candle (3-4pm CT, 31pips). Does this mean anything?

We better watch out the Sunday opening??
Yup, relatively big drop in the last 6 minutes before the 5pm close; apparently Tokyo was buying Saturday morning (their time), and someone somewhere dumped out of longs. Closes @ 81.9 even on my citibank liquidity provider. Not happy with GY: dumped 35 pips in those last few minutes,od the 95 or so run up from post-NFP low. GU was unfazed and climbed.

Quoting grashid
http://forex-grashid.blogspot.com/20...uary-2011.html
They should give the Japanese gov't a prize for most mixed and confusing messages of any G7 country. Igarashi is a VP in the gov't - haven't read/heard a microphone stuck in his face yet, so I take the wording with a grain of salt. I'm not sure this changes anything on the intervention front - Noda is in Washington and will be looking for signals from the US on them looking the other way for any currency dabbling they might want to do - it's not like Washington is not manipulating and intervening.
  • #19,895
  • Oct 8, 2010 3:43pm Oct 8, 2010 3:43pm
Maybe this mess with expected intervention by BOJ has the reasons beyond our understanding...
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #19,896
  • Oct 8, 2010 8:08pm Oct 8, 2010 8:08pm
US is still weaker and BOJ wont let it slide much further south sunday night will be the ride back north for a run
who raped silver !
  • #19,897
  • Oct 8, 2010 9:06pm Oct 8, 2010 9:06pm
Monday 10/11 is a public holiday in Japan.
  • #19,898
  • Oct 8, 2010 10:11pm Oct 8, 2010 10:11pm
Japan approves $81 billion economic stimulus...10-9-10 nzherald.co.nz
The Market pays you to be disciplined
  • #19,899
  • Edited 3:54am Oct 9, 2010 12:17am | Edited 3:54am
Quoting lsg168
Monday 10/11 is a public holiday in Japan.
Same for USD, but that doesn't mean that BoJ aren't able to trade Sunday night GMT and they now pretty much have a green light for short-term intervention.

Damn, I know I'm getting desperate, I'm looking at MACD & RSI bullish divergence on the H1 TF, what nonsense ... Well my long is at b/e or there abouts, could have really done without that last 5 min 20 pip tank, the b@st@rds... Worst case scenario it gaps down 100 points on open...

Noda latest:
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-...08-712754.html

Monthly PPs:
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  • #19,900
  • Edited 6:27am Oct 9, 2010 6:15am | Edited 6:27am
Any elliotticians care to comment?
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