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  • #303,161
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:20am Oct 8, 2010 5:20am
Quoting roachroach
Hitting H4 trendline @ 3865, going long.
I have that same trendline at 3825....
  • #303,162
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:21am Oct 8, 2010 5:21am
looks like big guns playing now same as 1.4000 best to let dust settle .
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #303,163
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:23am Oct 8, 2010 5:23am
movment done only on sentiment and not on the real situation, is getting just to take a breath and get better prices to enter the market, after a fast spike up surely it had to take a breath, I will wait NFP but still believe the situation in general is not changing.
  • #303,164
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:24am Oct 8, 2010 5:24am
There have been a few times when NFP came out, and was no big reaction. Then there have been times when the market reacted by a couple of hundred pips bfore NFP all within the last 1 year.
All that is left in FF is just plain garbage. "Cloggie"
  • #303,165
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:24am Oct 8, 2010 5:24am
when news or events come into play the charts are out to lunch, lol
  • #303,166
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:28am Oct 8, 2010 5:28am
my take

1. good NFP will rock JPY pairs

2. BAD NFP will hit commodity pairs in the first initial reaction.
will get gold soaring. and hit dollar big time.

try to look if there is huge difference between consensus and actual.

at list +- 50k for that 3k joke.

patience. don't gamble. wait, read the news, look at the charts, action.

not the other way. action, pray, look at the charts, read the news, oh no )
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #303,167
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:30am Oct 8, 2010 5:30am
Hi,
looks like hammer in 15 min charts
  • #303,168
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:30am Oct 8, 2010 5:30am
Quoting T@rantula
It will...and it will go down..it will whipsaw...thats why i will hedge positions and wait for a retracement.
Hey spider!

What you think about UJ on this NFP?
  • #303,169
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:35am Oct 8, 2010 5:35am
Quoting DMA Trader
my take

1. good NFP will rock JPY pairs

2. BAD NFP will hit commodity pairs in the first initial reaction.
will get gold soaring. and hit dollar big time.

try to look if there is huge difference between consensus and actual.

at list +- 50k for that 3k joke.

patience. don't gamble. wait, read the news, look at the charts, action.

not the other way. action, pray, look at the charts, read the news, oh no )

lol so true, if you do that, the only hope is to pray

And for JPY pairs it should move pretty fast
I'm hesitating to put buy and sell stop above and below current price a minute before the news (with tight stop)
Has anyone tested this strategy before ? if whipsaw there is, it will hurt though
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #303,170
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:35am Oct 8, 2010 5:35am
Heavy guns entered, but still looks like warming up of real money makers in action.
SL collected and digested with classical fast ups and downs.
  • #303,171
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:36am Oct 8, 2010 5:36am
Tecnicals are not going to help today.
We miss what the banks have.
And thats to know who are making the big orders and when they are entering the market.

We dont have this and there is nothing we can do. if we cant see the orders.
if the larger banks institution have different opinions with large orders it can spike up xxxxpips and then down xxxxxpips.
Personally i feel safer fighting the smaller battles.
let big guns play with big guns .

Imagine running on to a football pitch in jeans an t-shirt to play with world cup squad after watching em play a few times on telly.

40 pip 5minute candles is a sign the pub team arent playing in this field lol.
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #303,172
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:37am Oct 8, 2010 5:37am
market jumps 50 pips on Bullard's comments - nervous - NFP surprise will be huge
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #303,173
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:38am Oct 8, 2010 5:38am
Quoting Samir888
Hi,
looks like hammer in 15 min charts
Hammer closing in the red though...i wouldn't go long based on that..i'd rather go short instead to catch up with the low again, but it's up to me
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #303,174
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:38am Oct 8, 2010 5:38am
hi,

will be nice buy area if this 1 h candle also forms a hammer
  • #303,175
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:38am Oct 8, 2010 5:38am
Perfect respect for resistance and fibs, and a great candle formation on top. Whoever programmed the human mind was doing something beautiful:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eur dialy.gif Size: 32 KB
  • #303,176
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:39am Oct 8, 2010 5:39am
DAX too:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax daily.gif Size: 36 KB
  • #303,177
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:41am Oct 8, 2010 5:41am
Quoting kuroro001
Hammer closing in the red though...i wouldn't go long based on that..i'd rather go short instead to catch up with the low again, but it's up to me

You are right, anything can happens in around 20 mins news from Canada and the nfp later, but looks like nice try for a small scalp

if 1 h also forms hammer i let i open if not i hope i can close in profit

good luck
  • #303,178
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:41am Oct 8, 2010 5:41am
Quoting kuroro001
lol so true, if you do that, the only hope is to pray

And for JPY pairs it should move pretty fast
I'm hesitating to put buy and sell stop above and below current price a minute before the news (with tight stop)
Has anyone tested this strategy before ? if whipsaw there is, it will hurt though
In fast enviroment effects are haphazard - it's not only fast entry but fast exit matter too. And, naturally, you can play it only with stop-limit orders, otherwise you'll get burned.
  • #303,179
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:41am Oct 8, 2010 5:41am
Quoting gatorinla
look for respect at levels. #1 yellow #2 red lines.......
#1 done
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #303,180
  • Oct 8, 2010 5:42am Oct 8, 2010 5:42am
Сая яагаад ханш гэнэт унасан бэ?

Why was EURUSD bounce DROP.
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