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EURUSD

  • #300,841
  • Oct 5, 2010 6:36am Oct 5, 2010 6:36am
Based on february at this price it ranged from 13500 to 13800.
Any thoughts ?
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #300,842
  • Oct 5, 2010 6:42am Oct 5, 2010 6:42am
5 and 15 looking to be a descending triangle with a valid support, each bounce must be getting less volume, as I've been playing a few and the movement slows on each.
don't really like them, but something has to give.
my stochs are inching lower with each low though.
  • #300,843
  • Oct 5, 2010 6:48am Oct 5, 2010 6:48am
Coiling up here, something's gota give, would prefer a long scalp....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: chart1.gif Size: 21 KB
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #300,844
  • Oct 5, 2010 6:49am Oct 5, 2010 6:49am
1,3720 & 1,3685 are two potential downside target.
After such a good start up i would have expected a following, which didn't happen.
Vol completely dried up after the big hourly bar. No follow through is always suspicious.
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #300,845
  • Oct 5, 2010 6:52am Oct 5, 2010 6:52am
Consolidation starts to wear off and i am looking for upside.

Needs to come a bit down to make a decent upmove.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #300,846
  • Oct 5, 2010 6:53am Oct 5, 2010 6:53am
breaks 13760 short for now
making green pips large and red pips small this is my goal.
  • #300,847
  • Oct 5, 2010 6:59am Oct 5, 2010 6:59am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Consolidation starts to wear off and i am looking for upside.

Needs to come a bit down to make a decent upmove.
Right now I agree, a little break might uncover some new buyers
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #300,848
  • Edited 7:10am Oct 5, 2010 6:59am | Edited 7:10am
Quoting Driver55
apart from daily movements , a more comprehensive view of the current situation leads me to say that the USDCHF market is for now clearer than the EURUSD market.

From my point of view, USDCHF need to go down ,
at first instance @ 9400.

From there , may be we will see a relatively important bounce....
but the real target is 9260.

Consequently EURUSD will grow for the next couple of weeks
Hi Driver, USDCHF, because of that?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: pic 2010-10-05 ? 14-08.png Size: 213 KB
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #300,849
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:06am Oct 5, 2010 7:06am
Quoting PayTheLimit
Right now I agree, a little break might uncover some new buyers
Ready....steady....GO!
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #300,850
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:08am Oct 5, 2010 7:08am
Quoting Driver55
apart from daily movements , a more comprehensive view of the current situation leads me to say that the USDCHF market is for now clearer than the EURUSD market.

From my point of view, USDCHF need to go down ,
at first instance @ 9400.

From there , may be we will see a relatively important bounce....
but the real target is 9260.

Consequently EURUSD will grow for the next couple of weeks
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,851
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:09am Oct 5, 2010 7:09am
Quoting Sunsi
How do ppl think News will affect?

Good news = Positve for the stocks? Or will it make the chance of QE less likel, and make Stocks go down?
QE is coming. there is not so much good news from US
Also keep in mind for stocks earnings season kicks in this week with AA
Expectation are high.

IT will be very volatile.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,852
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:14am Oct 5, 2010 7:14am
Quoting intery
Hi Driver, USDCHF, because of that?
Attachment
Attached you will see the reason on a Weekly & Monthly Chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHF Weekly & Monthly.JPG Size: 184 KB
The best thing that can happen to you is to find out where you're wrong.
  • #300,853
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:15am Oct 5, 2010 7:15am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Ready....steady....GO!


  • #300,854
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:17am Oct 5, 2010 7:17am
Quoting Z3iz3i
Ready....steady....GO!
Z, i'm waiting for the 30min close...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #300,855
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:18am Oct 5, 2010 7:18am
Quoting kuroro001
1,3720 & 1,3685 are two potential downside target.
After such a good start up i would have expected a following, which didn't happen.
Vol completely dried up after the big hourly bar. No follow through is always suspicious.
As long as EU stays above 3733 longs are safe. I will enter long targeting 3820, stops around 3730
  • #300,856
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:20am Oct 5, 2010 7:20am
we are flirting with 1.38 and USX 78

a lot of stops above can trigger big move
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,857
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:20am Oct 5, 2010 7:20am
Attached Image
  • #300,858
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:21am Oct 5, 2010 7:21am
Quoting egkid
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #300,859
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:24am Oct 5, 2010 7:24am
Quoting Driver55
Attached you will see the reason on a Weekly & Monthly Chart
on my monthly I see 0.9-0.89, well... more- better
No crystal ball. I read the cards.
  • #300,860
  • Oct 5, 2010 7:26am Oct 5, 2010 7:26am
Quoting Driver55
apart from daily movements , a more comprehensive view of the current situation leads me to say that the USDCHF market is for now clearer than the EURUSD market.

From my point of view, USDCHF need to go down ,
at first instance @ 9400.

From there , may be we will see a relatively important bounce....
but the real target is 9260.
That is quite a statement! If you don't mind me asking, I would very much appreciate a more detailed description of your 'comprehensive view' ie reasoning. Here is why:

(1) SNB said they won't intervene unless there is a risk of deflation. Their yoy CPI ws released a few days ago and it is 0.3%, and flat 0% mom. While 0.3% is not deflation but it is getting close. Should the CHF substantially strengthen (especially against the EUR, their largest trading partner) I would not rule out intervention.

(2) USD/CHF is near all time lows.

(3) Their economy is pretty unexciting albeit safe, in terms of investments, compared to emerging markets. Why would anyone need that much CHF?

There was another point I wanted to make, but I can't recall it now.
Thanks.
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